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He's probably very handsome. Cory Wade
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 25
6' 2"
180 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 OGD 0R 2 3 0 16 11 72.3 81 19 60 12 49% .335 -47 1.38 4.36 11.24 9.15 13.1 5.8 2.8 3.5 -23.7 -1.4
2005 CGA 1B 0 2 2 12 0 20.0 29 10 14 2 53% .391 -69 1.95 4.05 14.55 14.58 16.7 8.1 2.7 2.2 -16.7 -1.8
2006 CGA 1B 6 5 2 23 14 94.2 101 11 94 9 54% .337 -15 1.19 4.97 7.65 8.33 12.1 2.6 4.7 2.1 -25.9 -1.5
2006 VRO 1C 2 4 0 7 7 39.1 52 13 32 9 40% .350 -50 1.66 8.29 16.25 14.89 14.1 4.5 4.0 4.0 -36.9 -3.9
2007 SBR 1C 7 0 6 25 2 66.0 50 17 67 6 40% .262 -3 1.02 2.45 4.47 3.34 7.4 3.5 5.4 1.3 15.6 2.8
2007 JAX 2A 0 1 0 14 0 33.0 22 11 33 2 41% .233 4 1.00 1.36 3.25 2.14 6.1 3.2 5.6 0.8 13.0 1.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 3:12 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 5 4 1 28 11 83.3 81 36 48 10 43% .267 -5 1.40 3.70 4.48 3.89 8.5 3.5 4.6 1.0 17.8 2.1 2.6
75o 4 5 0 27 10 78.0 82 35 45 12 43% .278 -9 1.50 4.69 5.23 4.91 9.2 3.6 4.6 1.4 7.4 1.1 1.6
60o 4 5 0 25 10 73.7 82 35 43 14 43% .287 -12 1.58 5.56 5.89 5.81 9.8 3.8 4.7 1.6 -0.6 0.3 0.7
50o 3 5 0 25 10 70.7 82 34 42 15 43% .292 -15 1.64 6.10 6.29 6.36 10.2 3.8 4.7 1.8 -5.1 -0.1 0.3
40o 3 5 0 24 10 69.0 82 34 41 15 43% .295 -16 1.67 6.44 6.54 6.71 10.4 3.9 4.7 1.9 -7.8 -0.4 0.0
25o 3 5 0 23 10 64.7 81 33 39 16 43% .304 -20 1.75 7.42 7.20 7.73 10.9 4.0 4.8 2.2 -14.9 -1.1 -0.8
10o 2 5 0 21 9 57.0 75 30 35 16 43% .313 -25 1.84 9.26 7.90 9.73 11.6 4.2 4.8 2.4 -26.3 -2.2 -1.9
Weighted Mean 3 5 0 24 10 68.7 78 33 41 13 43% .288 -13 1.60 5.79 5.99 6.06 9.9 3.8 4.7 1.7 -2.5 0.1 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

35%

64%

14%

14%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 25) 3 5 0 24 10 68.7 78 33 41 13 43% .288 -13 1.60 5.79 5.99 6.06 9.9 3.8 4.7 1.7 -2.5 0.1 0.4
2009 (age 26) 3 5 0 23 9 64.3 74 31 38 13 43% .293 -16 1.63 6.17 6.23 6.45 10.1 3.8 4.7 1.7 -3.6 -0.2 0.0
2010 (age 27) 3 4 0 21 8 59.7 62 26 35 12 42% .265 -13 1.47 5.24 5.46 5.47 9.2 3.4 4.6 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.3
2011 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .248 .359 .418
vs RHB .256 .343 .419
Split -.008 +.016 -.001
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.4 $525,000 -4.2 3.3
2009 0.0 $400,000 -4.7 1.5
2010 0.3 $550,000 0.2 1.7
2011 0.2 $450,000 0.0 0.7
2012 0.0 $400,000 -1.0 0.3
2013 0.1 $400,000 -0.3 0.1
2014 0.2 $675,000 0.9 0.7
Peak 0.9 $350,000 1.1 7.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.91 6.36 7.73 6.06
2009 5.28 6.59 7.70 6.45
2010 3.85 5.26 6.72 5.47
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 14% 0% 35%
2009 37% 27% 27%
2010 70% 58% 30%
2011 81% 75% 29%
2012 84% 81% 23%
2013 87% 81% 18%
2014 93% 91% 14%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

70

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Matt Daley 2007 69 11 Justin Speier 1998 56
2 Dalton Maine 1997 67 12 Keith Troutman 1998 56
3 Jeff Matranga 1996 61 13 Tristan Crawford 2007 55
4 Jonathan Searles 2006 61 14 John Daniels 1999 55
5 Dan Chergey 1996 60 15 Chris Corn 1996 54
6 Joe Bateman 2005 59 16 Edward Buzachero 2006 54
7 Jason Verdugo 2000 58 17 Mike McLain 1995 54
8 Mike Sullivan 1993 57 18 Scott McCrary 1999 54
9 Benjamin Miller 2001 57 19 Kevin Crafton 1999 53
10 Steve Montgomery 1996 56 20 Ryan Brewer 1998 53

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