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He's probably very handsome. Yamaico Navarro
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats R
Age 20
5' 11"
170 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 LOW 1A 253 36 10 1 5 37 22 52 12 6 1.2 .289 .357 .409 .144 .236 .289 .348 .223 -6.0 39-SS -2 0.8


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 2:37 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 564 65 34 3 7 49 36 123 18 9 1.1 .258 .310 .378 -.118 .251 .307 .386 .247 4.2 132-SS -2 3.4
75o 541 57 31 3 6 46 33 122 17 9 1.1 .248 .298 .358 -.171 .241 .295 .366 .236 -2.9 127-SS -2 2.7
60o 525 51 29 2 5 43 31 122 16 8 1.0 .241 .290 .345 -.208 .235 .287 .352 .228 -7.4 124-SS -2 2.2
50o 505 45 26 2 5 40 29 121 14 8 0.9 .233 .280 .329 -.252 .227 .277 .336 .218 -12.4 119-SS -2 1.7
40o 490 41 24 2 4 38 27 120 13 8 0.9 .227 .273 .317 -.283 .221 .270 .324 .211 -15.7 116-SS -2 1.4
25o 471 37 22 2 3 35 25 118 12 7 0.8 .220 .265 .303 -.320 .214 .262 .310 .202 -19.3 111-SS -2 1.0
10o 440 30 19 2 3 30 22 115 11 7 0.7 .209 .252 .282 -.377 .204 .249 .289 .187 -24.0 105-SS -1 0.4
Weighted Mean 519 45 26 2 4 40 29 126 14 8 0.9 .229 .275 .320 -.276 .222 .272 .327 .212 -15.7 122-SS -2 1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

46%

30%

7%

0.99

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 20) 519 45 26 2 4 40 29 126 14 8 0.9 .229 .275 .320 -.276 .222 .272 .327 .212 -15.7 122-SS -2 1.8
2009 (age 21) 538 53 28 2 5 45 33 116 16 8 0.8 .239 .289 .339 -.219 .236 .290 .352 .226 -7.0 126-SS -4 2.0
2010 (age 22) 511 51 27 3 6 45 31 107 13 7 0.7 .246 .295 .351 -.187 .243 .297 .366 .232 -3.5 120-SS -3 2.0
2011 (age 23) 490 51 26 2 7 43 32 98 13 7 0.7 .257 .309 .371 -.132 .253 .310 .386 .243 1.6 116-SS -5 2.0
2012 (age 24) 498 55 28 2 8 51 33 101 12 7 0.6 .262 .316 .389 -.091 .259 .317 .405 .251 4.6 117-SS -3 2.3
2013 (age 25) 432 41 22 2 5 40 30 85 10 5 0.4 .251 .307 .355 -.160 .248 .308 .369 .238 -0.5 103-SS -6 1.1
2014 (age 26) 461 47 25 2 6 46 31 93 13 6 0.3 .254 .308 .366 -.141 .251 .309 .381 .243 0.6 109-SS -6 1.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .244 .292 .346
vs RHP .224 .269 .308
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.7 2.6 1.8 $2,050,000 -12.5 0.0
2009 0.0 2.1 2.0 $2,400,000 -4.9 2.3
2010 0.2 1.9 2.0 $2,625,000 -1.9 4.1
2011 0.5 1.5 2.0 $3,050,000 1.1 5.1
2012 0.8 1.6 2.3 $4,700,000 5.6 5.5
2013 0.2 0.9 1.1 $1,575,000 -1.6 1.1
2014 0.3 0.8 1.1 $1,775,000 0.3 2.4
Peak 15.2 $19,050,000 7.4 20.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .236 .218 .202 .212
2009 .242 .217 .203 .226
2010 .245 .223 .204 .232
2011 .258 .231 .214 .243
2012 .268 .247 .220 .251
2013 .255 .232 .209 .238
2014 .258 .241 .219 .243


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 7% 0% 20%
2009 19% 8% 31%
2010 27% 15% 42%
2011 32% 23% 46%
2012 34% 30% 51%
2013 58% 42% 49%
2014 60% 52% 50%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

56

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Luis Maza 1992 40 11 Robinson Chirinos 2003 33
2 Teuris Olivares 1979 36 12 Chin_Lung Hu 1971 33
3 Antonio Perez 1981 36 13 Tony Alvarez 1982 33
4 Tomas De_La_Rosa 1970 36 14 William Bergolla 1960 33
5 Eduardo Reyes 1973 35 15 Jesus Soto 2007 32
6 Fausto Solano 1992 35 16 Deibinson Romero 1975 32
7 Hernando Arredondo 1975 34 17 Rayner Contreras 1969 32
8 Guillermo Garcia 1975 34 18 Tony Granadillo 2000 31
9 Jesus Guzman 1957 34 19 Jesus Cedeno 1979 30
10 Julio Lugo 1998 33 20 Asdrubal Cabrera 2005 30

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