<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

He's probably very handsome. Manuel Pina
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
5' 11"
165 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 RNG Rk 50 1 4 0 0 3 2 4 0 0 -1.0 .244 .300 .333 -.604 .167 .196 .229 .126 -16.8 -1.1
2007 CLN A 306 20 13 0 1 23 15 28 0 0 0.0 .228 .278 .285 -.541 .184 .222 .233 .142 -38.7 79-C -3 -2.6
2008 BAK A+ 244 31 10 1 3 24 14 22 1 0 0.5 .265 .313 .359 -.372 .211 .255 .304 .192 -17.4 60-C -4 -1.1
2008 FRI AA 89 7 7 0 0 9 5 12 1 0 -1.9 .275 .330 .363 -.325 .232 .273 .305 .206 -5.2 21-C 3 0.2


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 11:56 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 450 43 23 1 5 38 23 61 2 1 -1.0 .251 .295 .350 -.214 .247 .293 .354 .227 -4.4 107-C 4 1.7
75o 413 33 19 1 4 32 20 56 2 1 -0.8 .232 .275 .317 -.305 .229 .274 .320 .206 -12.9 98-C 3 0.7
60o 392 28 17 1 3 29 18 54 2 1 -0.8 .222 .265 .299 -.354 .219 .263 .302 .194 -16.7 94-C 2 0.1
50o 375 25 16 1 2 27 17 52 2 1 -0.7 .215 .257 .286 -.391 .212 .255 .289 .185 -19.1 90-C 2 -0.2
40o 362 23 15 1 2 26 16 50 2 1 -0.7 .210 .251 .276 -.417 .207 .249 .279 .178 -20.7 87-C 1 -0.5
25o 339 19 13 1 1 23 14 47 2 1 -0.6 .201 .241 .260 -.461 .198 .240 .263 .165 -22.8 82-C 1 -0.8
10o 217 7 7 0 0 10 8 31 1 0 -0.4 .168 .204 .200 -.625 .165 .203 .202 .097 -22.9 54-C -1 -1.6
Weighted Mean 387 27 17 1 3 28 18 53 2 1 -0.7 .218 .260 .291 -.344 .215 .259 .295 .189 -16.4 93-C 3 0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

50%

64%

21%

14%

1.14

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 22) 387 27 17 1 3 28 18 53 2 1 -0.7 .218 .260 .291 -.344 .215 .259 .295 .189 -16.4 93-C 3 0.0
2010 (age 23) 367 27 17 1 3 28 18 48 2 1 -0.5 .225 .269 .305 -.324 .224 .271 .312 .199 -10.4 88-C 3 0.2
2011 (age 24) 333 25 16 1 3 27 18 41 1 1 -0.4 .231 .278 .318 -.286 .230 .280 .326 .208 -5.9 81-C 0 0.3
2012 (age 25) 319 22 14 1 3 26 16 40 1 1 -0.3 .223 .270 .306 -.322 .223 .272 .313 .200 -5.8 77-C 0 0.1
2013 (age 26) 327 24 16 1 3 28 17 41 1 1 -0.2 .222 .272 .315 -.307 .222 .274 .322 .204 -4.8 79-C -2 0.1
2014 (age 27) 321 22 14 1 3 25 16 43 1 1 -0.1 .220 .265 .305 -.334 .220 .267 .312 .198 -4.2 78-C -1 0.1
2015 (age 28) 315 19 16 0 2 25 14 39 1 1 -0.1 .209 .250 .289 -.388 .209 .252 .296 .184 -5.1 76-C 0 0.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .234 .278 .318
vs RHP .214 .254 .281
Split +.020 +.025 +.037
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -16.4 3.0 0.0 $400,000 -13.7 0.2
2010 -12.5 3.0 0.2 $400,000 -8.5 0.5
2011 -8.6 0.0 0.3 $400,000 -4.9 1.5
2012 -10.5 0.0 0.1 $400,000 -5.2 0.8
2013 -9.7 -2.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.6 0.2
2014 -11.3 -1.0 0.1 $400,000 -3.3 0.3
2015 -14.7 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -3.7 0.4
Peak 0.8 $625,000 -2.9 3.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .206 .185 .165 .189
2010 .227 .203 .174 .199
2011 .229 .211 .180 .208
2012 .229 .195 .173 .200
2013 .232 .210 .176 .204
2014 .220 .192 .176 .198
2015 .218 .182 .122 .184


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 14% 0% 50%
2010 38% 24% 62%
2011 52% 39% 63%
2012 62% 51% 59%
2013 72% 56% 59%
2014 80% 67% 56%
2015 78% 70% 51%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

58

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jaime Torres 1995 55 11 Francisco Hernandez 2008 42
2 Felix Antigua 1991 54 12 Jose Yepez 2003 41
3 Carlos Zayas 1988 52 13 Oscar Mejia 1983 41
4 Robinson Cancel 1998 46 14 Gilberto Roca 1988 41
5 Yorvit Torrealba 2000 46 15 Hector Rivera 1983 41
6 Wiki Gonzalez 1996 46 16 Raul Chavez 1995 40
7 Jose Nunez 2001 43 17 Brian Luderer 2000 40
8 Luis Oliveros 2005 43 18 Felipe Gonzalez 1986 39
9 Chad Strickland 1994 42 19 Omar Malave 1985 39
10 Fernando Lunar 1999 42 20 Gilberto Martinez 1989 38

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.