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He's probably very handsome. Alberto Rosario
Anaheim Angels [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
6'
165 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 ANG Rk 81 11 4 0 1 9 5 9 2 2 -0.6 .301 .350 .397 -.501 .195 .222 .260 .160 -20.7 19-C 6 0.4
2008 ORM Rk 57 5 5 1 0 9 1 13 0 0 -0.1 .236 .263 .364 -.730 .143 .158 .196 .000 -17.9 13-C 4 -0.3
2008 CDR A 49 5 2 0 0 2 1 11 1 1 0.2 .239 .255 .283 -.565 .191 .208 .234 .124 -6.5 14-C 6 0.3
2008 RCU A+ 134 11 5 0 0 14 8 18 3 1 -0.7 .218 .261 .258 -.593 .175 .215 .206 .127 -18.6 36-C -2 -1.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:26 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 353 25 15 1 2 28 16 72 3 2 -0.6 .220 .259 .293 -.353 .219 .261 .306 .194 -15.1 85-C 4 0.3
75o 342 22 14 1 2 26 15 71 3 2 -0.5 .210 .249 .277 -.401 .209 .251 .289 .182 -18.4 82-C 4 0.0
60o 321 17 11 1 1 23 14 69 2 2 -0.5 .194 .231 .249 -.482 .193 .233 .260 .159 -23.3 78-C 3 -0.7
50o 309 15 10 0 1 21 13 68 2 2 -0.4 .185 .222 .235 -.523 .184 .223 .245 .145 -25.4 75-C 3 -1.0
40o 291 12 8 0 1 18 11 66 2 1 -0.4 .174 .210 .217 -.575 .173 .211 .226 .125 -27.4 71-C 3 -1.3
25o 272 10 7 0 1 16 10 63 2 1 -0.4 .166 .200 .202 -.616 .165 .202 .211 .104 -28.3 67-C 3 -1.5
10o 198 5 4 0 0 8 7 51 1 1 -0.2 .140 .172 .159 -.741 .139 .173 .166 .021 -26.3 50-C 2 -1.5
Weighted Mean 302 15 10 0 1 21 12 66 2 2 -0.4 .186 .222 .236 -.501 .185 .224 .246 .146 -24.3 73-C 4 -0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

59%

68%

25%

20%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 22) 302 15 10 0 1 21 12 66 2 2 -0.4 .186 .222 .236 -.501 .185 .224 .246 .146 -24.3 73-C 4 -0.7
2010 (age 23) 268 13 10 0 1 18 12 58 2 2 -0.3 .192 .229 .249 -.474 .193 .234 .263 .158 -13.9 66-C 3 -0.3
2011 (age 24) 246 13 9 0 1 18 11 50 2 1 -0.2 .197 .236 .260 -.442 .198 .241 .275 .168 -7.8 61-C 2 0.0
2012 (age 25)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 26)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 27)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .202 .241 .265
vs RHP .182 .217 .227
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -21.8 4.0 -0.7 $400,000 -20.3 0.0
2010 -17.4 3.0 -0.3 $400,000 -11.5 0.1
2011 -14.2 2.0 0.0 $400,000 -6.2 0.1
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 -2.4 0.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .182 .145 .104 .146
2010 .185 .153 .112 .158
2011 .207 .166 .119 .168
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 20% 0% 59%
2010 51% 28% 65%
2011 74% 53% 64%
2012 78% 69% 54%
2013 82% 74% 58%
2014 87% 80% 56%
2015 92% 85% 52%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

62

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Luis Apodaca 2005 67 11 Jaime Moreno 1986 49
2 Javier Ochoa 2001 65 12 Johnny Cuevas 1988 49
3 Gabriel Gutierrez 2006 64 13 Jose Reyes 2005 49
4 Jose Stela 1992 62 14 Cesar Devarez 1992 48
5 Jorge Morales 1993 57 15 Jose Lopez 2007 48
6 Wally Rosa 2004 56 16 Brad Hargreaves 2000 47
7 Fernando Lunar 1999 54 17 Clemente Alvarez 1990 46
8 Felix Antigua 1991 51 18 Edgal Rodriguez 1989 45
9 Jean Sanchez 2001 51 19 Robinson Cancel 1998 45
10 Blake Ochoa 2008 50 20 Ricky Gonzalez 1997 45

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