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He's probably very handsome. Jarrod Parker
Arizona Diamondbacks [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 19
6' 1"
180 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 1:36 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 8 8 0 25 25 142.0 142 86 100 16 46% .290 9 1.60 4.73 4.89 4.60 8.5 4.8 5.9 0.9 17.9 2.9 3.3
75o 7 9 0 25 25 132.3 145 89 88 20 46% .301 0 1.77 5.86 5.89 5.66 9.3 5.4 5.6 1.3 0.5 1.1 1.5
60o 5 10 0 25 25 124.7 147 91 80 23 46% .309 -7 1.91 6.79 6.73 6.54 10.0 5.9 5.3 1.5 -12.1 -0.2 0.2
50o 5 10 0 24 24 122.0 148 92 77 24 46% .312 -10 1.96 7.14 7.04 6.86 10.3 6.0 5.2 1.6 -16.4 -0.7 -0.2
40o 4 11 0 24 24 116.0 149 93 70 26 46% .319 -16 2.08 7.96 7.78 7.61 10.9 6.4 5.0 1.9 -25.6 -1.6 -1.2
25o 4 11 0 24 24 111.3 150 94 64 28 46% .325 -21 2.18 8.65 8.41 8.25 11.4 6.8 4.8 2.1 -32.8 -2.4 -2.0
10o 2 11 0 23 23 97.0 149 95 49 32 45% .342 -38 2.52 10.87 10.46 10.26 13.1 7.9 4.2 2.7 -51.0 -4.3 -4.0
Weighted Mean 5 11 0 25 25 127.7 155 96 80 25 46% .313 -10 1.97 7.23 7.11 6.95 10.3 6.1 5.2 1.7 -17.1 -0.8 -0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

1.42

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 19) 5 11 0 25 25 127.7 155 96 80 25 46% .313 -10 1.97 7.23 7.11 6.95 10.3 6.1 5.2 1.7 -17.1 -0.8 -0.6
2009 (age 20) 6 11 0 26 26 139.0 163 88 93 25 44% .310 -4 1.80 6.46 6.37 6.20 9.9 5.1 5.6 1.5 -6.4 0.3 0.4
2010 (age 21) 5 9 0 22 22 114.3 138 68 74 21 47% .315 -5 1.80 6.81 6.47 6.58 10.3 4.8 5.4 1.6 -10.1 -0.3 0.0
2011 (age 22) 5 8 0 21 21 112.7 130 61 77 18 46% .312 1 1.69 6.13 5.89 5.92 9.8 4.3 5.7 1.4 -2.1 0.6 0.6
2012 (age 23) 4 8 0 26 17 98.0 118 49 60 18 47% .312 -8 1.70 6.65 6.12 6.45 10.2 4.0 5.2 1.5 -7.4 -0.2 0.1
2013 (age 24) 4 6 0 29 11 81.3 93 37 54 13 44% .306 -4 1.60 5.89 5.52 5.70 9.7 3.7 5.6 1.4 -0.1 0.4 0.8
2014 (age 25) 3 3 0 19 7 53.0 55 23 39 8 45% .287 3 1.45 4.74 4.75 4.58 8.7 3.4 6.2 1.3 11.8 0.9 2.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .297 .392 .497
vs RHB .288 .358 .458
Split +.009 +.034 +.039
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -0.6 $400,000 -19.7 2.5
2009 0.4 $575,000 -8.6 5.9
2010 0.0 $400,000 -12.2 5.7
2011 0.6 $750,000 -3.6 5.3
2012 0.1 $400,000 -9.1 2.4
2013 0.8 $1,075,000 -1.7 2.7
2014 2.0 $5,875,000 10.5 7.8
Peak 8.6 $11,650,000 30.9 43.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 5.66 6.86 8.25 6.95
2009 4.71 6.49 9.52 6.20
2010 4.65 6.78 8.27 6.58
2011 4.38 5.95 7.35 5.92
2012 5.76 7.05 9.47 6.45
2013 4.84 5.22 6.77 5.70
2014 3.60 4.19 5.25 4.58


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 N/A 0% N/A
2009 32% 6% 29%
2010 42% 12% 26%
2011 46% 25% 29%
2012 55% 8% 21%
2013 59% 18% 22%
2014 61% 23% 36%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

18

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Clint Everts 2004 73 11 Jason Marquis 1998 34
2 Brian Barber 1992 55 12 Scott Elbert 2005 34
3 Luis Cota 2005 54 13 Phil Hughes 2006 30
4 Gil Meche 1998 54 14 Mike Nannini 2000 29
5 Matt Belisle 2000 47 15 Chaz Roe 2006 28
6 Nick Neugebauer 2000 42 16 Kerry Wood 1997 26
7 Kurt Miller 1992 41 17 Doug Million 1995 25
8 Chad Billingsley 2004 39 18 Jon Garland 1999 23
9 Sean Burnett 2002 36 19 Kasey Kiker 2007 22
10 Matt Cain 2004 36 20 Bob Keppel 2002 21

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