Matt Tupman

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:18 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	332	36	15	1	3	31	18	41	3	1	-0.4	.268	.312	.350	-.145	.263	.309	.359	.238	0.5	80-C -1	1.9
75^o	316	30	13	1	2	28	16	41	2	1	-0.4	.254	.296	.325	-.217	.249	.293	.333	.223	-4.9	77-C -1	1.3
60^o	303	25	11	1	2	26	14	40	2	1	-0.3	.242	.282	.304	-.277	.237	.279	.312	.209	-9.1	74-C -2	0.9
50^o	295	23	10	1	1	25	13	40	2	1	-0.3	.235	.274	.292	-.311	.231	.271	.300	.200	-11.2	72-C -2	0.6
40^o	270	17	8	0	1	22	11	39	2	1	-0.3	.217	.252	.260	-.403	.213	.249	.267	.175	-16.2	66-C -2	0.0
25^o	239	12	6	0	0	18	8	37	1	1	-0.2	.198	.229	.227	-.497	.194	.227	.233	.143	-19.7	59-C -3	-0.6
10^o	176	6	3	0	0	11	5	30	1	1	-0.1	.175	.200	.186	-.615	.171	.198	.190	.077	-19.5	45-C -4	-1.0
Weighted Mean	263	18	9	0	1	22	11	36	2	1	-0.3	.228	.266	.280	-.346	.224	.263	.287	.191	-12.4	65-C -1	1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
6%	19%	65%	32%	0.89

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 28)	263	18	9	0	1	22	11	36	2	1	-0.3	.228	.266	.280	-.346	.224	.263	.287	.191	-12.4	65-C -1	1.1
2009 (age 29)	238	16	8	1	1	19	10	31	2	1	-0.2	.231	.269	.284	-.333	.230	.270	.297	.194	-8.4	59-C -1	0.4
2010 (age 30)	282	19	10	1	1	23	10	39	1	1	-0.2	.222	.256	.274	-.374	.221	.257	.287	.182	-8.3	69-C -2	0.3
2011 (age 31)	240	18	9	1	1	21	11	32	2	1	-0.1	.244	.284	.296	-.282	.243	.286	.310	.207	-2.9	60-C -3	0.3
2012 (age 32)	246	18	9	0	1	19	10	32	2	1	-0.1	.244	.279	.296	-.292	.243	.281	.309	.203	-3.0	61-C -1	0.3
2013 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.202	.236	.221
vs RHP	.237	.277	.305
Split	-.035	-.040	-.084
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	-0.7	1.8	1.1	$1,150,000	-12.8	0.3
2009	-0.5	1.0	0.4	$600,000	-9.4	0.2
2010	-0.5	0.8	0.3	$550,000	-8.5	0.1
2011	0.0	0.5	0.3	$550,000	-3.7	0.7
2012	-0.2	0.5	0.3	$600,000	-2.7	0.8
2013	-0.2	0.3	0.1	$450,000	-3.8	0.0
2014	0.0	0.3	0.2	$550,000	-1.5	0.0
Peak			2.6	$1,325,000	0.0	2.0

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.223	.200	.143	.191
2009	.213	.184	.165	.194
2010	.227	.177	.092	.182
2011	.245	.202	.135	.207
2012	.229	.212	.163	.203
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	32%	0%	6%
2009	53%	28%	3%
2010	66%	44%	4%
2011	81%	59%	11%
2012	75%	64%	4%
2013	82%	73%	3%
2014	92%	83%	3%

Player Comments

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2007

A left-handed hitter with a .425 OBP in Double-A would normally get your attention, but Mat Tupman has no power, is slower than the Middle East peace process, and he`s already turned 27. The lefty bat will likely keep him stashed away in Triple-A as a team`s emergency catcher for a long time to come.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	WIC	2A	425	59	16	2	2	32	46	62	1	2	-1.1	.263	.355	.334	-.057	.226	.312	.290	.217	-13.3	99-C 1	2.1
2006	WIC	2A	280	35	8	1	1	31	48	27	1	1	2.0	.305	.425	.364	.104	.266	.379	.319	.261	5.8	64-C -4	2.0
2006	OMA	3A	81	9	0	0	0	4	8	6	0	0	0.2	.247	.321	.247	-.259	.216	.284	.216	.173	-6.4	21-C 0	0.1
2007	OMA	3A	344	21	16	0	1	32	36	34	2	2	-5.8	.281	.361	.344	-.079	.248	.328	.300	.228	-5.4	85-C -10	1.0

Historical Stats