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James Skelton
Arizona Diamondbacks [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 23
5' 11"
165 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 ONE A- 154 20 8 1 1 22 21 29 1 1 -0.3 .300 .403 .400 -.256 .221 .310 .309 .224 -11.1 21-C 1 0.0
2007 WMI A 417 60 24 2 7 52 55 53 18 5 4.6 .309 .402 .448 -.142 .248 .326 .362 .246 -2.9 79-C -4 0.6
2008 LAK A+ 282 43 8 2 3 23 64 50 14 5 1.4 .307 .468 .406 -.005 .256 .404 .354 .281 9.6 54-C -3 1.6
2008 ERI AA 106 22 2 0 2 11 19 23 1 1 -0.4 .294 .425 .388 -.067 .253 .377 .345 .264 1.6 23-C 2 0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:36 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 552 90 30 3 13 54 79 112 12 5 2.2 .282 .389 .446 .067 .275 .380 .435 .287 29.8 130-C -3 5.0
75o 519 74 27 3 10 47 71 110 10 4 2.0 .264 .369 .409 -.026 .257 .361 .400 .270 16.9 122-C -1 3.8
60o 497 65 25 2 9 43 66 108 10 4 1.9 .253 .356 .387 -.085 .246 .348 .377 .259 9.4 117-C -1 3.1
50o 485 60 24 2 8 41 63 107 9 4 1.8 .247 .349 .375 -.114 .241 .341 .366 .253 5.9 115-C 0 2.8
40o 470 55 23 2 7 38 60 106 9 4 1.7 .240 .340 .360 -.152 .234 .333 .351 .245 1.6 111-C 0 2.3
25o 445 47 21 2 6 34 55 103 8 3 1.6 .228 .327 .336 -.213 .222 .319 .328 .232 -4.8 106-C 1 1.7
10o 419 39 19 1 4 30 50 100 7 3 1.4 .216 .313 .313 -.273 .211 .306 .305 .219 -10.4 100-C 1 1.1
Weighted Mean 511 67 26 2 9 44 67 111 10 4 1.8 .251 .353 .382 -.053 .244 .345 .373 .255 10.6 120-C 1 2.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

19%

42%

26%

10%

1.13

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 23) 511 67 26 2 9 44 67 111 10 4 1.8 .251 .353 .382 -.053 .244 .345 .373 .255 10.6 120-C 1 2.9
2010 (age 24) 476 60 21 2 9 40 64 102 9 4 1.6 .250 .354 .381 -.112 .240 .342 .367 .256 6.8 112-C 0 2.5
2011 (age 25) 451 56 22 2 8 38 61 92 9 3 1.4 .250 .357 .385 -.103 .240 .344 .371 .258 6.6 107-C -3 2.2
2012 (age 26) 427 52 21 2 8 36 57 86 8 3 1.3 .250 .355 .386 -.105 .240 .343 .371 .258 5.7 102-C -4 1.9
2013 (age 27) 451 57 22 2 8 38 62 89 7 3 1.2 .254 .362 .391 -.085 .244 .349 .376 .261 6.1 107-C -2 1.8
2014 (age 28) 444 55 21 2 9 38 61 88 8 4 1.1 .249 .357 .385 -.104 .239 .344 .371 .257 4.8 105-C -5 1.6
2015 (age 29) 368 40 17 2 7 31 50 72 6 2 0.8 .237 .345 .370 -.150 .227 .333 .356 .249 1.5 88-C -6 1.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .226 .325 .336
vs RHP .259 .369 .415
Split -.033 -.044 -.079
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 7.6 1.0 2.9 $4,375,000 13.5 13.1
2010 7.6 0.0 2.5 $3,600,000 9.3 11.3
2011 8.1 -3.0 2.2 $3,450,000 8.4 11.9
2012 7.6 -4.0 1.9 $3,175,000 7.0 11.5
2013 9.6 -2.0 1.8 $3,375,000 7.4 10.4
2014 7.8 -5.0 1.6 $3,200,000 6.0 10.5
2015 3.3 -6.0 1.0 $2,125,000 2.3 5.5
Peak 12.8 $15,425,000 51.6 68.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .270 .253 .232 .255
2010 .273 .253 .238 .256
2011 .281 .256 .242 .258
2012 .282 .264 .230 .258
2013 .282 .264 .232 .261
2014 .284 .259 .229 .257
2015 .273 .260 .230 .249


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 10% 0% 19%
2010 24% 9% 19%
2011 34% 19% 24%
2012 41% 29% 22%
2013 52% 38% 21%
2014 54% 41% 19%
2015 68% 54% 13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

35

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Mike Twardoski 1988 35 11 Gene Gentile 1982 21
2 Darren Bragg 1993 35 12 Russell Martin 2006 20
3 Ronald King 1986 32 13 Richard Paz 2001 20
4 Todd Betts 1997 31 14 Jamie Nelson 1983 19
5 George Kottaras 2007 31 15 Chuck Jackson 1986 19
6 Matt Lawton 1995 27 16 Kurtis Kingsolver 1982 19
7 Vernon Ramie 1982 25 17 Tim Forkner 1996 19
8 Mike Jones 1984 23 18 Darren Daulton 1985 18
9 Mike Warner 1995 22 19 Max Ramirez 2008 18
10 Randy Curtis 1994 21 20 Kevin Romine 1985 18

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