Juan Ramirez

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2007	EVE	1A	3	7	0	15	15	75.3	61	43	73	3	47%	.272	-31	1.38	4.30	6.92	9.27	9.5	8.7	3.5	1.2	-27.3		-2.1

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 2:19 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
90^o	5	10	0	23	23	117.0	126	97	62	16	46%	.289	-14	1.90	6.01	6.34	6.13	9.5	6.8	4.1	1.2	-8.8	0.0	0.3
75^o	4	10	0	23	23	111.0	126	100	59	17	46%	.298	-19	2.03	6.80	7.00	6.92	10.0	7.3	4.1	1.4	-19.2	-1.0	-0.8
60^o	3	11	0	22	22	101.7	125	103	54	18	46%	.312	-28	2.23	8.18	8.06	8.30	10.8	8.3	4.1	1.6	-35.0	-2.7	-2.4
50^o	2	11	0	22	22	97.3	123	103	52	19	45%	.317	-31	2.32	8.94	8.52	9.09	11.1	8.6	4.1	1.7	-42.9	-3.5	-3.2
40^o	2	11	0	22	22	95.0	122	102	50	19	45%	.319	-33	2.35	9.37	8.69	9.55	11.2	8.8	4.1	1.8	-47.3	-4.0	-3.7
25^o	2	10	0	26	19	91.7	116	97	49	18	45%	.317	-36	2.32	10.35	8.50	10.74	11.1	8.6	4.1	1.7	-59.0	-5.1	-4.8
10^o	1	14	0	25	17	125.3	48	-4	69	-11	44%	.163	#NUM!	0.35	8.96	#NUM!	14.14	3.4	-0.3	4.3	0.0	-133.4	-12.0	-10.9
Weighted Mean	3	11	0	23	23	104.3	128	106	55	19	45%	.312	-28	2.24	8.38	8.08	8.53	10.8	8.3	4.1	1.6	-33.7	-3.0	-2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
30%	54%	18%	12%	1.64

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2008 (age 19)	3	11	0	23	23	104.3	128	106	55	19	45%	.312	-28	2.24	8.38	8.08	8.53	10.8	8.3	4.1	1.6	-33.7	-3.0	-2.1
2009 (age 20)	3	9	0	30	18	100.3	121	91	58	18	45%	.312	-27	2.11	7.73	7.64	7.83	10.6	7.4	4.5	1.6	-24.7	-2.1	-1.3
2010 (age 21)	3	9	0	34	17	100.3	120	91	58	17	44%	.311	-28	2.09	7.66	7.52	7.77	10.5	7.4	4.5	1.5	-21.4	-2.1	-1.1
2011 (age 22)	3	7	0	30	11	78.3	91	64	50	12	44%	.313	-21	1.98	6.95	6.98	7.05	10.2	6.7	4.9	1.4	-11.3	-1.0	-0.3
2012 (age 23)	3	7	0	35	10	84.3	96	59	52	13	45%	.303	-19	1.83	6.61	6.46	6.73	10.0	5.7	4.8	1.4	-8.8	-0.8	-0.1
2013 (age 24)	2	4	0	27	6	58.0	66	39	38	9	44%	.308	-17	1.80	6.46	6.33	6.57	10.0	5.4	5.1	1.4	-5.9	-0.5	0.0
2014 (age 25)	1	3	0	17	4	35.7	41	22	25	5	45%	.314	-13	1.75	6.42	6.10	6.56	10.1	5.0	5.4	1.4	-4.5	-0.3	0.0

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHB	.294	.467	.488
vs RHB	.280	.433	.440
Split	+.014	+.034	+.048
LgAvg	+.009	+.034	+.039

Valuation

Year	WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2008	-2.1	$400,000	-32.4	0.3
2009	-1.3	$400,000	-23.6	0.7
2010	-1.1	$400,000	-20.5	0.5
2011	-0.3	$400,000	-10.7	1.5
2012	0.0	$400,000	-8.3	1.7
2013	0.0	$400,000	-5.5	1.4
2014	0.0	$400,000	-4.2	0.4
Peak	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	6.92	9.09	10.74	8.53
2009	6.93	8.06	10.18	7.83
2010	6.19	7.71	9.97	7.77
2011	5.82	6.78	8.75	7.05
2012	5.44	6.79	8.59	6.73
2013	5.13	6.08	8.86	6.57
2014	6.26	7.14	8.49	6.56

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	12%	0%	30%
2009	23%	5%	38%
2010	29%	15%	42%
2011	50%	30%	46%
2012	57%	37%	46%
2013	67%	43%	44%
2014	82%	58%	36%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

38

Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend
1	Rafael Rodriguez	2004	47		11	Elvis Polanco	1998	27
2	Jermaine Van_Buren	2000	35		12	Aneury Rodriguez	2007	26
3	Chris Gambs	1993	33		13	Anthony Pluta	2002	25
4	Hal Garrett	1995	31		14	Cam Cairncross	1992	25
5	Luis Yanez	1997	30		15	Clint Everts	2004	25
6	Jorge Julio	1999	29		16	Corey Avrard	1996	25
7	Doug Johnston	1998	29		17	Brett Herbison	1997	25
8	Jacobo Sequea	2001	28		18	Renyel Pinto	2002	24
9	Gonzalo Lopez	2003	28		19	Chris Mowday	2001	24
10	Paul Mildren	2004	27		20	Robinson Tejeda	2002	24

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