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Rod Barajas
Toronto Blue Jays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 32
6' 2"
230 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Blue Jays Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Rod Barajas 35 216 .229 19 6 25 0 .297 .389 0.5
1   2008 Total 35 216 .229 19 6 25 0 .297 .389 0.5

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 TEX MJ 449 53 24 0 21 60 26 70 0 0 -2.1 .254 .306 .466 -.011 .252 .315 .480 .268 16.4 115-C 7 4.8
2006 TEX MJ 371 49 20 0 11 41 17 51 0 0 -0.3 .256 .298 .410 -.139 .253 .303 .415 .247 0.6 93-C 1 2.6
2007 LWD 1B 19 0 2 0 0 2 3 6 0 0 -0.1 .375 .474 .500 .525 .176 .263 .294 .193 -1.6 0.0
2007 REA 2A 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1 .200 .200 .200 -.537 .200 .200 .200 .074 -0.7 0.0
2007 PHI MJ 146 16 8 0 4 10 21 24 0 1 0.1 .230 .352 .393 -.038 .221 .349 .393 .261 3.4 34-C 4 1.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:05 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 259 33 15 0 10 32 21 44 1 1 -0.6 .267 .336 .467 .049 .266 .338 .472 .281 12.3 64-C -2 2.5
75o 242 26 13 0 8 29 20 43 1 0 -0.6 .247 .315 .425 -.057 .245 .317 .429 .261 5.4 60-C -2 1.8
60o 234 24 12 0 8 28 19 42 1 0 -0.5 .237 .305 .405 -.105 .236 .307 .409 .252 2.5 58-C -2 1.6
50o 227 22 11 0 7 26 18 42 1 0 -0.5 .229 .298 .390 -.144 .228 .299 .394 .244 0.3 57-C -2 1.4
40o 217 19 11 0 6 25 17 41 1 0 -0.5 .218 .286 .367 -.200 .217 .287 .371 .233 -2.6 54-C -2 1.1
25o 193 13 9 0 4 21 14 39 1 0 -0.4 .195 .262 .319 -.319 .194 .263 .322 .206 -7.8 49-C -1 0.5
10o 169 9 7 0 3 18 12 36 1 0 -0.3 .175 .241 .278 -.419 .174 .242 .281 .179 -10.9 44-C -1 0.1
Weighted Mean 217 20 11 0 7 26 17 40 1 0 -0.5 .229 .297 .389 -.145 .228 .299 .393 .243 0.5 54-C -1 1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

14%

37%

38%

30%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 32) 217 20 11 0 7 26 17 40 1 0 -0.5 .229 .297 .389 -.145 .228 .299 .393 .243 0.5 54-C -1 1.8
2009 (age 33) 193 17 10 0 6 23 16 35 1 0 -0.4 .235 .306 .395 -.120 .237 .312 .407 .249 1.3 49-C -1 1.2
2010 (age 34) 168 14 8 0 5 21 14 32 1 0 -0.3 .231 .300 .393 -.134 .234 .306 .405 .246 0.4 43-C -1 0.9
2011 (age 35) 139 10 7 0 4 16 11 28 1 0 -0.2 .229 .294 .380 -.162 .232 .300 .392 .240 -0.2 37-C -2 0.4
2012 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .243 .316 .414
vs RHP .225 .290 .374
Split +.018 +.026 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 1.5 1.8 $2,225,000 1.4 3.3
2009 0.4 0.9 1.2 $1,700,000 1.9 4.1
2010 0.2 0.6 0.9 $1,175,000 0.9 2.0
2011 0.1 0.3 0.4 $650,000 -0.8 0.9
2012 0.1 0.3 0.4 $675,000 0.3 0.9
2013 0.0 0.3 0.3 $575,000 -0.3 0.7
2014 0.0 0.2 0.2 $550,000 -0.6 0.0
Peak 5.0 $4,200,000 3.4 12.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .261 .244 .206 .243
2009 .270 .240 .206 .249
2010 .265 .241 .201 .246
2011 .260 .235 .200 .240
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 30% 0% 14%
2009 46% 15% 22%
2010 62% 40% 14%
2011 80% 55% 11%
2012 88% 70% 9%
2013 89% 76% 4%
2014 96% 83% 4%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Gus Triandos 1992 40 11 Bill Freehan 2003 33
2 Joe Oliver 1979 36 12 Doug Mirabelli 1971 33
3 Jody Davis 1981 36 13 Jeff Conine 1982 33
4 Charles Johnson 1970 36 14 Del Rice 1960 33
5 John Ellis 1973 35 15 Hal Smith 2007 32
6 Gene Oliver 1992 35 16 Kevin Young 1975 32
7 Brian Johnson 1975 34 17 Ron Karkovice 1969 32
8 Ozzie Virgil 1975 34 18 Bob Brenly 2000 31
9 Lance Parrish 1957 34 19 Dave Valle 1979 30
10 Mike Macfarlane 1998 33 20 Jeff Newman 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Offense in baseball is pretty basic. If you don`t make outs, you get to keep hitting. If you get to keep hitting, you get more chances to get hits and walks. If you get more hits and walks, you`ll probably score more runs. Forget stolen bases, squeeze plays, smallball, Moneyball, medicine ball, or any other ball you can think of--scoring runs in baseball is about reaching base. Barajas is one of the worst in the game at getting to first. Despite playing in an extremely generous hitter`s park over the last three years, his OBP during that time was just .294. Over that same period, the average American League hitter`s OBP was .336. The average catcher, a group which includes Barajas, had a .325 OBP during that time. Barajas hits a few home runs, and they`re legit--his power isn`t just a gift from the ballpark. If the Rangers had no alternative to Barajas in the organization, that would have been an adequate consolation prize. The Rangers, though, had Gerald Laird, a more rounded hitter, so that excuse doesn`t wash. Finally wising up with the departure of Buck Showalter, the Rangers let Barajas leave as a free agent. He signed with Philadelphia, where he`ll once again block a better player in Carlos Ruiz.

