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He's probably very handsome. Sergio Romo
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 25
5' 11"
185 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 SLO 1A 7 1 0 15 14 68.7 70 9 65 7 44% .321 -25 1.15 2.75 9.60 7.39 13.5 3.7 4.0 2.7 -11.1 -0.5
2006 AUG 1B 10 2 4 31 10 103.0 78 19 95 9 36% .255 -14 0.94 2.53 5.74 5.30 9.1 3.3 4.4 2.0 3.1 1.7
2007 SJO 1C 6 2 9 41 0 66.3 35 15 106 4 35% .267 21 0.75 1.36 3.75 3.13 6.6 3.3 9.4 1.0 16.5 3.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 2:52 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 3 2 28 6 67.3 56 24 60 7 38% .261 16 1.18 2.54 3.48 2.70 7.2 3.0 7.4 0.9 23.3 2.4 3.1
75o 4 4 2 27 6 64.7 57 24 56 8 38% .269 12 1.25 3.16 4.00 3.36 7.7 3.2 7.2 1.0 17.4 1.8 2.5
60o 3 4 1 26 6 62.7 58 25 54 8 38% .275 9 1.31 3.64 4.40 3.87 8.0 3.3 7.1 1.2 13.1 1.4 2.0
50o 3 4 1 26 6 60.7 58 25 51 9 38% .281 6 1.36 4.07 4.76 4.32 8.4 3.5 7.0 1.3 9.6 1.1 1.6
40o 3 4 1 25 6 58.3 59 25 49 10 38% .287 3 1.43 4.64 5.25 4.93 8.8 3.7 6.9 1.4 5.1 0.7 1.2
25o 2 4 1 24 6 54.7 59 26 44 10 38% .299 -4 1.56 5.65 6.10 5.99 9.5 3.9 6.6 1.6 -1.9 0.0 0.4
10o 2 4 0 22 5 50.7 60 26 39 11 38% .310 -10 1.69 6.74 7.02 7.13 10.3 4.3 6.4 1.9 -8.5 -0.6 -0.3
Weighted Mean 3 4 1 27 6 63.3 61 26 53 10 38% .283 5 1.38 4.25 4.90 4.52 8.5 3.5 7.0 1.3 8.0 1.0 1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

40%

61%

20%

13%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 25) 3 4 1 27 6 63.3 61 26 53 10 38% .283 5 1.38 4.25 4.90 4.52 8.5 3.5 7.0 1.3 8.0 1.0 1.4
2009 (age 26) 3 4 1 25 6 58.7 54 24 51 9 38% .275 6 1.33 4.13 4.57 4.41 8.1 3.4 7.2 1.3 6.3 1.0 1.1
2010 (age 27) 3 4 1 24 6 57.7 55 23 43 8 34% .268 0 1.34 4.06 4.57 4.33 8.3 3.3 6.1 1.3 6.0 1.0 1.0
2011 (age 28) 3 3 1 24 5 54.7 54 21 42 7 38% .285 2 1.37 4.05 4.66 4.34 8.7 3.3 6.3 1.1 4.2 1.0 0.7
2012 (age 29) 3 3 1 23 5 54.3 52 19 45 8 37% .276 6 1.30 3.93 4.46 4.19 8.3 2.9 6.8 1.3 3.3 1.0 0.5
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .239 .341 .404
vs RHB .226 .305 .362
Split +.013 +.036 +.043
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 1.4 $2,525,000 7.1 7.4
2009 1.1 $2,075,000 5.7 6.6
2010 1.0 $2,075,000 5.5 5.2
2011 0.7 $1,550,000 3.8 2.6
2012 0.5 $1,325,000 3.0 2.1
2013 0.4 $1,025,000 1.9 2.0
2014 0.3 $1,025,000 2.0 1.1
Peak 5.0 $7,175,000 25.1 25.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 3.36 4.32 5.99 4.52
2009 3.00 4.45 5.82 4.41
2010 3.52 4.32 5.50 4.33
2011 3.84 4.55 4.82 4.34
2012 3.53 4.31 5.32 4.19
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 13% 0% 40%
2009 35% 23% 35%
2010 45% 34% 34%
2011 66% 47% 24%
2012 70% 66% 24%
2013 76% 68% 19%
2014 88% 80% 18%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

44

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Heath Haynes 1994 46 11 Carlos Guevara 2007 30
2 Santos Hernandez 1998 43 12 Justin Hedrick 2007 29
3 Bo Donaldson 2000 41 13 Jason Hart 1997 29
4 Chris Demaria 2006 40 14 Shawn Sonnier 2001 28
5 Brian Reed 1996 37 15 Pat Neshek 2006 28
6 Matt Stevens 1992 37 16 LARRY SHENK 1994 28
7 Jeff Muessig 2007 35 17 Dan Miceli 1996 27
8 Josh Newman 2007 34 18 Aaron Rakers 2002 27
9 Jeff Pierce 1994 32 19 Todd Bussa 1998 26
10 David Shafer 2007 30 20 Colin Young 2002 26

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