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He's probably very handsome. Andrew Walker
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
6'
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 SCO 1A 182 17 12 1 2 24 18 36 1 1 0.3 .317 .390 .441 .261 .240 .301 .347 .229 -5.0 36-C 0 0.9


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/19/08 1:11 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 553 66 36 2 12 63 48 114 7 3 -0.5 .268 .337 .424 -.031 .263 .334 .430 .262 18.8 130-C 4 5.2
75o 512 51 31 2 10 54 40 111 6 3 -0.4 .250 .314 .388 -.132 .245 .312 .394 .243 5.4 121-C 2 3.7
60o 495 45 29 2 9 51 37 110 5 3 -0.4 .242 .305 .373 -.174 .238 .302 .379 .234 0.4 117-C 1 3.2
50o 489 44 28 2 8 49 36 110 5 2 -0.4 .240 .302 .368 -.187 .236 .300 .374 .231 -1.0 116-C 1 3.0
40o 471 39 26 2 7 46 34 108 5 2 -0.4 .233 .293 .354 -.227 .229 .290 .359 .223 -5.5 111-C 1 2.5
25o 438 31 23 1 6 39 29 105 4 2 -0.3 .220 .276 .328 -.300 .216 .274 .333 .206 -12.4 104-C 0 1.6
10o 425 28 22 1 5 37 27 103 4 2 -0.3 .215 .270 .319 -.326 .211 .268 .324 .200 -14.7 101-C -1 1.3
Weighted Mean 484 39 26 2 7 46 34 112 5 2 -0.4 .229 .287 .346 -.250 .225 .285 .351 .217 -4.7 114-C 1 2.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

16%

33%

38%

8%

0.99

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 22) 484 39 26 2 7 46 34 112 5 2 -0.4 .229 .287 .346 -.250 .225 .285 .351 .217 -4.7 114-C 1 2.2
2009 (age 23) 454 38 26 2 8 45 33 100 5 2 -0.3 .237 .296 .364 -.205 .229 .290 .363 .227 -2.6 108-C -2 2.1
2010 (age 24) 412 36 24 1 8 43 33 88 4 2 -0.3 .245 .311 .384 -.146 .237 .304 .383 .239 2.6 98-C -2 2.2
2011 (age 25) 425 37 24 1 8 45 32 90 4 2 -0.3 .244 .306 .379 -.163 .236 .299 .378 .236 1.0 101-C -3 1.7
2012 (age 26) 390 34 22 1 9 44 31 83 3 2 -0.2 .247 .313 .397 -.125 .239 .306 .396 .244 2.7 93-C -4 1.4
2013 (age 27) 321 25 17 1 7 35 26 65 3 1 -0.2 .249 .313 .384 -.140 .241 .306 .384 .240 1.6 78-C -3 1.1
2014 (age 28) 366 29 19 1 8 42 26 76 3 1 -0.2 .246 .301 .379 -.169 .238 .294 .378 .233 0.4 88-C -1 1.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .244 .305 .371
vs RHP .224 .281 .333
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.4 2.6 2.2 $2,575,000 -7.0 2.4
2009 0.0 2.1 2.1 $2,500,000 -5.9 1.2
2010 0.4 1.8 2.2 $2,875,000 -0.8 3.8
2011 0.2 1.5 1.7 $2,300,000 -3.2 2.7
2012 0.3 1.1 1.4 $1,950,000 0.1 3.9
2013 0.2 0.9 1.1 $1,600,000 -0.9 1.7
2014 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,650,000 -0.7 2.0
Peak 10.7 $9,850,000 0.1 15.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .243 .231 .206 .217
2009 .246 .229 .209 .227
2010 .258 .242 .222 .239
2011 .266 .229 .212 .236
2012 .272 .243 .215 .244
2013 .265 .243 .218 .240
2014 .266 .232 .216 .233


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 16%
2009 11% 6% 23%
2010 21% 12% 36%
2011 25% 21% 27%
2012 46% 40% 35%
2013 48% 42% 30%
2014 55% 52% 30%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

48

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Ryan Jorgensen 1992 40 11 Curtis Thigpen 2003 33
2 Mike Nickeas 1979 36 12 Dan Gray 1971 33
3 Lou Palmisano 1981 36 13 Travis Chapman 1982 33
4 Nevin Ashley 1970 36 14 Danny Ardoin 1960 33
5 David Ross 1973 35 15 Javi Herrera 2007 32
6 Javier Flores 1992 35 16 Chris Robinson 1975 32
7 Jason Hill 1975 34 17 Dominic Woody 1969 32
8 Brad Ripplemeyer 1975 34 18 Pedro Grifol 2000 31
9 Chris Abbe 1957 34 19 Chad Tracy 1979 30
10 Sean Mulligan 1998 33 20 Adam Shorsher 2005 30

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