Bobby Wilson

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:08 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	341	38	19	1	8	40	24	52	4	2	-0.2	.268	.322	.408	-.052	.265	.321	.427	.263	9.2	82-C 0	2.9
75^o	329	32	17	1	7	37	22	52	4	2	-0.2	.252	.304	.378	-.133	.250	.304	.395	.247	2.4	80-C 0	2.2
60^o	318	28	15	1	6	34	20	52	4	2	-0.2	.238	.289	.352	-.203	.236	.289	.367	.232	-3.1	77-C -1	1.6
50^o	316	27	15	1	5	33	20	52	4	2	-0.2	.235	.286	.346	-.218	.233	.286	.361	.228	-4.3	77-C -1	1.5
40^o	313	26	14	1	5	32	19	52	4	2	-0.2	.232	.282	.339	-.235	.230	.282	.354	.225	-5.5	76-C -1	1.4
25^o	300	22	13	1	4	29	17	52	3	2	-0.2	.217	.266	.311	-.310	.215	.266	.325	.207	-10.8	73-C -2	0.8
10^o	283	17	11	0	3	25	15	51	3	2	-0.1	.201	.247	.279	-.394	.199	.247	.292	.185	-15.9	69-C -2	0.2
Weighted Mean	329	29	15	1	6	36	21	54	4	2	-0.2	.236	.287	.347	-.213	.234	.287	.363	.228	-4.5	80-C -1	2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
22%	48%	27%	18%	0.91

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 25)	329	29	15	1	6	36	21	54	4	2	-0.2	.236	.287	.347	-.213	.234	.287	.363	.228	-4.5	80-C -1	2.0
2009 (age 26)	348	33	17	1	7	40	22	54	4	2	-0.2	.244	.295	.364	-.172	.245	.300	.388	.238	-0.5	84-C 0	1.6
2010 (age 27)	260	22	11	0	5	30	18	40	3	1	-0.1	.244	.299	.358	-.173	.246	.304	.381	.238	-0.4	64-C -3	1.1
2011 (age 28)	285	27	15	0	6	34	20	42	3	2	-0.1	.260	.316	.392	-.089	.261	.321	.417	.255	2.9	70-C -2	1.2
2012 (age 29)	282	25	13	1	6	33	19	41	4	2	-0.1	.255	.306	.375	-.133	.256	.311	.399	.245	1.1	69-C -2	1.0
2013 (age 30)	323	30	14	1	6	38	22	49	4	2	-0.1	.243	.298	.359	-.175	.245	.303	.381	.238	-0.3	78-C -2	0.7
2014 (age 31)	316	29	13	0	6	38	21	44	4	2	-0.1	.243	.298	.350	-.187	.245	.302	.372	.235	-0.5	77-C -5	0.5

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.252	.309	.374
vs RHP	.232	.278	.334
Split	+.020	+.031	+.039
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.0	2.0	2.0	$2,300,000	-2.8	2.3
2009	0.3	1.3	1.6	$1,975,000	0.9	2.9
2010	0.2	0.9	1.1	$1,275,000	-1.0	3.0
2011	0.4	0.8	1.2	$2,125,000	2.9	4.5
2012	0.3	0.7	1.0	$1,450,000	0.9	2.3
2013	0.1	0.6	0.7	$1,000,000	-0.4	0.8
2014	0.1	0.4	0.5	$825,000	-1.8	1.4
Peak			7.6	$6,600,000	3.4	15.8

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.247	.228	.207	.228
2009	.248	.234	.206	.238
2010	.252	.227	.193	.238
2011	.268	.238	.223	.255
2012	.260	.236	.216	.245
2013	.263	.232	.190	.238
2014	.255	.236	.191	.235

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	18%	0%	22%
2009	38%	23%	27%
2010	62%	32%	31%
2011	59%	42%	31%
2012	63%	48%	29%
2013	74%	61%	21%
2014	75%	67%	16%

59

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Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Gary Bennett	1992	40		11	Kyle Cooney	2003	33
2	Jim Foster	1979	36		12	Mike Amrhein	1971	33
3	Pat Cline	1981	36		13	Justin Cowan	1982	33
4	Tommy Eason	1970	36		14	Humberto Cota	1960	33
5	Brook Fordyce	1973	35		15	Blake Barthol	2007	32
6	Joe Depastino	1992	35		16	Brad Cresse	1975	32
7	Alberto Castillo	1975	34		17	Mike Sweeney	1969	32
8	Miah Bradbury	1975	34		18	Jim Campanis	2000	31
9	Andy Dominique	1957	34		19	Jason Friedman	1979	30
10	Alberto Concepcion	1998	33		20	Alex Delgado	2005	30

Player Comments

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2007

A high school teammate of Casey Kotchman`s, Wilson`s a decent enough catching prospect, and he swings a quick bat that generates a lot of liners. He`s that odd rarity, a catcher who can throw well, but is sort of rough behind the plate; anybody remember Mike Heath? He won`t be a major improvement on Napoli or anyone else, just something different, and a plausible half of a job-sharing arrangement.

Historical Stats