Will Venable

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

');// -->

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:31 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	605	81	30	4	12	56	48	113	19	5	1.0	.268	.331	.402	-.070	.276	.339	.430	.266	10.4	142-RF -1	3.9
75^o	565	66	26	4	9	50	42	108	16	5	0.9	.255	.315	.373	-.147	.262	.322	.399	.251	-1.2	133-RF -1	2.8
60^o	538	57	24	3	8	46	38	105	14	4	0.8	.246	.304	.355	-.198	.253	.311	.379	.240	-8.0	126-RF -1	2.1
50^o	517	51	22	3	7	43	35	103	13	4	0.8	.239	.296	.341	-.234	.246	.303	.365	.232	-12.3	122-RF -1	1.6
40^o	495	46	20	3	6	40	32	100	11	4	0.7	.233	.288	.327	-.271	.239	.295	.350	.223	-16.5	117-RF -1	1.1
25^o	468	39	18	3	4	36	29	96	10	4	0.6	.225	.278	.311	-.316	.231	.285	.332	.213	-20.8	111-RF -1	0.6
10^o	410	28	15	2	3	29	23	87	7	3	0.5	.210	.259	.279	-.402	.216	.265	.298	.191	-27.0	98-RF -1	-0.3
Weighted Mean	554	58	24	3	7	46	38	109	14	4	0.7	.241	.299	.345	-.223	.248	.305	.369	.233	-7.4	130-RF -1	1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
26%	50%	22%	15%	0.90

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 25)	554	58	24	3	7	46	38	109	14	4	0.7	.241	.299	.345	-.223	.248	.305	.369	.233	-7.4	130-RF -1	1.8
2009 (age 26)	499	51	21	3	8	46	36	99	13	4	0.5	.243	.302	.355	-.203	.246	.304	.373	.238	-5.9	118-RF 0	1.4
2010 (age 27)	471	47	20	3	7	44	35	90	11	3	0.4	.244	.304	.354	-.200	.247	.306	.371	.239	-4.3	111-RF -1	1.0
2011 (age 28)	462	46	20	3	7	42	32	91	11	3	0.3	.248	.305	.360	-.188	.251	.307	.378	.241	-2.6	109-RF -1	0.8
2012 (age 29)	437	43	19	2	7	38	30	86	10	4	0.2	.251	.307	.366	-.174	.254	.309	.384	.243	-1.6	104-RF -3	0.6
2013 (age 30)	387	37	16	2	8	38	29	74	9	3	0.2	.245	.305	.369	-.177	.248	.307	.387	.244	-1.2	93-RF -2	0.5
2014 (age 31)	458	51	21	2	12	45	39	82	9	3	0.1	.252	.317	.396	-.116	.255	.319	.415	.255	0.5	108-RF -1	0.7

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.215	.271	.296
vs RHP	.250	.311	.375
Split	-.035	-.040	-.079
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.3	1.5	1.8	$1,950,000	-10.3	0.6
2009	0.4	1.0	1.4	$1,525,000	-8.2	0.7
2010	0.3	0.7	1.0	$1,150,000	-7.1	0.3
2011	0.3	0.5	0.8	$1,025,000	-4.7	0.7
2012	0.2	0.4	0.6	$850,000	-3.6	0.5
2013	0.2	0.3	0.5	$800,000	-2.5	0.0
2014	0.2	0.4	0.7	$1,075,000	0.1	0.7
Peak			6.1	$4,325,000	0.0	2.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.251	.232	.213	.233
2009	.261	.239	.220	.238
2010	.253	.244	.220	.239
2011	.261	.244	.227	.241
2012	.258	.242	.229	.243
2013	.274	.253	.213	.244
2014	.281	.253	.227	.255

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	15%	0%	26%
2009	35%	22%	26%
2010	52%	33%	19%
2011	60%	48%	18%
2012	72%	58%	13%
2013	80%	66%	16%
2014	85%	76%	14%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Not your average tools guy, Venable`s an Ivy Leaguer with skills (assuming Princeton`s cranking out better products than Woodrow Wilson these days). Developmentally, Venable`s still a bit on the raw side for a guy who`s already 24, but he focused on hoops in college and has already made fast progress. In Fort Wayne, he had the pleasure of having his dad (Max, the former big league outfielder) as his hitting coach, but, from here on out, he won`t get to hang around one level; the Pads want to see him move up fast. He might get caught as a tweener, because he probably doesn`t have the instincts or arm to stick in center, but if he makes the jump to Double-A this summer and keeps hitting, he`ll get onto big-league radars.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	EUG	1A	156	17	5	2	2	14	14	38	2	1	0.8	.216	.295	.324	-.142	.167	.229	.236	.151	-39.8	26-LF -3	-0.7
2006	FTW	1B	541	86	34	5	11	91	55	81	18	5	2.9	.314	.389	.477	.306	.260	.322	.406	.256	-5.1	112-LF 3	2.7
2007	SAN	2A	572	66	19	3	8	68	38	84	21	2	-0.7	.278	.337	.373	.039	.253	.301	.344	.233	-24.6	95-RF 9	1.7

Historical Stats