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He's probably very handsome. Carlos Triunfel
Seattle Mariners [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats R
Age 18
5' 11"
175 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 MRN 0R 13 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 -0.1 .273 .231 .273 -.312 .250 .231 .250 .174 -2.9 0.0
2007 WIS 1B 164 18 8 2 0 14 5 23 4 8 3.3 .309 .342 .388 .092 .247 .273 .312 .197 -5.8 40-SS -1 0.4
2007 HDS 1C 225 32 10 2 0 22 12 31 3 4 -1.1 .288 .333 .356 -.158 .231 .266 .278 .185 -11.6 49-SS 1 0.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:12 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 537 59 30 3 4 41 24 85 12 7 1.7 .271 .307 .369 -.126 .274 .310 .393 .247 10.0 126-SS -4 3.1
75o 495 43 22 2 2 34 19 84 10 7 1.4 .245 .276 .316 -.269 .247 .279 .336 .216 -8.4 117-SS -2 1.6
60o 476 37 19 2 1 31 17 83 9 6 1.3 .233 .264 .294 -.328 .236 .266 .313 .202 -15.0 113-SS -2 1.0
50o 468 34 17 2 1 30 16 83 9 6 1.3 .229 .258 .285 -.352 .231 .261 .303 .196 -17.5 111-SS -1 0.8
40o 461 33 17 2 1 29 16 82 9 6 1.2 .226 .255 .279 -.369 .228 .257 .297 .192 -19.2 109-SS -1 0.6
25o 440 27 14 2 0 26 14 81 8 6 1.1 .215 .242 .258 -.424 .217 .245 .274 .176 -24.4 104-SS -1 0.1
10o 378 17 7 1 -1 19 9 76 6 5 0.8 .191 .214 .210 -.552 .193 .216 .223 .130 -33.0 90-SS 1 -0.8
Weighted Mean 479 35 18 2 1 31 17 85 9 6 1.2 .228 .258 .284 -.354 .231 .260 .302 .195 -17.5 113-SS -3 1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

45%

66%

25%

7%

1.50

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 18) 479 35 18 2 1 31 17 85 9 6 1.2 .228 .258 .284 -.354 .231 .260 .302 .195 -17.5 113-SS -3 1.3
2009 (age 19) 551 51 25 3 3 41 21 85 11 8 1.2 .244 .277 .322 -.262 .251 .284 .349 .218 -6.6 129-SS 0 1.9
2010 (age 20) 526 48 25 3 3 41 22 82 9 6 1.2 .245 .280 .328 -.246 .252 .288 .355 .222 -4.7 124-SS 0 2.1
2011 (age 21) 531 53 26 3 4 49 24 79 10 7 1.2 .255 .291 .346 -.197 .262 .298 .376 .233 0.5 125-SS -1 2.5
2012 (age 22) 549 60 29 4 4 46 25 74 11 6 1.1 .267 .304 .365 -.141 .274 .312 .396 .245 5.9 129-SS -2 2.7
2013 (age 23) 581 71 28 4 6 52 30 73 10 7 1.2 .279 .320 .380 -.086 .286 .328 .411 .255 11.8 136-SS -2 3.2
2014 (age 24) 501 55 27 4 5 45 27 71 10 6 0.9 .273 .315 .382 -.094 .280 .323 .415 .254 8.3 118-SS -2 3.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .244 .275 .311
vs RHP .224 .252 .274
Split +.020 +.023 +.037
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -1.2 2.4 1.3 $1,325,000 -15.7 0.6
2009 -0.4 2.3 1.9 $2,275,000 -3.9 3.9
2010 -0.2 2.3 2.1 $2,700,000 -1.0 2.8
2011 0.2 2.2 2.5 $4,375,000 3.6 7.9
2012 0.7 2.0 2.7 $6,075,000 8.7 12.8
2013 1.1 2.1 3.2 $9,275,000 14.8 14.7
2014 0.8 2.3 3.0 $8,650,000 11.2 13.7
Peak 19.3 $33,325,000 67.5 79.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .216 .196 .176 .195
2009 .242 .201 .189 .218
2010 .243 .217 .193 .222
2011 .254 .232 .195 .233
2012 .275 .234 .203 .245
2013 .266 .248 .228 .255
2014 .264 .255 .230 .254


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 7% 0% 45%
2009 19% 12% 67%
2010 19% 13% 71%
2011 18% 14% 79%
2012 29% 25% 80%
2013 24% 24% 94%
2014 42% 31% 89%

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