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He's probably very handsome. Oscar Tejeda
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats R
Age 18
6' 1"
177 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 RSX 0R 193 23 13 1 1 21 15 27 6 2 0.9 .295 .344 .399 .102 .229 .266 .318 .205 -18.9 43-SS -4 0.1
2007 LOW 1A 101 14 5 2 0 12 6 26 4 1 0.1 .298 .347 .394 .116 .208 .240 .281 .176 -13.2 19-SS -5 -0.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 7:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 459 47 32 2 5 46 25 91 10 4 0.4 .268 .310 .388 -.099 .261 .307 .396 .249 7.7 109-SS -7 2.4
75o 459 39 27 2 3 41 22 97 9 4 0.3 .240 .280 .337 -.238 .234 .277 .344 .220 -7.4 109-SS -6 1.3
60o 459 38 26 2 3 40 22 99 9 4 0.3 .236 .275 .329 -.260 .230 .272 .336 .215 -9.8 109-SS -6 1.1
50o 460 36 25 2 3 38 21 100 9 4 0.3 .230 .267 .317 -.292 .223 .265 .324 .207 -13.4 109-SS -5 0.8
40o 460 33 24 2 2 37 20 103 9 4 0.3 .222 .259 .302 -.332 .216 .256 .309 .198 -17.7 109-SS -5 0.5
25o 460 30 21 2 2 34 19 106 9 4 0.3 .210 .245 .280 -.393 .204 .242 .286 .181 -24.4 109-SS -4 0.0
10o 460 27 19 1 1 31 18 111 8 4 0.3 .197 .230 .257 -.456 .192 .228 .263 .163 -31.3 109-SS -3 -0.5
Weighted Mean 448 32 23 2 2 35 20 101 9 4 0.3 .220 .256 .299 -.342 .214 .254 .305 .195 -19.5 106-SS -4 1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

48%

59%

26%

11%

1.36

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 18) 448 32 23 2 2 35 20 101 9 4 0.3 .220 .256 .299 -.342 .214 .254 .305 .195 -19.5 106-SS -4 1.0
2009 (age 19) 459 37 26 2 4 39 22 94 9 5 0.3 .233 .271 .330 -.266 .230 .273 .343 .214 -9.9 109-SS -3 1.5
2010 (age 20) 514 46 30 2 4 46 26 103 9 4 0.3 .236 .276 .336 -.248 .233 .278 .349 .218 -8.0 121-SS -3 1.6
2011 (age 21) 482 46 31 2 5 51 25 90 8 4 0.2 .253 .294 .365 -.167 .250 .295 .380 .235 0.2 114-SS -3 2.1
2012 (age 22) 527 60 36 3 7 59 29 93 10 4 0.2 .266 .308 .398 -.090 .263 .310 .414 .251 6.6 124-SS -2 2.5
2013 (age 23) 590 74 36 3 9 68 35 90 9 4 0.2 .272 .319 .400 -.065 .269 .320 .416 .256 8.6 138-SS -5 2.5
2014 (age 24) 418 43 26 3 7 48 26 77 9 4 0.1 .261 .308 .401 -.090 .258 .310 .417 .252 4.7 100-SS -4 2.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .236 .274 .326
vs RHP .215 .250 .288
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -1.3 2.3 1.0 $1,050,000 -21.6 0.1
2009 -0.6 2.0 1.5 $1,700,000 -10.9 2.4
2010 -0.4 2.0 1.6 $1,900,000 -9.5 1.4
2011 0.3 1.8 2.1 $2,875,000 -0.5 4.5
2012 0.8 1.7 2.5 $5,375,000 7.0 10.8
2013 0.9 1.5 2.5 $5,850,000 7.5 8.5
2014 0.6 1.6 2.2 $4,925,000 4.3 6.4
Peak 17.5 $25,725,000 34.6 47.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .220 .207 .181 .195
2009 .230 .201 .175 .214
2010 .235 .204 .190 .218
2011 .249 .224 .207 .235
2012 .274 .231 .211 .251
2013 .268 .239 .225 .256
2014 .265 .244 .189 .252


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 48%
2009 17% 7% 61%
2010 28% 6% 68%
2011 29% 15% 77%
2012 41% 31% 78%
2013 41% 37% 84%
2014 59% 37% 78%

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