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He's probably very handsome. Josh Wall
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 21
6' 6"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 OGD 0R 3 5 0 14 14 66.1 80 33 41 5 52% .347 -48 1.71 5.85 9.15 10.71 12.4 7.9 1.9 1.9 -32.9 -2.7
2007 GRL 1B 6 10 1 26 24 129.3 136 48 103 8 .319 -28 1.42 4.18 7.72 7.96 11.4 6.5 3.3 1.6 -29.6 -1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 3:31 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 6 8 0 22 22 119.7 131 71 60 18 45% .284 -9 1.69 5.33 5.93 5.59 9.6 4.8 4.0 1.3 2.1 1.1 1.5
75o 5 8 0 22 22 111.7 128 75 55 18 45% .294 -14 1.82 6.15 6.61 6.45 10.1 5.3 3.9 1.4 -9.0 0.0 0.3
60o 4 9 0 21 21 103.3 125 77 50 18 45% .303 -20 1.95 7.04 7.33 7.39 10.6 6.0 3.8 1.5 -19.6 -1.1 -0.8
50o 4 9 0 21 21 98.7 123 78 47 18 45% .309 -23 2.04 7.60 7.76 7.98 10.9 6.3 3.8 1.6 -25.4 -1.8 -1.5
40o 3 9 0 25 18 93.0 120 78 44 18 45% .315 -30 2.13 8.30 8.25 8.73 11.3 6.7 3.8 1.7 -32.0 -2.5 -2.1
25o 2 8 0 24 17 85.0 113 76 40 17 45% .322 -35 2.23 9.41 8.76 9.96 11.7 7.2 3.7 1.8 -41.3 -3.4 -3.1
10o 2 8 0 23 15 78.7 90 52 39 13 46% .293 -26 1.80 10.91 6.53 12.39 10.0 5.3 3.9 1.4 -60.4 -5.3 -5.0
Weighted Mean 4 8 0 26 19 99.7 122 76 48 18 45% .306 -24 1.99 7.36 7.50 7.74 10.8 6.1 3.8 1.5 -20.9 -1.5 -1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

31%

60%

20%

14%

1.56

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 21) 4 8 0 26 19 99.7 122 76 48 18 45% .306 -24 1.99 7.36 7.50 7.74 10.8 6.1 3.8 1.5 -20.9 -1.5 -1.3
2009 (age 22) 4 7 0 28 14 85.3 105 56 44 17 45% .303 -25 1.88 7.14 7.30 7.46 10.8 5.3 4.1 1.8 -13.9 -1.1 -0.8
2010 (age 23) 3 6 0 27 11 76.3 94 50 39 15 44% .304 -25 1.87 7.11 7.19 7.44 10.8 5.2 4.1 1.7 -11.4 -1.0 -0.6
2011 (age 24) 4 6 0 35 10 84.0 100 50 46 12 45% .312 -19 1.79 6.19 6.48 6.52 10.4 4.8 4.3 1.2 -4.3 -0.3 0.0
2012 (age 25) 3 5 0 29 8 68.0 82 33 36 11 44% .308 -18 1.69 6.37 6.30 6.72 10.5 3.9 4.2 1.4 -4.4 -0.4 -0.1
2013 (age 26) 2 4 0 23 5 51.0 63 27 28 9 45% .310 -20 1.75 6.67 6.81 6.99 10.8 4.2 4.3 1.6 -3.7 -0.5 -0.1
2014 (age 27)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .302 .439 .497
vs RHB .291 .400 .460
Split +.012 +.040 +.038
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -1.3 $400,000 -23.7 0.6
2009 -0.8 $400,000 -16.0 1.1
2010 -0.6 $400,000 -13.1 1.0
2011 0.0 $400,000 -5.6 0.5
2012 0.0 $400,000 -5.5 1.1
2013 0.0 $400,000 -4.4 0.3
2014 0.0 $400,000 -2.2 0.2
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 6.45 7.98 9.96 7.74
2009 5.80 7.69 10.79 7.46
2010 5.95 7.39 11.09 7.44
2011 5.33 6.39 8.01 6.52
2012 5.66 6.77 8.51 6.72
2013 5.69 7.07 8.36 6.99
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 14% 0% 31%
2009 32% 12% 32%
2010 48% 29% 31%
2011 57% 41% 35%
2012 60% 49% 29%
2013 74% 56% 24%
2014 79% 67% 24%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

66

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Phil Merrell 1999 62 11 Charlie Morton 2005 52
2 RICK CLELLAND 1993 60 12 Michael Schlact 2007 52
3 Jeremy Powell 1997 58 13 David Coggin 1998 52
4 Luther Hackman 1996 57 14 Geronimo Mendoza 2001 52
5 Chris Reed 1995 57 15 Doug Waechter 2002 51
6 Scott Pisciotta 1994 56 16 Justin Duchscherer 1999 51
7 Kenny Pumphrey 1998 56 17 Donnie Bridges 2000 51
8 Brett Herbison 1998 53 18 Collin Balester 2007 50
9 Brian West 2002 53 19 Gary Glover 1998 50
10 Tony McKnight 1998 52 20 Jimmy Barrett 2002 49

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