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Craig Tatum
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6'
217 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 DYT 1B 151 16 7 1 1 12 21 30 0 2 -1.1 .188 .311 .281 -.223 .150 .252 .241 .166 -14.2 35-C -1 0.0
2006 DYT 1B 381 41 21 0 8 37 32 70 3 1 -1.3 .277 .344 .408 .102 .227 .283 .341 .218 -11.1 92-C 1 2.1
2007 SAR 1C 231 29 15 0 10 39 9 41 0 1 -0.8 .320 .348 .525 .254 .277 .307 .455 .258 9.2 54-C 0 2.0
2007 CHT 2A 194 21 10 1 2 22 17 49 0 1 -0.6 .231 .299 .335 -.164 .205 .263 .307 .196 -10.6 46-C -1 0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 7:53 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 417 48 25 2 13 54 34 92 2 1 -0.7 .267 .331 .450 -.008 .263 .327 .443 .261 14.4 99-C 0 3.6
75o 404 41 23 1 11 49 31 92 2 1 -0.6 .252 .314 .416 -.094 .248 .310 .409 .245 6.0 96-C 0 2.9
60o 392 36 20 1 10 45 29 92 2 2 -0.6 .239 .299 .387 -.167 .236 .296 .381 .230 -0.7 94-C 0 2.3
50o 389 35 20 1 10 44 28 92 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .380 -.185 .233 .292 .374 .227 -2.3 93-C 0 2.2
40o 383 32 19 1 9 42 27 92 2 2 -0.5 .230 .288 .366 -.221 .227 .285 .360 .219 -5.4 92-C 0 1.9
25o 373 29 17 1 8 38 25 92 2 2 -0.5 .221 .277 .345 -.275 .218 .274 .339 .207 -9.9 89-C 1 1.5
10o 356 24 15 1 6 33 22 91 2 2 -0.5 .206 .259 .310 -.364 .203 .256 .305 .186 -16.6 86-C 1 0.8
Weighted Mean 416 38 21 1 10 48 30 99 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .379 -.188 .233 .291 .373 .225 -0.5 99-C 0 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

60%

17%

21%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 416 38 21 1 10 48 30 99 2 2 -0.6 .236 .295 .379 -.188 .233 .291 .373 .225 -0.5 99-C 0 2.3
2009 (age 26) 379 34 18 1 10 44 28 87 2 1 -0.4 .239 .300 .383 -.171 .233 .292 .370 .229 -0.7 91-C 1 1.6
2010 (age 27) 311 27 14 1 8 36 24 72 2 1 -0.3 .245 .307 .389 -.147 .238 .299 .375 .234 0.6 75-C -2 1.1
2011 (age 28) 275 23 13 1 7 31 22 63 1 1 -0.2 .241 .307 .390 -.148 .234 .299 .376 .234 0.4 67-C -2 0.9
2012 (age 29) 291 25 15 1 8 31 21 65 1 1 -0.2 .247 .307 .399 -.132 .240 .299 .386 .237 0.7 71-C 1 0.8
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .249 .309 .401
vs RHP .232 .289 .366
Split +.018 +.020 +.034
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 2.4 2.3 $2,775,000 -2.0 2.3
2009 0.0 1.6 1.6 $1,850,000 -1.2 2.6
2010 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,300,000 -1.7 1.8
2011 0.1 0.8 0.9 $1,125,000 -0.9 1.8
2012 0.1 0.7 0.8 $1,200,000 0.7 2.8
2013 0.0 0.4 0.3 $625,000 -1.8 0.6
2014 0.0 0.4 0.3 $625,000 -1.6 0.8
Peak 7.1 $5,775,000 0.7 11.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .245 .227 .207 .225
2009 .247 .232 .214 .229
2010 .256 .229 .211 .234
2011 .257 .232 .208 .234
2012 .260 .230 .217 .237
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 21% 0% 30%
2009 43% 24% 38%
2010 66% 40% 38%
2011 68% 52% 33%
2012 76% 62% 30%
2013 85% 71% 20%
2014 86% 78% 18%

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