Kyle Skipworth

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008	MRL	Rk	176	22	6	0	5	21	13	46	2	2	-0.7	.208	.263	.340	-.546	.164	.205	.261	.147	-60.4	28-C 1	-2.3

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:28 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	520	44	27	2	8	43	34	146	4	3	0.6	.221	.275	.339	-.262	.224	.276	.352	.214	-13.0	122-C -8	0.1
75^o	499	37	24	2	7	39	31	145	4	3	0.6	.207	.259	.313	-.334	.209	.260	.326	.198	-21.0	118-C -8	-0.7
60^o	479	32	21	2	6	35	29	144	3	3	0.5	.194	.245	.290	-.399	.196	.246	.302	.182	-27.3	113-C -8	-1.4
50^o	474	31	20	2	6	34	28	143	3	3	0.5	.191	.242	.286	-.412	.193	.243	.297	.178	-28.6	112-C -8	-1.6
40^o	464	28	19	2	5	33	27	143	3	3	0.5	.185	.236	.275	-.443	.187	.236	.286	.170	-31.2	110-C -8	-1.9
25^o	433	22	16	2	4	28	24	140	3	2	0.4	.170	.218	.248	-.520	.172	.219	.258	.145	-36.9	103-C -7	-2.6
10^o	398	17	13	1	3	22	21	135	2	2	0.4	.155	.202	.222	-.591	.157	.203	.231	.117	-40.5	95-C -7	-3.1
Weighted Mean	479	30	20	2	6	34	28	146	3	3	0.5	.188	.239	.280	-.427	.190	.239	.291	.173	-27.5	113-C -8	-1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
74%	81%	13%	7%	1.16

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 19)	479	30	20	2	6	34	28	146	3	3	0.5	.188	.239	.280	-.427	.190	.239	.291	.173	-27.5	113-C -8	-1.5
2010 (age 20)	509	41	23	2	10	45	33	147	4	3	0.6	.208	.262	.326	-.326	.207	.259	.335	.204	-17.1	120-C -11	-0.2
2011 (age 21)	534	47	25	3	10	48	34	140	5	3	0.7	.218	.270	.342	-.282	.218	.267	.352	.213	-11.6	126-C -8	0.2
2012 (age 22)	484	44	23	2	10	46	35	122	5	3	0.7	.224	.284	.358	-.234	.224	.280	.367	.225	-5.7	114-C -9	0.6
2013 (age 23)	511	52	26	2	13	49	37	119	5	4	0.7	.240	.298	.387	-.158	.239	.294	.398	.240	1.2	120-C -10	1.2
2014 (age 24)	444	44	21	2	11	45	33	99	4	3	0.7	.247	.305	.397	-.128	.247	.301	.408	.246	3.4	105-C -8	1.3
2015 (age 25)	433	44	22	2	12	49	36	96	4	3	0.6	.244	.308	.406	-.113	.244	.304	.416	.249	4.0	103-C -8	1.3

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.159	.209	.225
vs RHP	.195	.249	.304
Split	-.035	-.040	-.079
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-32.9	-8.0	-1.5	$400,000	-27.6	0.0
2010	-22.2	-11.0	-0.2	$400,000	-17.2	0.2
2011	-18.4	-8.0	0.2	$400,000	-11.5	0.9
2012	-11.4	-9.0	0.6	$450,000	-6.5	1.9
2013	-4.1	-10.0	1.2	$1,875,000	0.5	4.2
2014	-0.7	-8.0	1.3	$2,425,000	3.6	6.6
2015	0.9	-8.0	1.3	$2,625,000	3.8	6.3
Peak			7.8	$7,550,000	12.0	30.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.198	.178	.145	.173
2010	.227	.203	.172	.204
2011	.238	.217	.190	.213
2012	.248	.225	.203	.225
2013	.261	.245	.217	.240
2014	.272	.236	.219	.246
2015	.279	.251	.204	.249

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	7%	0%	74%
2010	11%	4%	82%
2011	16%	8%	88%
2012	23%	13%	87%
2013	28%	23%	85%
2014	40%	28%	85%
2015	45%	31%	83%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

30

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Greg David	1986	55		11	Brad Wilson	1990	28
2	Rico Brogna	1989	44		12	Trey McCall	1986	26
3	Tyler Houston	1990	43		13	Mike Conroy	2002	26
4	Mike Lieberthal	1991	40		14	Carl Jones-Pointer	1987	24
5	Terrence Long	1995	40		15	Andy Dziadkowiec	1987	24
6	John Gibbons	1981	37		16	Corey Smith	2001	24
7	Ben Davis	1996	33		17	John Oliver	1997	22
8	Max Sapp	2007	29		18	Reggie Taylor	1996	22
9	Brandon Snyder	2006	29		19	Matt Stark	1984	22
10	Ian Stewart	2004	28		20	Paul Coleman	1990	22

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