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He's probably very handsome. Max Sapp
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 20
6' 2"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TCV 1A 189 20 9 0 1 20 22 37 0 0 -3.7 .229 .317 .301 -.055 .187 .259 .257 .178 -28.9 27-C 0 0.0
2007 LEX 1B 359 25 23 0 2 32 38 70 0 0 -3.6 .241 .330 .333 -.108 .194 .265 .262 .183 -26.2 49-C -5 -0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:00 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 419 37 22 1 6 36 44 92 1 1 -1.9 .237 .319 .351 -.179 .239 .322 .358 .236 -0.6 100-C -11 1.6
75o 406 32 19 1 5 33 40 91 1 1 -1.8 .226 .306 .329 -.240 .228 .308 .335 .223 -6.4 97-C -10 1.1
60o 396 29 18 1 5 31 38 90 1 1 -1.7 .218 .296 .313 -.283 .220 .298 .319 .213 -10.3 95-C -10 0.8
50o 384 25 16 1 4 29 35 90 1 1 -1.6 .209 .285 .295 -.331 .211 .287 .301 .201 -14.4 92-C -9 0.4
40o 373 22 15 1 3 27 33 89 1 1 -1.5 .201 .274 .279 -.376 .203 .277 .284 .190 -17.9 89-C -8 0.1
25o 361 20 13 1 3 25 30 88 1 1 -1.4 .194 .265 .264 -.419 .195 .267 .269 .178 -21.0 87-C -7 -0.2
10o 334 15 11 1 2 21 26 85 1 1 -1.2 .179 .245 .233 -.503 .180 .247 .237 .151 -26.1 81-C -6 -0.6
Weighted Mean 403 27 17 1 4 31 37 94 1 1 -1.5 .208 .283 .293 -.338 .210 .285 .298 .198 -12.8 96-C -9 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

59%

75%

20%

6%

1.05

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 20) 403 27 17 1 4 31 37 94 1 1 -1.5 .208 .283 .293 -.338 .210 .285 .298 .198 -12.8 96-C -9 0.4
2009 (age 21) 420 33 18 1 5 36 42 91 1 1 -1.5 .219 .300 .315 -.272 .218 .298 .315 .214 -8.1 100-C -9 0.9
2010 (age 22) 392 33 18 1 6 36 41 81 1 1 -1.3 .234 .317 .344 -.195 .232 .314 .344 .231 -1.5 94-C -11 1.0
2011 (age 23) 370 30 16 1 6 35 38 76 1 1 -1.2 .232 .314 .346 -.198 .231 .312 .346 .231 -1.5 89-C -10 1.0
2012 (age 24) 384 36 19 1 8 39 43 73 1 1 -1.0 .248 .335 .378 -.109 .247 .332 .378 .249 3.4 92-C -11 1.2
2013 (age 25) 387 38 17 1 9 40 43 76 1 1 -0.9 .248 .335 .387 -.098 .247 .332 .387 .251 3.6 93-C -9 1.2
2014 (age 26) 280 20 12 1 5 27 31 57 0 0 -0.7 .230 .317 .351 -.188 .229 .315 .351 .234 -0.5 69-C -8 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .179 .252 .233
vs RHP .216 .296 .321
Split -.037 -.045 -.089
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.9 1.3 0.4 $550,000 -16.9 0.0
2009 -0.4 1.3 0.9 $1,000,000 -11.5 0.4
2010 0.1 0.9 1.0 $1,200,000 -6.5 1.4
2011 0.1 0.9 1.0 $1,200,000 -5.5 1.5
2012 0.5 0.7 1.2 $1,600,000 0.0 3.0
2013 0.5 0.7 1.2 $2,025,000 1.4 1.8
2014 0.1 0.8 0.9 $1,300,000 -2.6 0.6
Peak 6.1 $4,350,000 -0.7 9.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .223 .201 .178 .198
2009 .242 .218 .188 .214
2010 .256 .235 .204 .231
2011 .254 .229 .207 .231
2012 .272 .250 .226 .249
2013 .277 .264 .225 .251
2014 .269 .245 .219 .234


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 6% 0% 59%
2009 15% 7% 72%
2010 26% 20% 75%
2011 31% 17% 77%
2012 48% 36% 74%
2013 47% 46% 78%
2014 57% 43% 75%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

31

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
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Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Scott Heard 1992 40 11 Lou Marson 2003 33
2 Jared Abruzzo 1979 36 12 John Whittleman 1971 33
3 Marcus Jensen 1981 36 13 Adam Hyzdu 1982 33
4 Mark Johnson 1970 36 14 Chris Duncan 1960 33
5 Gary Locurto 1973 35 15 Josh Glassey 2007 32
6 Mike Darr 1992 35 16 Ryan Christianson 1975 32
7 Mike Snyder 1975 34 17 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 1969 32
8 Sean Swedlow 1975 34 18 Steve Cox 2000 31
9 Brett Caradonna 1957 34 19 Fernando Pacheco 1979 30
10 Mark Osborne 1998 33 20 Alan Rick 2005 30

Player Comments

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2007

The team`s first-round pick in 2006, Max Sapp is a left-handed-hitting catcher with power and a good throwing arm who was overmatched in the New York-Penn League while facing players who were generally three years older than he was. Give him a mulligan statistically, as he has a nice set of skills to build on.


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