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He's probably very handsome. Jeremy Slayden
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Right Field
Bats L
Age 26
6'
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 LWD A 454 65 44 3 10 81 41 89 5 0 -1.4 .310 .381 .510 -.271 .219 .269 .357 .217 -20.1 74-LF 8 -0.7
2007 CLR A+ 500 71 24 4 14 73 60 96 7 1 -0.6 .287 .376 .458 -.254 .210 .288 .347 .224 -20.0 87-RF -3 5-LF -1 -1.8
2008 REA AA 551 72 33 2 17 81 54 105 2 6 -5.6 .298 .377 .480 -.123 .238 .310 .404 .245 -0.7 123-RF -8 -0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:25 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 513 60 32 2 17 65 46 124 2 1 -1.0 .257 .329 .447 -.010 .257 .329 .454 .267 7.5 121-RF 1 2.0
75o 494 52 29 2 15 60 43 123 2 1 -0.9 .243 .313 .418 -.087 .243 .314 .424 .253 -1.5 117-RF 1 1.0
60o 470 43 25 1 13 53 38 122 2 1 -0.9 .226 .294 .382 -.180 .227 .294 .388 .234 -11.6 111-RF 0 0.0
50o 458 39 23 1 12 50 36 121 2 1 -0.8 .219 .285 .366 -.222 .219 .286 .372 .226 -15.8 108-RF 0 -0.6
40o 450 37 23 1 11 48 35 121 2 1 -0.8 .214 .280 .356 -.247 .214 .280 .362 .220 -18.3 107-RF -1 -0.9
25o 418 29 19 1 9 40 30 118 1 1 -0.7 .196 .258 .317 -.350 .196 .258 .322 .196 -27.0 100-RF -1 -2.0
10o 395 24 16 1 7 35 27 115 1 1 -0.6 .184 .244 .292 -.415 .184 .244 .296 .179 -31.5 94-RF -2 -2.6
Weighted Mean 493 44 26 1 13 55 39 130 2 1 -0.8 .221 .287 .370 -.204 .221 .287 .375 .226 -12.3 116-RF 1 -0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

27%

41%

37%

19%

1.21

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 493 44 26 1 13 55 39 130 2 1 -0.8 .221 .287 .370 -.204 .221 .287 .375 .226 -12.3 116-RF 1 -0.4
2010 (age 27) 455 38 23 1 11 50 36 123 2 1 -0.5 .213 .281 .358 -.259 .211 .278 .358 .220 -12.8 108-RF 0 -0.5
2011 (age 28) 452 36 24 1 11 45 35 129 1 1 -0.3 .206 .272 .346 -.294 .203 .269 .347 .212 -9.6 107-RF -1 -0.4
2012 (age 29) 504 45 27 1 13 54 42 137 1 1 -0.2 .217 .287 .368 -.233 .214 .283 .368 .226 -5.8 119-RF -4 -0.2
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .199 .261 .325
vs RHP .227 .298 .400
Split -.028 -.037 -.074
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -22.5 1.0 -0.4 $400,000 -13.5 0.3
2010 -23.8 0.0 -0.5 $400,000 -14.0 1.0
2011 -27.2 -1.0 -0.4 $400,000 -10.1 1.0
2012 -23.4 -4.0 -0.2 $400,000 -6.6 0.4
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .253 .226 .196 .226
2010 .248 .224 .194 .220
2011 .234 .219 .174 .212
2012 .252 .226 .202 .226
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 19% 0% 27%
2010 38% 26% 14%
2011 61% 51% 8%
2012 67% 61% 11%
2013 79% 75% 9%
2014 85% 83% 6%
2015 92% 85% 7%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

70

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Ryan Jackson 1998 67 11 Dale Holman 1985 55
2 Tom Grant 1984 64 12 Jeff Yurtin 1990 55
3 Chris Wakeland 2001 64 13 Matt Padgett 2004 55
4 Justin Bowles 2000 62 14 Ryan Lane 2001 55
5 Jason Perry 2007 62 15 Mike Robertson 1997 55
6 Peter Zoccolillo 2004 58 16 Michael Ryan 2004 55
7 Ryan Church 2005 57 17 Larry Sutton 1997 54
8 Robert Schuster 1984 57 18 Luke Wilcox 2000 53
9 Ryan Radmanovich 1998 56 19 Brian Brady 1989 53
10 Dan Duran 1981 56 20 Brian Gordon 2005 53

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Jeremy Slayden has had decent results with the bat the last two years, but when you're a 24-year-old college hitter playing in A-ball, that's expected. He'll be a proud member of the Union of Concerned Fourth Outfielders.

2007

Slayden established himself as a power hitter early in his college career, which got him drafted even after a torn rotator cuff and other injuries shut him down. Healthy last season, Slayden showed he had plenty of sock left, ripping 44 doubles in only 400 at-bats, a feat made both more and less impressive by the fact that he almost never played against left-handed pitchers. That, age, and being a defensive liability are all working against him.


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