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Yorman Bazardo
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 24
6' 2"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Astros Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
Pos Name IP GS ERA WHIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP
Spot Yorman Bazardo 9 1 5.96 1.53 11 4 2 5 0 1 0 -0.8

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 SAN AA 6 5 0 25 25 138.1 144 45 80 10 43% .309 -20 1.37 3.65 11 6.68 11.0 3.4 3.0 1.1 -15.2 0.0 0.0
2007 TOL AAA 10 6 0 23 21 136.7 134 43 69 8 54% .292 -20 1.29 3.75 12 6.93 10.4 3.2 2.8 0.9 -18.4 0.0 -0.4
2007 DET MLB 2 1 0 11 2 23.7 19 5 15 2 48% .243 6 1.01 2.28 1 3.09 6.9 1.9 5.0 0.8 8.9 0.3 1.0
2008 TOL AAA 4 13 0 25 22 130.0 177 44 75 19 53% .371 10 1.70 6.72 -16 7.62 14.0 3.5 3.3 2.1 -26.3 0.0 -1.5
2008 DET MLB 0 0 0 3 0 3.0 7 5 3 0 33% .636 -16 4.00 24.00 -3 13.50 23.6 16.9 10.1 0.0 -5.8 0.0 -0.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/10/09 3:30 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 6 6 0 34 15 103.7 117 41 62 13 49% .305 2 1.52 5.10 0 5.30 10.0 3.1 4.7 1.1 4.2 1.0 1.3
75o 5 7 0 34 14 96.3 118 40 55 14 48% .319 -3 1.65 5.92 0 6.13 10.9 3.3 4.5 1.3 -5.3 0.0 0.3
60o 4 7 0 34 14 91.0 119 40 51 15 48% .329 -6 1.74 6.54 0 6.74 11.6 3.5 4.3 1.5 -11.4 -0.6 -0.4
50o 4 7 0 34 13 88.3 119 40 48 16 48% .334 -8 1.79 6.88 0 7.09 11.9 3.5 4.2 1.5 -14.6 -0.9 -0.7
40o 4 7 0 34 13 84.0 118 39 45 16 48% .342 -11 1.87 7.41 0 7.61 12.5 3.7 4.1 1.7 -19.0 -1.4 -1.2
25o 3 6 0 34 12 79.3 117 38 41 17 48% .351 -14 1.96 8.02 0 8.21 13.2 3.8 4.0 1.8 -23.4 -1.8 -1.7
10o 2 6 0 32 10 68.7 114 36 32 17 48% .371 -22 2.19 9.55 0 9.70 14.7 4.2 3.6 2.2 -32.1 -2.7 -2.7
Weighted Mean 4 6 0 34 12 85.7 115 38 47 15 48% .333 -8 1.78 6.83 0 7.04 11.9 3.5 4.2 1.5 -13.6 -0.8 -0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

28%

66%

9%

14%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2009 (age 24) 4 6 0 34 12 85.7 115 38 47 15 48% .333 -8 1.78 6.83 0 7.04 11.9 3.5 4.2 1.5 -13.6 -0.8 -0.9
2010 (age 25) 3 5 0 33 9 70.7 97 31 41 14 48% .339 -10 1.81 6.81 0 6.95 12.2 3.5 4.5 1.7 -9.3 -0.7 -0.6
2011 (age 26) 3 5 0 35 7 65.7 89 26 37 14 46% .330 -11 1.74 6.73 0 6.86 12.0 3.1 4.4 1.8 -6.0 -0.6 -0.3
2012 (age 27) 3 4 0 36 7 64.7 89 26 36 11 48% .345 -10 1.79 6.75 0 6.94 12.3 3.2 4.3 1.4 -5.5 -0.7 -0.3
2013 (age 28) 3 4 0 31 6 58.3 80 21 37 11 47% .346 -5 1.72 6.53 0 6.67 12.2 2.8 5.0 1.6 -2.9 -0.4 -0.1
2014 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .300 .394 .485
vs RHB .294 .368 .467
Split +.006 +.026 +.018
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2009 -0.9 $400,000 -15.2 0.9
2010 -0.6 $400,000 -10.4 0.8
2011 -0.3 $400,000 -6.8 0.2
2012 -0.3 $400,000 -6.2 0.4
2013 0.0 $400,000 -3.3 0.6
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.2 $125,000 0.2 3.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 6.13 7.09 8.21 7.04
2010 5.96 7.13 8.93 6.95
2011 5.77 7.07 9.00 6.86
2012 5.82 7.17 8.95 6.94
2013 5.70 6.99 9.04 6.67
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 14% 0% 28%
2010 33% 18% 33%
2011 56% 34% 25%
2012 60% 45% 21%
2013 75% 62% 17%
2014 83% 77% 18%
2015 88% 85% 17%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

69

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Luis Mendoza 2008 66 11 Rusty Richards 1990 52
2 William Martinez 2002 59 12 Jose Vargas 1989 52
3 Beiker Graterol 1999 59 13 Balvino Galvez 1989 52
4 Tony Pena 2006 58 14 Tim Burke 1984 52
5 Jay Yennaco 2000 55 15 Mike Maddux 1986 51
6 Juan Castillo 1995 54 16 Pat Daneker 2001 51
7 Len Picota 1991 53 17 Tim Harikkala 1996 51
8 Eric Ireland 2002 53 18 Tom Rowe 1982 51
9 Rick Foley 1981 52 19 Josh Pearce 2002 51
10 Paul Marak 1990 52 20 Leonardo Strelitz 1981 50

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

A nice below-the-radar pickup by Dave Dombrowski, Bazardo was acquired last spring in exchange for Jeff Frazier, a toolsy outfield prospect who failed to hit at Double-A at age 24. Bazardo uses a low-90s fastball and average curve and change to get groundballs, but he lacks an out pitch, which limits both his strikeouts and his projectability. The exodus of prospects from this system bodes well for Bazardo.

2007

Bazardo`s a hard thrower whose fastball is as straight as a rail. His strikeout rate is in free-fall, his control is good, but not great, and he doesn`t compensate by getting a lot of ground balls. He`s only 22, though, and he`s got a great name, so life could be worse. Bazardo was used as a reliever in winter ball; that might be a role to which he`s better suited.

2006

Bazardo fell off a bit in Double-A after taking advantage of the pitcher-friendly Florida State League in `04, but made it to the bigs for a cup of coffee with the Marlins. His velocity has come down in the last few years, from as high as 97 at Greensboro in 2003 to the low 90s last season, although his strikeout rates have ticked upwards along the way. That may be a function of Bazardo getting smarter and no longer gunning his fastball down the middle of the plate. Regardless, retaining a veteran swingman like Ron Villone was a luxury the last-place Mariners didn`t need; getting Bazardo for him just after his 21st birthday was a minor coup.

2005

The convention of using a July 1 cutoff to determine player age mislabels Bazardo, who's an "old" 20. Scouts love him for his mid-90s fastball and slider. The low strikeout rate is a definite concern, although it's mitigated by the great control and insanely low home-run rate. The real concern is his arm; Bazardo has by no means been abused, but the attrition rate for guys this young this advanced is high.


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