2006

In his second season as a Ranger regular, Barajas improved his hitting away from Arlington, boosting it from .221/.262/.401 to .250/.318/.520.? The only problem was that his hitting at home dropped to .257/.293/.414, which leaves him in much the same place that he began. The 21 home runs are nice, but Barajas` career line stands at .236/.278/.410, and he`s still in Gerald Laird`s way. Like a latter-day Rick Cerone circa 1980, we`ll look back at Barajas` 2005 and end up using that as an explanation for every subsequent contract he signs.

2005

This is a ballplayer that will keep your team out of contention. There exists no major league club that should give Barajas more than about 80 at-bats, and those should be primarily against pitchers like Lefty Grove, Eddie Cicotte, and J.T. Walsh, all of whom are dead. Barajas swings hard and occasionally hits the ball over the fence. But mostly he just plain cannot hit, which one can't help but think has enhanced his defensive reputation. The idea that Barajas has taken even one plate appearance away from someone that might develop, someday, into some sort of deserving major leaguer, is nuts. Away from Arlington, he hit .221/.262/.401. Uh, no, thank you.

2003

Rany Jazayerli has a postulate that eventually, backup catchers will have a season in which they go Junior Ortiz on the league, and hit .300 as a fluke. If Barajas does that, he could actually have some value because unlike the Junior Ortizes of the world, he can occasionally pound a ball. He’s 27 and his playing pattern will be strange, so maybe this is Rod’s year.

2002

Barajas would be the ideal backup catcher for a team whose starter was a defensive whiz but a little lacking at the plate, especially against left-handers. The Diamondbacks aren’t that team. He hasn’t walked much in the minors but has pop, smacking the PCL around as a repeater this year; he’s worth a second look to see if he can hit enough to overcome his defensive shortcomings.

2001

There’s a difference between feeling good that an undrafted free agent got this far and thinking he’s a prospect. If the Snakes had a great catcher, or if Brad Cresse turns into one, Rod Barajas would be an adequate backup. Right now, the Snakes have an adequate catching tandem. If Barajas pushes past either Kelly Stinnett or Damian Miller, something has gone terribly wrong.

2000

Barajas was named the best defensive catcher in the Texas League in 1999 by Baseball America. He has some pop, which is always useful behind the plate. He could stick around for a few years as a backup, but he’s just too impatient a hitter to have much impact in the major leagues.

1999

Catching suspect who took a step forward as a high-A repeater. His defense gets good marks, and there are some serious opportunities for a quality catcher in this organization. Especially if Damian Miller loses the pictures he has of Joe Garagiola Jr., Wendy Selig-Prieb, and all that Jell-o. Mmm... lime.


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