Austin Romine

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008	CSC	A	436	66	24	1	10	49	25	56	3	0	-0.8	.300	.344	.437	-.150	.260	.300	.386	.237	-4.0	51-C -6	-0.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 1:13 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	576	68	34	3	12	67	36	91	5	3	0.8	.276	.323	.418	-.004	.281	.329	.445	.267	19.2	135-C -19	2.6
75^o	559	62	33	2	11	63	34	90	4	2	0.8	.268	.315	.403	-.047	.272	.320	.429	.259	13.1	131-C -18	2.0
60^o	534	53	30	2	9	56	32	89	4	2	0.7	.256	.303	.381	-.110	.260	.308	.405	.247	4.6	126-C -16	1.3
50^o	517	48	28	2	8	52	30	88	4	2	0.7	.248	.294	.366	-.151	.252	.300	.390	.239	-0.5	122-C -15	0.8
40^o	501	44	26	2	7	49	28	87	4	2	0.6	.241	.287	.353	-.189	.245	.292	.375	.231	-4.9	118-C -15	0.4
25^o	471	37	24	2	6	42	26	85	3	2	0.6	.229	.274	.329	-.255	.232	.278	.350	.217	-11.9	111-C -13	-0.2
10^o	436	29	21	1	4	35	23	83	3	2	0.5	.215	.259	.304	-.326	.219	.264	.323	.201	-18.3	104-C -11	-0.9
Weighted Mean	535	51	29	2	8	54	31	91	4	2	0.7	.248	.294	.365	-.169	.252	.299	.389	.238	-1.1	126-C -16	0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
38%	61%	17%	9%	1.23

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 20)	535	51	29	2	8	54	31	91	4	2	0.7	.248	.294	.365	-.169	.252	.299	.389	.238	-1.1	126-C -16	0.7
2010 (age 21)	519	54	29	2	10	57	34	82	4	2	0.7	.258	.310	.393	-.061	.266	.319	.423	.254	7.9	122-C -16	1.5
2011 (age 22)	448	45	25	2	10	48	29	71	4	2	0.7	.265	.315	.406	-.027	.273	.325	.437	.260	10.2	106-C -15	1.5
2012 (age 23)	453	46	25	2	9	50	31	71	4	2	0.8	.264	.317	.402	-.030	.272	.327	.433	.260	9.6	107-C -14	1.5
2013 (age 24)	418	42	21	1	10	48	28	65	3	2	0.7	.263	.316	.408	-.024	.271	.326	.439	.261	8.4	100-C -12	1.3
2014 (age 25)	373	38	20	1	10	45	27	58	3	2	0.6	.271	.326	.432	.034	.279	.336	.465	.271	10.7	89-C -14	1.4
2015 (age 26)	415	42	23	2	11	50	29	62	3	2	0.6	.262	.314	.416	-.017	.270	.324	.448	.262	7.4	99-C -14	1.0

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.263	.312	.391
vs RHP	.243	.287	.352
Split	+.020	+.025	+.039
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-9.3	-16.0	0.7	$950,000	0.3	2.5
2010	-0.4	-16.0	1.5	$2,775,000	9.7	7.9
2011	2.6	-15.0	1.5	$3,275,000	10.9	9.2
2012	2.7	-14.0	1.5	$3,525,000	11.0	11.0
2013	2.9	-12.0	1.3	$3,325,000	9.8	9.9
2014	7.1	-14.0	1.4	$4,100,000	11.5	10.6
2015	3.4	-14.0	1.0	$3,025,000	7.5	9.0
Peak			8.3	$12,925,000	60.3	58.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.259	.239	.217	.238
2010	.273	.252	.228	.254
2011	.279	.257	.229	.260
2012	.277	.250	.232	.260
2013	.280	.248	.232	.261
2014	.291	.266	.244	.271
2015	.283	.261	.230	.262

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	9%	0%	38%
2010	13%	4%	60%
2011	20%	5%	65%
2012	18%	9%	58%
2013	37%	15%	59%
2014	45%	30%	64%
2015	52%	29%	51%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

45

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Dave Valle	1981	41		11	Pee-Wee Lopez	1997	30
2	Angel Salome	2007	39		12	Brent Butler	1998	29
3	Bryan Anderson	2007	35		13	John Flammang	1981	29
4	Ricky Jordan	1986	34		14	Luis Lopez	1985	28
5	Steve Gibralter	1993	33		15	Dave Hansen	1989	27
6	Joe Orsulak	1983	33		16	Ruben Mateo	1998	27
7	Jeff Mathis	2003	32		17	Jason Romano	2000	26
8	Cesar King	1998	31		18	Al Pardo	1983	26
9	Darren Reed	1986	31		19	Chris Cassels	1989	26
10	Chad Spann	2004	30		20	Steve Padia	1983	26

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