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He's probably very handsome. Buster Posey
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
6' 2"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 GIA Rk 31 8 3 1 1 4 5 4 0 0 0.0 .385 .484 .692 -.059 .250 .323 .429 .258 1.3 4-C -1 0.0
2008 SLO A- 14 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0.0 .273 .429 .455 -.015 .250 .357 .417 .251 0.8 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 11:24 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 634 97 40 4 24 90 62 124 9 3 0.9 .290 .364 .504 .161 .290 .364 .519 .298 46.5 148-C -15 5.7
75o 617 87 38 4 21 83 59 126 9 3 0.9 .279 .352 .477 .094 .278 .351 .491 .286 35.7 144-C -15 4.7
60o 593 74 34 4 17 74 53 128 8 3 0.8 .263 .333 .438 -.002 .262 .333 .452 .269 21.0 139-C -14 3.4
50o 589 72 34 4 17 73 53 128 8 3 0.8 .260 .331 .433 -.016 .260 .331 .446 .267 18.9 138-C -13 3.2
40o 574 65 32 3 14 67 50 129 8 3 0.8 .251 .320 .411 -.072 .251 .320 .423 .256 11.0 135-C -13 2.4
25o 561 59 30 3 13 63 47 129 7 3 0.7 .243 .311 .392 -.118 .243 .311 .404 .247 4.6 132-C -12 1.8
10o 532 47 27 3 9 53 42 130 7 3 0.7 .226 .292 .353 -.217 .226 .292 .363 .227 -7.9 125-C -11 0.6
Weighted Mean 561 56 30 3 12 60 46 132 7 3 0.7 .237 .304 .378 -.153 .237 .304 .390 .239 2.8 132-C -14 1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

0.95

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 22) 561 56 30 3 12 60 46 132 7 3 0.7 .237 .304 .378 -.153 .237 .304 .390 .239 2.8 132-C -14 1.5
2010 (age 23) 551 59 31 3 14 61 48 122 7 4 0.8 .247 .315 .403 -.111 .243 .311 .410 .251 7.1 129-C -15 1.9
2011 (age 24) 544 61 30 3 14 62 51 112 8 3 0.9 .254 .327 .413 -.072 .250 .322 .420 .258 11.3 128-C -17 2.3
2012 (age 25) 444 46 25 3 11 53 41 88 6 3 0.7 .258 .330 .421 -.055 .254 .325 .428 .261 10.3 105-C -12 2.0
2013 (age 26) 429 43 23 3 11 51 38 85 7 2 0.8 .254 .324 .416 -.073 .250 .319 .423 .258 9.0 102-C -10 2.0
2014 (age 27) 472 52 26 3 14 60 42 89 8 3 0.8 .259 .327 .431 -.043 .255 .323 .439 .263 10.2 112-C -10 1.8
2015 (age 28) 528 58 29 2 13 65 51 97 8 3 0.9 .254 .327 .407 -.081 .250 .322 .414 .256 7.6 124-C -12 1.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .253 .321 .402
vs RHP .232 .297 .364
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -6.7 -14.0 1.5 $1,750,000 2.2 5.3
2010 0.2 -15.0 1.9 $2,550,000 5.3 6.4
2011 4.6 -17.0 2.3 $3,625,000 9.1 9.8
2012 5.4 -12.0 2.0 $3,650,000 9.2 13.8
2013 3.8 -10.0 2.0 $3,850,000 8.7 12.8
2014 6.6 -10.0 1.8 $3,850,000 8.5 9.8
2015 3.5 -12.0 1.9 $4,050,000 7.3 11.7
Peak 11.8 $14,100,000 49.9 66.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .286 .267 .247 .239
2010 .274 .251 .238 .251
2011 .281 .259 .235 .258
2012 .275 .254 .226 .261
2013 .290 .256 .227 .258
2014 .289 .263 .237 .263
2015 .294 .256 .222 .256


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 N/A 0% N/A
2010 N/A 5% N/A
2011 N/A 6% N/A
2012 N/A 14% N/A
2013 N/A 12% N/A
2014 N/A 23% N/A
2015 N/A 24% N/A

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

0

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Randy Hunt 1982 41 11 Augie Schmidt 1983 28
2 Eric Munson 2000 39 12 Tim Costo 1991 27
3 Pat Burrell 1999 38 13 Michael Aubrey 2004 27
4 Rick Nelson 1986 38 14 Bob Horner 1979 27
5 Mike Kelly 1992 37 15 Moises Alou 1988 27
6 Will Clark 1986 33 16 Javier Ortiz 1985 26
7 B.J. Surhoff 1986 33 17 Kurt Beamesderfer 1985 25
8 Jeff King 1987 31 18 Dave McCarty 1992 25
9 Ryan Braun 2006 30 19 Jose Cruz_Jr 1996 23
10 Evan Longoria 2008 28 20 Greg Vaughn 1987 22

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