<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Wesley Wright
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws L
Age 23
5' 11"
160 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Astros Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
Pos Name IP GS ERA WHIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP
Long Wesley Wright 60 0 5.86 1.80 62 46 8 50 2 4 0 -4.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 CGA 1B 1 5 1 30 0 60.7 38 33 68 2 51% .252 -19 1.17 1.93 5.36 5.30 7.2 8.2 5.6 0.9 1.8 0.9
2005 VRO 1C 0 0 0 6 0 6.7 8 10 8 0 32% .421 -77 2.69 9.40 15.34 15.19 13.5 21.9 6.8 0.0 -5.6 -0.3
2006 VRO 1C 3 3 0 26 0 42.0 29 23 51 0 42% .302 -2 1.24 1.50 4.39 3.58 7.2 7.2 6.9 0.2 8.5 1.7
2006 JAX 2A 1 1 1 15 0 21.0 14 11 28 2 43% .273 -5 1.19 4.71 5.59 7.78 8.2 5.5 8.2 1.8 -4.8 -0.2
2007 JAX 2A 6 2 2 30 1 61.3 45 31 68 4 48% .275 0 1.24 2.50 4.20 3.66 7.5 4.9 6.6 1.1 12.7 2.4
2007 LVG 3A 1 2 0 14 1 16.7 28 18 18 4 40% .511 -60 2.75 9.16 21.00 17.02 15.8 10.6 7.6 2.3 -19.4 -2.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 4:54 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 4 1 31 8 72.0 61 44 62 7 42% .269 6 1.45 3.44 4.50 3.40 7.6 4.8 6.9 0.9 16.8 1.9 2.7
75o 3 4 1 29 8 65.7 62 46 55 8 42% .288 -2 1.64 4.75 5.56 4.81 8.5 5.5 6.7 1.1 4.6 0.7 1.4
60o 3 4 0 28 7 61.3 62 47 51 8 42% .300 -7 1.77 5.62 6.28 5.76 9.1 6.0 6.7 1.2 -2.4 0.0 0.6
50o 3 4 0 27 7 60.3 62 47 50 9 42% .304 -8 1.81 5.88 6.49 6.03 9.3 6.1 6.6 1.3 -4.3 -0.1 0.4
40o 2 4 0 27 7 58.0 62 47 48 9 42% .310 -11 1.88 6.38 6.91 6.57 9.6 6.4 6.6 1.3 -7.7 -0.5 0.1
25o 2 4 0 26 7 53.7 62 47 44 9 42% .322 -17 2.02 7.34 7.69 7.61 10.3 7.0 6.5 1.5 -13.6 -1.0 -0.5
10o 1 4 0 21 6 41.3 55 44 33 9 43% .352 -32 2.38 10.75 9.75 11.43 12.0 8.4 6.3 1.9 -28.8 -2.5 -2.1
Weighted Mean 2 4 0 27 7 58.0 60 45 48 8 42% .303 -8 1.80 5.86 6.42 6.02 9.3 6.1 6.6 1.3 -4.0 -0.1 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

26%

52%

24%

14%

1.24

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 23) 2 4 0 27 7 58.0 60 45 48 8 42% .303 -8 1.80 5.86 6.42 6.02 9.3 6.1 6.6 1.3 -4.0 -0.1 0.3
2009 (age 24) 3 4 0 24 7 57.3 59 39 46 8 43% .299 -7 1.70 5.39 5.94 5.52 9.2 5.4 6.4 1.2 -0.5 0.2 0.5
2010 (age 25) 2 4 0 25 7 57.7 61 42 45 8 41% .308 -10 1.79 5.63 6.29 5.77 9.5 5.8 6.3 1.1 -1.5 0.0 0.3
2011 (age 26) 3 4 0 25 7 56.0 57 39 42 6 43% .301 -9 1.72 5.10 5.75 5.24 9.2 5.6 5.9 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.5
2012 (age 27) 3 3 1 24 6 54.7 52 32 43 6 44% .285 -2 1.53 4.51 4.97 4.61 8.5 4.7 6.2 0.9 2.7 0.7 0.6
2013 (age 28) 3 4 1 25 6 57.0 56 31 40 6 43% .286 -5 1.52 4.67 4.97 4.80 8.8 4.3 5.6 0.9 1.8 0.6 0.5
2014 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .230 .366 .353
vs RHB .245 .378 .408
Split -.015 -.012 -.055
LgAvg -.020 -.021 -.054

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.3 $525,000 -3.3 4.0
2009 0.5 $675,000 0.1 5.1
2010 0.3 $525,000 -1.0 2.8
2011 0.5 $975,000 1.3 4.7
2012 0.6 $1,500,000 3.2 4.9
2013 0.5 $1,200,000 2.2 2.8
2014 0.4 $1,175,000 2.1 1.5
Peak 2.9 $2,800,000 10.4 24.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.81 6.03 7.61 6.02
2009 4.47 5.48 7.13 5.52
2010 4.17 5.71 7.14 5.77
2011 4.13 5.53 7.74 5.24
2012 3.60 4.89 7.45 4.61
2013 3.68 4.71 7.20 4.80
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 14% 0% 26%
2009 38% 26% 31%
2010 47% 38% 24%
2011 51% 45% 23%
2012 64% 57% 23%
2013 70% 65% 18%
2014 79% 75% 12%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

52

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Steve Dixon 1993 54 11 Onan Masaoka 2001 41
2 Huck Flener 1992 49 12 Darren Oliver 1994 40
3 Mike Bumatay 2003 48 13 Shea Douglas 2004 39
4 Colin Young 2001 48 14 Tyler Johnson 2004 37
5 Scott Chambers 1998 47 15 Adam Butler 1997 35
6 Will Ohman 2001 46 16 Joel Barreto 2004 35
7 Cliff Bartosh 2003 43 17 Joe Lagarde 1998 34
8 Jason Miller 2005 43 18 Radhames Dykhoff 1998 33
9 Rick Betti 1997 41 19 David Davidson 2007 32
10 David Sanders 2003 41 20 Keith Conway 1996 32

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Another undersized, unheralded Dodger pitching prospect, if nothing else, DeQuam LaWesley Wright might have the best name in the entire organization. Drafted out of an Alabama high school in 2003, the southpaw has made solid progress through the system, struggling with control issues, but missing a good number of bats. He bounced between Vero Beach and Jacksonville last year and should return to Double-A to start 2007.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.