John Rodriguez

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:27 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	277	47	16	2	10	34	28	62	3	1	0.0	.275	.355	.474	.096	.278	.361	.498	.297	13.7	68-LF -3	2.3
75^o	252	35	13	1	8	30	24	59	2	1	0.0	.252	.331	.426	-.024	.255	.336	.448	.275	5.0	62-LF -3	1.5
60^o	241	31	12	1	7	28	22	57	2	1	0.0	.243	.321	.406	-.074	.246	.326	.427	.266	1.8	60-LF -2	1.2
50^o	231	27	11	1	6	26	21	56	2	1	0.0	.234	.311	.387	-.122	.237	.316	.407	.256	-1.0	57-LF -2	0.9
40^o	221	24	10	1	5	24	19	54	2	1	0.0	.225	.302	.369	-.165	.228	.307	.388	.247	-3.3	55-LF -2	0.7
25^o	190	16	8	1	4	19	15	49	2	1	0.0	.202	.276	.320	-.287	.205	.281	.336	.220	-8.6	48-LF -2	0.1
10^o	161	11	6	0	2	15	12	43	1	0	0.0	.183	.254	.278	-.390	.185	.258	.293	.194	-11.3	42-LF -2	-0.3
Weighted Mean	190	21	9	1	5	22	17	45	2	1	0.0	.240	.317	.399	-.090	.243	.323	.420	.261	1.5	48-LF -2	1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
8%	23%	49%	34%	1.05

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 30)	190	21	9	1	5	22	17	45	2	1	0.0	.240	.317	.399	-.090	.243	.323	.420	.261	1.5	48-LF -2	1.3
2009 (age 31)	187	22	9	1	6	23	18	44	2	1	0.0	.248	.329	.419	-.040	.256	.340	.448	.272	2.4	48-LF -2	1.0
2010 (age 32)	195	23	9	1	6	24	18	46	1	1	0.0	.248	.326	.414	-.052	.255	.337	.443	.269	1.4	49-LF -2	0.7
2011 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.210	.290	.352
vs RHP	.249	.331	.437
Split	-.039	-.040	-.085
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.7	0.6	1.3	$1,675,000	2.0	2.2
2009	0.7	0.3	1.0	$1,500,000	2.7	2.3
2010	0.5	0.2	0.7	$1,150,000	1.9	3.1
2011	0.3	0.2	0.5	$1,125,000	2.2	1.7
2012	0.3	0.1	0.5	$1,100,000	1.8	2.7
2013	0.2	0.1	0.3	$775,000	0.8	0.6
2014	0.1	0.1	0.1	$500,000	-0.5	0.0
Peak			4.3	$4,250,000	11.3	12.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.275	.256	.220	.261
2009	.283	.269	.240	.272
2010	.284	.252	.227	.269
2011	-- out of baseball --
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	34%	0%	8%
2009	53%	31%	11%
2010	68%	49%	7%
2011	80%	70%	6%
2012	84%	74%	7%
2013	89%	82%	7%
2014	91%	85%	3%

Player Comments

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2007

Rodriguez possesses one of the strangest batting setups of recent times; it`s entertaining, but more importantly, it works. In fact, Rodriguez is a better hitter than a lot of his better-compensated major league colleagues, and it would be nice to see him get more playing time so both he and the Cards could reap the benefits. Rodriguez has been used almost exclusively against right-handers, but it`s not like he`s proven himself a failure against his own kind, going .300/.451/.450 in the 50 chances he`s been given at the big league level. No one has ever believed in Rodriguez--the Yankees washed their hands of him, and maybe the Cards don`t quite buy him either. Better they wake up and give him a chance to get 400 at-bats as the strong side of a platoon than they keep punishing themselves with the likes of Encarnacion.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	BUF	3A	196	25	13	3	5	23	15	40	5	0	1.4	.247	.323	.447	-.020	.225	.296	.399	.247	-1.3	23-CF 0	1.0
2005	MEM	3A	137	24	5	0	17	47	13	28	1	1	-0.3	.342	.419	.808	.811	.293	.360	.675	.323	16.6	16-RF -1	1.9
2005	SLN	MJ	176	15	6	0	5	24	19	45	2	0	-0.3	.295	.382	.436	.153	.287	.374	.433	.285	9.1	32-LF 2	1.5
2006	MEM	3A	76	10	4	1	3	7	11	18	0	0	0.6	.266	.373	.500	.224	.246	.347	.477	.280	2.2	18-RF 3	0.7
2006	SLN	MJ	212	31	12	3	2	20	21	45	0	0	-2.2	.301	.374	.432	.105	.301	.374	.432	.284	8.8	26-LF 0	1.6
2007	MEM	3A	192	35	12	1	8	27	23	35	1	0	0.4	.263	.375	.500	.184	.239	.347	.460	.279	3.5	21-LF -2	1.4

Historical Stats