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He's probably very handsome. Matt Wieters
Baltimore Orioles [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 22
6' 3"
230 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 9:04 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 545 54 26 2 11 60 43 134 9 4 0.2 .235 .299 .362 -.174 .233 .300 .373 .240 -1.3 128-C -6 2.7
75o 525 47 24 2 9 53 39 136 9 4 0.2 .225 .286 .342 -.228 .224 .287 .353 .228 -8.0 123-C -6 2.0
60o 501 41 22 2 7 46 34 137 9 4 0.2 .215 .273 .321 -.286 .214 .273 .331 .215 -14.7 118-C -5 1.3
50o 492 38 21 2 7 44 32 137 9 4 0.2 .212 .267 .313 -.307 .210 .268 .322 .210 -16.9 116-C -5 1.1
40o 482 36 20 2 6 41 30 137 9 4 0.2 .208 .262 .304 -.331 .206 .262 .313 .204 -19.4 114-C -5 0.8
25o 435 26 16 2 4 29 23 137 9 4 0.2 .191 .238 .268 -.430 .189 .238 .276 .177 -27.9 103-C -4 0.0
10o 394 19 14 2 2 19 18 134 9 4 0.1 .178 .219 .241 -.505 .177 .220 .248 .154 -32.3 94-C -4 -0.7
Weighted Mean 603 65 29 2 13 69 49 144 10 4 0.3 .240 .306 .373 -.145 .238 .307 .384 .246 1.2 141-C -6 3.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

0.75

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 22) 603 65 29 2 13 69 49 144 10 4 0.3 .240 .306 .373 -.145 .238 .307 .384 .246 1.2 141-C -6 3.4
2009 (age 23) 553 59 27 2 13 59 45 127 9 4 0.2 .244 .309 .385 -.121 .246 .315 .404 .250 5.7 130-C -6 3.5
2010 (age 24) 568 65 28 2 14 64 48 125 9 4 0.2 .253 .320 .400 -.076 .255 .326 .420 .259 11.0 133-C -6 3.8
2011 (age 25) 518 58 27 2 14 60 44 116 8 3 0.1 .254 .323 .412 -.054 .256 .329 .433 .263 12.4 122-C -6 3.7
2012 (age 26) 480 58 24 2 15 45 45 102 9 3 0.1 .265 .338 .437 .011 .267 .345 .459 .277 17.7 114-C -7 3.7
2013 (age 27) 468 54 24 2 14 44 41 97 9 3 0.1 .265 .331 .433 -.006 .267 .337 .455 .273 14.5 111-C -4 3.3
2014 (age 28) 542 66 28 2 15 51 48 105 8 3 0.1 .269 .335 .429 .000 .271 .342 .451 .273 14.8 127-C -5 3.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .243 .303 .377
vs RHP .239 .307 .371
Split +.004 -.004 +.007
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.9 2.5 3.4 $4,575,000 -1.4 7.0
2009 1.2 2.3 3.5 $5,525,000 2.5 10.4
2010 1.6 2.2 3.8 $7,325,000 7.4 13.3
2011 1.7 2.0 3.7 $8,050,000 9.3 19.2
2012 2.0 1.7 3.7 $9,775,000 14.2 21.6
2013 1.7 1.6 3.3 $8,925,000 12.1 18.1
2014 1.7 1.6 3.3 $9,825,000 12.5 17.7
Peak 21.4 $36,250,000 70.8 105.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .228 .210 .177 .246
2009 .276 .250 .222 .250
2010 .281 .255 .234 .259
2011 .289 .256 .226 .263
2012 .292 .265 .242 .277
2013 .289 .262 .245 .273
2014 .280 .264 .246 .273


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 N/A 0% N/A
2009 N/A 1% N/A
2010 N/A 2% N/A
2011 N/A 2% N/A
2012 N/A 11% N/A
2013 N/A 20% N/A
2014 N/A 25% N/A

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

0

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jose Cruz_Jr 1992 40 11 Dave Mccarty 2003 33
2 Ryan Zimmerman 1979 36 12 Antone Williamson 1971 33
3 Mike Kelly 1981 36 13 Joe Vitiello 1982 33
4 Carlos Pena 1970 36 14 Mark Smith 1960 33
5 Evan Longoria 1973 35 15 Geoff Jenkins 2007 32
6 Ken Felder 1992 35 16 Nick Swisher 1975 32
7 Nick Markakis 1975 34 17 Lance Berkman 1969 32
8 Mark Kotsay 1975 34 18 Chad Mottola 2000 31
9 Michael Aubrey 1957 34 19 Conor Jackson 1979 30
10 David Parrish 1998 33 20 Josh Fields 2005 30

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