Jeff Natale

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

');// -->

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:35 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	517	79	36	1	10	62	68	60	5	2	-0.1	.296	.401	.454	.159	.288	.397	.464	.307	32.6	122-2B -14	4.7
75^o	495	66	31	1	8	54	61	59	5	2	-0.1	.277	.379	.416	.061	.270	.375	.425	.289	19.6	117-2B -15	3.5
60^o	481	59	29	1	7	50	57	59	5	2	-0.1	.266	.366	.395	.005	.259	.363	.403	.278	12.7	114-2B -15	2.8
50^o	471	55	27	1	6	47	54	58	4	2	-0.1	.258	.357	.378	-.038	.251	.353	.387	.269	7.6	111-2B -16	2.3
40^o	466	52	26	1	6	45	53	58	4	2	-0.1	.253	.352	.370	-.061	.247	.348	.378	.265	5.0	110-2B -16	2.0
25^o	457	49	25	1	5	43	51	58	4	2	-0.1	.247	.344	.357	-.094	.240	.340	.365	.258	1.3	108-2B -16	1.6
10^o	440	42	22	1	4	38	46	57	4	2	-0.1	.234	.329	.332	-.161	.228	.325	.339	.244	-5.7	104-2B -16	0.9
Weighted Mean	496	61	29	1	7	51	58	61	5	2	-0.1	.263	.363	.388	-.013	.256	.359	.397	.274	9.0	117-2B -16	3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
18%	45%	18%	18%	0.78

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 25)	496	61	29	1	7	51	58	61	5	2	-0.1	.263	.363	.388	-.013	.256	.359	.397	.274	9.0	117-2B -16	3.0
2009 (age 26)	519	67	32	1	7	51	59	58	5	2	-0.1	.272	.365	.397	.009	.268	.367	.413	.277	10.0	122-2B -17	2.2
2010 (age 27)	528	70	33	2	7	55	62	59	5	2	-0.1	.275	.372	.402	.030	.272	.374	.418	.282	12.5	124-2B -16	2.7
2011 (age 28)	506	64	30	1	7	51	59	58	4	2	-0.1	.270	.366	.397	.011	.267	.368	.413	.278	9.1	119-2B -16	2.1
2012 (age 29)	454	56	26	1	7	52	58	52	4	1	-0.1	.274	.376	.405	.040	.270	.378	.421	.285	9.4	108-2B -13	2.1
2013 (age 30)	488	62	31	1	9	58	58	53	4	2	-0.1	.274	.365	.417	.037	.271	.367	.433	.282	8.4	115-2B -15	1.7
2014 (age 31)	434	51	27	1	7	45	53	51	3	2	-0.1	.277	.370	.408	.036	.274	.372	.425	.282	5.8	103-2B -14	1.5

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.276	.377	.411
vs RHP	.258	.355	.375
Split	+.018	+.022	+.036
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	2.0	0.9	3.0	$4,925,000	7.4	4.9
2009	1.7	0.5	2.2	$3,950,000	7.4	4.5
2010	2.0	0.7	2.7	$5,725,000	11.4	7.4
2011	1.6	0.5	2.1	$4,250,000	7.3	5.7
2012	1.5	0.6	2.1	$4,950,000	9.3	10.2
2013	1.3	0.4	1.7	$4,050,000	6.9	6.2
2014	0.9	0.5	1.5	$3,475,000	5.0	4.6
Peak			13.7	$21,225,000	49.7	38.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.289	.269	.258	.274
2009	.282	.271	.253	.277
2010	.295	.278	.257	.282
2011	.287	.266	.247	.278
2012	.294	.272	.257	.285
2013	.286	.277	.254	.282
2014	.291	.273	.250	.282

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	18%	0%	18%
2009	41%	19%	11%
2010	33%	23%	21%
2011	45%	31%	14%
2012	58%	33%	18%
2013	62%	43%	13%
2014	67%	56%	9%

34

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong! Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Rex Delanuez	1992	40		11	Tom Evans	2003	33
2	Steve Boros	1979	36		12	Emiliano Escandon	1971	33
3	Ron Belliard	1981	36		13	Frank Bolick	1982	33
4	Rusty Greer	1970	36		14	Steve Finken	1960	33
5	David Eckstein	1973	35		15	Larry Wolfe	2007	32
6	Jeff Frye	1992	35		16	Ed Giovanola	1975	32
7	Shawn Fagan	1975	34		17	Andy Abad	1969	32
8	Darren Bragg	1975	34		18	Mark Ellis	2000	31
9	Bernard Gilkey	1957	34		19	Bill Doran	1979	30
10	Bobby Holley	1998	33		20	Dave Chalk	2005	30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Natale picked up where he left off in 2006, tearing up Sally League pitching. He didn`t dominate once promoted to Wilmington--a 29-game stretch with just one extra-base hit caused some alarm--but did reached base in his first 22 games at the new level. That plate discipline was no fluke; overall he hit .304/.446/.469, and was named the organization`s Minor League Hitter of the Year. Undersized, below average at second, and old for his league at every stop, the former 32nd-rounder won`t win many believers until he succeeds in Double-A, but he is in an organization that will give him that chance.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	LOW	1A	46	9	5	0	0	9	3	3	2	0	-0.4	.488	.522	.610	.816	.372	.391	.465	.302	7.8		0.4
2005	GRN	1B	202	35	19	4	2	35	28	14	1	0	-0.7	.338	.463	.544	.441	.272	.366	.434	.278	11.5	39-2B -1	2.1
2006	GRN	1B	231	38	10	0	10	41	41	20	2	1	-1.5	.343	.487	.571	.523	.289	.403	.468	.303	20.3	27-2B -5	1.8
2006	WIL	1C	353	46	13	0	7	46	62	54	1	0	0.6	.278	.419	.403	.184	.245	.363	.355	.263	8.0	57-2B -12	1.1
2007	PME	2A	524	66	28	1	5	64	88	36	5	3	1.6	.270	.417	.381	.112	.252	.380	.361	.272	5.2	41-1B 0	2.6

Historical Stats