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He's probably very handsome. Kyle Reynolds
Chicago Cubs [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats L
Age 24
6' 2"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 BOI 1A 215 28 6 3 5 24 12 52 4 2 -0.4 .256 .307 .392 -.036 .196 .233 .289 .174 -29.2 26-SS 1 0.0
2006 PEO 1B 362 36 14 5 9 38 25 91 9 5 1.0 .230 .287 .384 -.026 .192 .238 .320 .192 -24.7 45-3B 1 1.0
2007 DAY 1C 265 30 13 2 12 44 15 53 7 2 -1.6 .282 .321 .496 .130 .244 .282 .440 .246 4.2 63-3B -8 0.8
2007 TEN 2A 149 24 9 0 9 35 8 29 2 2 1.3 .281 .322 .540 .168 .248 .287 .489 .255 5.7 23-3B 0 0.7


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 6:08 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 464 57 29 3 19 64 29 114 8 3 0.5 .259 .308 .474 -.019 .253 .304 .465 .258 10.0 110-3B 3 3.4
75o 451 51 26 2 17 59 27 114 8 3 0.5 .248 .296 .444 -.090 .242 .291 .436 .245 2.5 107-3B 1 2.6
60o 441 46 24 2 16 54 26 114 8 3 0.4 .239 .286 .421 -.145 .233 .282 .413 .234 -3.1 105-3B 0 1.9
50o 438 46 23 2 15 53 25 114 8 3 0.4 .237 .284 .416 -.157 .231 .280 .408 .232 -4.3 104-3B -1 1.8
40o 430 42 22 2 14 50 24 113 8 3 0.4 .230 .277 .399 -.197 .225 .272 .392 .224 -8.1 102-3B -2 1.3
25o 422 39 20 2 13 47 24 113 8 4 0.4 .224 .270 .383 -.235 .219 .266 .376 .216 -11.6 100-3B -3 0.9
10o 411 36 18 2 12 43 22 112 8 4 0.4 .216 .261 .363 -.283 .211 .257 .356 .206 -15.8 98-3B -4 0.3
Weighted Mean 477 51 25 2 16 60 28 124 9 4 0.4 .237 .284 .416 -.157 .231 .280 .408 .231 -2.1 113-3B -1 1.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

37%

68%

6%

11%

0.71

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 477 51 25 2 16 60 28 124 9 4 0.4 .237 .284 .416 -.157 .231 .280 .408 .231 -2.1 113-3B -1 1.9
2009 (age 25) 431 45 22 2 15 55 26 112 7 3 0.3 .237 .287 .414 -.154 .229 .278 .399 .232 -3.1 103-3B -2 1.2
2010 (age 26) 408 42 20 2 15 53 26 105 7 3 0.2 .239 .289 .421 -.139 .230 .280 .406 .235 -1.4 97-3B -3 1.0
2011 (age 27) 425 48 23 2 17 61 30 105 8 3 0.2 .248 .303 .443 -.079 .239 .294 .427 .247 1.6 101-3B -4 1.0
2012 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .210 .256 .373
vs RHP .245 .296 .452
Split -.035 -.040 -.079
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.1 1.8 1.9 $2,100,000 -4.5 0.7
2009 0.1 1.1 1.2 $1,375,000 -6.0 0.0
2010 0.2 0.8 1.0 $1,175,000 -3.9 0.5
2011 0.4 0.6 1.0 $1,225,000 -0.7 1.2
2012 0.4 0.5 0.8 $1,325,000 1.1 2.8
2013 0.2 0.3 0.4 $725,000 -0.2 0.7
2014 0.1 0.3 0.4 $750,000 0.1 0.5
Peak 6.4 $4,800,000 1.1 6.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .245 .232 .216 .231
2009 .252 .233 .218 .232
2010 .257 .238 .218 .235
2011 .264 .247 .220 .247
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 37%
2009 26% 17% 38%
2010 45% 34% 39%
2011 60% 49% 40%
2012 75% 68% 37%
2013 84% 82% 32%
2014 92% 86% 27%

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