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He's probably very handsome. Michael Taylor
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Left Field
Bats R
Age 23
6' 6"
250 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 WPT A- 261 30 14 0 6 33 23 53 8 2 1.5 .227 .300 .365 -.446 .182 .234 .289 .180 -47.1 43-LF -18 10-RF -1 -5.7
2008 LWD A 288 40 12 3 10 50 31 43 10 3 -3.0 .361 .441 .554 .079 .292 .361 .459 .282 16.3 46-LF -3 10-RF -1 0.9
2008 CLR A+ 266 36 27 1 9 38 19 46 5 6 -0.7 .329 .380 .560 .083 .286 .330 .504 .276 16.0 39-LF -4 13-RF -1 0.6


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 10:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 612 83 37 3 22 86 53 127 10 5 -1.0 .285 .352 .482 .099 .286 .352 .490 .285 25.5 143-LF -8 2.9
75o 598 76 35 2 20 81 50 127 9 5 -0.9 .276 .340 .461 .043 .276 .341 .468 .276 17.1 140-LF -8 2.1
60o 575 65 32 2 17 72 45 127 9 5 -0.9 .261 .323 .428 -.043 .261 .323 .434 .260 4.9 135-LF -8 0.8
50o 566 61 30 2 16 69 43 126 8 4 -0.8 .255 .316 .415 -.077 .255 .316 .421 .254 0.3 133-LF -8 0.4
40o 553 56 28 2 15 64 41 126 8 4 -0.8 .247 .306 .397 -.125 .247 .306 .403 .244 -5.8 130-LF -8 -0.3
25o 537 50 26 2 13 58 38 125 8 4 -0.8 .237 .294 .375 -.181 .237 .295 .381 .233 -12.7 126-LF -8 -1.0
10o 512 42 23 1 11 50 33 124 7 4 -0.7 .223 .278 .344 -.262 .224 .278 .350 .216 -21.7 121-LF -8 -2.0
Weighted Mean 608 68 32 2 17 74 46 136 9 5 -0.8 .255 .316 .415 -.072 .255 .316 .421 .252 3.1 142-LF -9 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

31%

59%

19%

5%

1.00

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 23) 608 68 32 2 17 74 46 136 9 5 -0.8 .255 .316 .415 -.072 .255 .316 .421 .252 3.1 142-LF -9 0.4
2010 (age 24) 562 61 29 2 16 70 44 125 7 4 -0.7 .257 .318 .418 -.087 .253 .314 .418 .254 1.3 132-LF -8 0.5
2011 (age 25) 561 62 29 2 17 72 44 122 8 4 -0.6 .257 .318 .421 -.082 .253 .314 .421 .255 1.8 132-LF -7 0.6
2012 (age 26) 487 51 26 2 14 62 39 102 7 4 -0.4 .258 .321 .420 -.077 .254 .317 .421 .256 1.9 115-LF -5 0.6
2013 (age 27) 503 55 26 2 17 66 41 105 6 4 -0.3 .261 .326 .435 -.046 .257 .322 .436 .262 3.9 119-LF -8 0.7
2014 (age 28) 533 58 26 1 18 72 44 113 7 4 -0.2 .257 .319 .429 -.071 .253 .314 .430 .257 1.8 125-LF -11 0.4
2015 (age 29) 478 49 24 1 15 62 40 98 7 3 -0.2 .253 .316 .415 -.096 .250 .312 .416 .253 0.2 113-LF -8 0.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .269 .332 .434
vs RHP .250 .309 .402
Split +.019 +.023 +.031
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -11.1 -9.0 0.4 $400,000 -5.5 2.5
2010 -9.4 -8.0 0.5 $400,000 -6.7 2.0
2011 -8.8 -7.0 0.6 $725,000 -4.4 3.5
2012 -6.9 -5.0 0.6 $950,000 -2.7 4.9
2013 -4.0 -8.0 0.7 $1,275,000 -0.8 7.1
2014 -7.0 -11.0 0.4 $825,000 -2.8 4.5
2015 -8.5 -8.0 0.2 $600,000 -3.2 1.8
Peak 3.3 $2,650,000 -0.8 24.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .276 .254 .233 .252
2010 .272 .256 .235 .254
2011 .280 .257 .232 .255
2012 .279 .249 .220 .256
2013 .288 .257 .224 .262
2014 .290 .259 .223 .257
2015 .287 .267 .231 .253


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 5% 0% 31%
2010 7% 1% 32%
2011 19% 8% 36%
2012 35% 18% 31%
2013 45% 33% 31%
2014 55% 45% 23%
2015 63% 52% 24%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Michael Restovich 2002 49 11 Hunter Pence 2006 38
2 Tydus Meadows 2001 46 12 Jason Hart 2001 37
3 Matt Holliday 2003 46 13 Val Pascucci 2002 37
4 Alejandro Freire 1998 45 14 Troy Hughes 1994 36
5 Derrick Gibson 1998 43 15 Chad Huffman 2008 36
6 Joey Meyer 1985 41 16 Aubrey Huff 2000 36
7 Todd Brown 1987 41 17 Matt Esquivel 2006 35
8 Craig Cooper 2008 41 18 Joe Crede 2001 35
9 Doug Gredvig 2003 40 19 Shawn Garrett 2002 35
10 Brock Peterson 2007 39 20 James Bonnici 1995 34

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