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He's probably very handsome. Josh Vitters
Chicago Cubs [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats R
Age 18
6' 3"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 CUB 0R 32 0 0 0 0 2 1 9 0 0 0.0 .067 .094 .067 -.915 .129 .125 .129 .000 -17.3 -0.3
2007 BOI 1A 23 2 0 0 0 1 2 5 1 1 -0.2 .190 .261 .190 -.438 .136 .174 .136 .000 -8.2 -0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:45 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 525 42 22 2 7 44 30 143 12 6 0.2 .208 .257 .309 -.367 .204 .253 .303 .187 -30.7 124-3B -3 -0.2
75o 483 32 18 2 5 36 26 138 10 5 0.2 .191 .237 .274 -.461 .187 .233 .269 .161 -38.6 114-3B -2 -1.1
60o 436 24 14 1 4 28 21 131 8 5 0.2 .175 .218 .243 -.545 .171 .214 .238 .132 -43.3 104-3B -2 -1.7
50o 391 18 11 1 2 22 18 122 7 4 0.1 .164 .204 .220 -.606 .160 .201 .216 .105 -44.3 93-3B -1 -2.0
40o 295 12 8 1 2 10 13 101 5 4 0.1 .161 .200 .216 -.620 .158 .197 .212 .046 -34.5 72-3B 0 -1.8
25o 236 7 5 1 1 5 9 85 3 3 0.1 .141 .175 .175 -.730 .138 .172 .171 .010 -33.5 59-3B 0 -1.5
10o 236 7 5 1 1 5 9 85 3 3 0.1 .141 .175 .175 -.730 .138 .172 .171 .010 -33.5 59-3B 0 -1.5
Weighted Mean 519 37 20 2 6 41 28 147 11 6 0.2 .194 .241 .281 -.441 .190 .237 .276 .166 -32.4 122-3B -2 -0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

1.39

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 18) 519 37 20 2 6 41 28 147 11 6 0.2 .194 .241 .281 -.441 .190 .237 .276 .166 -32.4 122-3B -2 -0.4
2009 (age 19) 561 46 24 2 8 48 32 149 12 6 0.2 .207 .254 .311 -.371 .199 .246 .299 .185 -29.7 132-3B -1 0.1
2010 (age 20) 571 54 28 3 10 55 34 138 13 5 0.2 .221 .270 .345 -.287 .213 .262 .333 .205 -18.1 134-3B 0 0.9
2011 (age 21) 569 61 25 3 12 58 42 135 13 5 0.1 .235 .293 .365 -.210 .226 .284 .351 .223 -9.4 134-3B -3 1.3
2012 (age 22) 574 63 26 4 12 42 39 128 17 6 0.1 .241 .295 .372 -.194 .232 .286 .358 .226 -6.8 134-3B -3 1.3
2013 (age 23) 580 71 29 4 13 47 47 115 15 5 0.1 .255 .317 .399 -.108 .246 .307 .384 .243 0.4 136-3B -4 1.6
2014 (age 24) 576 73 31 4 14 53 45 119 14 5 0.1 .264 .323 .420 -.063 .254 .313 .405 .251 3.3 135-3B -2 2.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .211 .259 .309
vs RHP .191 .235 .271
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -2.1 1.7 -0.4 $400,000 -35.6 0.0
2009 -1.6 1.7 0.1 $425,000 -32.5 0.0
2010 -0.8 1.7 0.9 $1,050,000 -19.8 0.1
2011 0.0 1.4 1.3 $1,600,000 -12.7 1.4
2012 0.1 1.2 1.3 $1,725,000 -9.7 0.7
2013 0.5 1.1 1.6 $2,500,000 -3.0 1.7
2014 0.7 1.3 2.0 $3,725,000 1.5 1.6
Peak 9.5 $8,575,000 0.8 8.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .161 .105 .010 .166
2009 .222 .189 .144 .185
2010 .239 .213 .171 .205
2011 .248 .232 .188 .223
2012 .269 .231 .192 .226
2013 .268 .245 .232 .243
2014 .274 .255 .220 .251


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 N/A 0% N/A
2009 N/A 2% N/A
2010 N/A 4% N/A
2011 N/A 17% N/A
2012 N/A 28% N/A
2013 N/A 36% N/A
2014 N/A 38% N/A

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