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He's probably very handsome. Tyler Robertson
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws L
Age 20
6' 5"
220 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 TWI OR 4 2 0 11 10 48.1 54 15 54 2 48% .380 -19 1.43 4.30 9.52 8.19 13.7 6.0 5.3 1.8 -11.7 -0.7
2007 BLT 1B 9 5 1 18 16 102.3 87 33 123 3 59% .324 1 1.17 2.29 6.39 5.73 10.8 5.9 6.0 0.9 -1.2 1.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 2:36 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 8 9 0 25 25 141.3 149 84 109 12 50% .316 11 1.65 4.31 5.09 4.23 9.2 4.9 6.1 0.8 19.0 3.0 3.5
75o 6 10 0 24 24 131.3 150 83 99 13 51% .331 5 1.78 5.19 5.79 5.12 10.0 5.2 5.9 0.9 3.2 1.3 1.9
60o 5 10 0 24 24 125.3 150 83 93 13 51% .340 2 1.85 5.72 6.21 5.66 10.4 5.4 5.8 1.0 -5.3 0.4 1.0
50o 5 10 0 24 24 122.0 150 82 89 14 51% .345 0 1.90 6.04 6.46 5.98 10.7 5.5 5.8 1.0 -10.0 0.0 0.5
40o 4 10 0 23 23 118.0 150 82 85 14 51% .351 -3 1.96 6.45 6.79 6.39 11.1 5.7 5.7 1.1 -15.6 -0.6 -0.1
25o 3 10 0 22 22 107.0 148 80 74 14 51% .367 -9 2.13 7.55 7.68 7.51 12.0 6.1 5.4 1.2 -28.9 -2.0 -1.5
10o 2 10 0 20 20 91.0 142 75 59 15 51% .390 -20 2.38 9.29 9.08 9.26 13.6 6.8 5.1 1.4 -44.3 -3.7 -3.2
Weighted Mean 5 11 0 26 26 133.3 165 90 97 15 51% .346 -1 1.91 6.16 6.54 6.10 10.8 5.6 5.7 1.0 -11.5 -0.2 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

24%

52%

25%

11%

1.49

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 20) 5 11 0 26 26 133.3 165 90 97 15 51% .346 -1 1.91 6.16 6.54 6.10 10.8 5.6 5.7 1.0 -11.5 -0.2 0.6
2009 (age 21) 6 10 0 34 22 132.0 154 74 100 13 51% .335 0 1.73 5.54 5.71 5.51 10.2 4.6 6.0 0.9 -2.6 0.6 1.2
2010 (age 22) 5 9 0 31 18 110.0 128 58 78 12 50% .329 -2 1.69 5.58 5.58 5.56 10.1 4.3 5.6 0.9 -2.6 0.4 1.0
2011 (age 23) 5 9 0 34 18 114.0 138 66 82 9 51% .345 -3 1.79 5.89 5.83 5.92 10.5 4.7 5.7 0.7 -7.2 -0.1 0.7
2012 (age 24) 5 9 1 36 18 118.0 142 57 90 11 52% .345 2 1.68 5.29 5.55 5.25 10.5 4.0 6.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.3
2013 (age 25) 4 6 1 32 11 82.7 101 38 61 8 52% .345 -1 1.68 5.42 5.65 5.39 10.6 3.8 5.8 0.9 -0.7 0.4 1.1
2014 (age 26) 2 4 0 22 7 55.3 66 25 40 5 52% .338 -2 1.65 5.39 5.39 5.40 10.4 3.8 5.7 0.8 -0.7 0.2 1.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .270 .382 .398
vs RHB .291 .412 .442
Split -.020 -.030 -.044
LgAvg -.020 -.021 -.054

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.6 $675,000 -7.9 3.7
2009 1.2 $1,450,000 0.4 7.1
2010 1.0 $1,125,000 -0.2 5.4
2011 0.7 $850,000 -4.3 3.5
2012 1.3 $2,350,000 3.1 5.2
2013 1.1 $1,925,000 1.7 5.5
2014 1.0 $1,675,000 1.3 5.0
Peak 6.2 $5,275,000 6.2 33.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 5.12 5.98 7.51 6.10
2009 4.51 5.25 7.11 5.51
2010 4.54 5.84 7.49 5.56
2011 4.89 6.09 8.20 5.92
2012 4.51 5.16 6.76 5.25
2013 4.73 6.42 7.29 5.39
2014 4.61 6.30 7.83 5.40


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 24%
2009 23% 9% 35%
2010 42% 18% 30%
2011 32% 11% 24%
2012 35% 20% 26%
2013 44% 24% 26%
2014 53% 29% 19%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

43

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Dennys Reyes 1997 51 11 Jose Silva 1994 31
2 Michael Bowden 2007 37 12 Zach Day 1998 30
3 Bill Pulsipher 1994 36 13 Jimmy Haynes 1993 30
4 Jonathon Niese 2007 35 14 Jason Marquis 1999 30
5 Tavo Alvarez 1992 34 15 Steve Hoff 1998 30
6 Troy Patton 2006 33 16 Adam Miller 2005 29
7 Greg Miller 2000 32 17 Wilfredo Rodriguez 1999 28
8 Carl Pavano 1996 32 18 Chris George 2000 28
9 Hayden Penn 2005 31 19 Anthony Swarzak 2006 28
10 Scott Olsen 2004 31 20 Don Levinski 2003 27

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