Edwin Bellorin

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	LVG	AAA	350	32	13	1	7	49	14	59	1	2	-1.7	.234	.266	.346	-.458	.190	.220	.297	.173	-32.2	83-C -8	-2.7
2007	CSP	AAA	244	38	18	0	9	45	16	27	1	0	-2.4	.326	.369	.529	-.093	.256	.303	.426	.252	1.7	56-C 5	1.6
2008	CSP	AAA	356	28	27	3	5	65	15	43	1	1	-0.5	.293	.328	.436	-.370	.212	.243	.322	.190	-24.7	79-C 4	-0.7

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:47 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	350	40	22	1	10	45	21	51	2	1	-1.5	.283	.332	.454	-.059	.265	.316	.430	.256	9.1	84-C 3	2.5
75^o	336	32	19	1	8	40	18	51	1	1	-1.3	.258	.303	.404	-.187	.242	.289	.383	.231	-1.2	81-C 3	1.4
60^o	328	28	18	1	7	38	17	51	1	1	-1.3	.246	.289	.380	-.250	.231	.275	.360	.217	-5.9	79-C 2	0.9
50^o	323	26	17	1	6	36	16	51	1	1	-1.2	.239	.281	.366	-.286	.224	.267	.347	.209	-8.5	78-C 2	0.6
40^o	319	24	16	1	6	35	15	51	1	1	-1.2	.233	.274	.355	-.315	.219	.260	.336	.202	-10.5	77-C 2	0.4
25^o	305	19	14	1	5	30	13	51	1	1	-1.1	.215	.251	.318	-.410	.202	.239	.301	.178	-16.7	74-C 1	-0.4
10^o	282	13	12	0	3	24	10	50	1	1	-0.9	.192	.222	.271	-.533	.180	.211	.257	.138	-23.4	69-C 0	-1.3
Weighted Mean	333	27	17	1	7	37	16	53	1	1	-1.2	.237	.278	.362	-.220	.222	.265	.343	.206	-7.5	80-C 3	0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
33%	52%	30%	22%	1.12

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 27)	333	27	17	1	7	37	16	53	1	1	-1.2	.237	.278	.362	-.220	.222	.265	.343	.206	-7.5	80-C 3	0.7
2010 (age 28)	315	24	17	1	6	36	15	50	1	1	-0.9	.236	.276	.360	-.318	.218	.259	.336	.204	-7.4	76-C 3	0.6
2011 (age 29)	268	19	13	1	5	31	13	42	1	1	-0.7	.236	.277	.355	-.322	.218	.260	.332	.202	-6.5	66-C 3	0.5
2012 (age 30)	297	23	14	1	6	34	14	46	1	1	-0.6	.233	.275	.358	-.324	.215	.258	.335	.202	-5.6	72-C 3	0.5
2013 (age 31)	265	19	13	0	5	31	13	39	1	0	-0.5	.238	.280	.353	-.320	.220	.262	.329	.203	-4.7	65-C 3	0.3
2014 (age 32)	255	18	13	0	5	29	13	38	1	0	-0.4	.236	.277	.353	-.324	.218	.260	.330	.202	-4.0	63-C 3	0.3
2015 (age 33)	220	15	10	0	4	25	12	32	0	0	-0.3	.240	.286	.358	-.300	.222	.268	.334	.207	-2.6	55-C 3	0.3

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.253	.298	.389
vs RHP	.232	.271	.348
Split	+.020	+.027	+.041
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-9.4	3.0	0.7	$500,000	-6.2	0.9
2010	-9.5	3.0	0.6	$425,000	-6.1	2.2
2011	-8.4	3.0	0.5	$500,000	-5.0	2.3
2012	-9.4	3.0	0.5	$750,000	-3.7	2.1
2013	-8.1	3.0	0.3	$600,000	-3.7	0.9
2014	-8.0	3.0	0.3	$700,000	-3.2	1.2
2015	-5.9	3.0	0.3	$975,000	-1.4	1.1
Peak			3.0	$2,400,000	0.0	9.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.231	.209	.178	.206
2010	.233	.203	.175	.204
2011	.228	.200	.174	.202
2012	.238	.204	.139	.202
2013	.232	.213	.183	.203
2014	.233	.200	.135	.202
2015	.227	.206	.188	.207

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	22%	0%	33%
2010	43%	17%	31%
2011	45%	22%	23%
2012	57%	33%	23%
2013	63%	43%	19%
2014	68%	47%	17%
2015	76%	55%	17%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

57

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Eddie Perez	1995	64		11	Izzy Molina	1998	43
2	Yamid Haad	2005	56		12	Raul Chavez	2000	43
3	Humberto Quintero	2006	52		13	Omir Santos	2008	42
4	Gabby Torres	2005	49		14	Javier Cardona	2003	40
5	Guillermo Rodriguez	2005	48		15	Bo Diaz	1980	40
6	Carlos Ruiz	2006	47		16	Gary Bennett	1999	39
7	Carlos Mendez	2001	46		17	Wiki Gonzalez	2001	39
8	Robert Machado	2000	45		18	Juan Brito	2007	38
9	Ray Serrano	2008	44		19	Geronimo Gil	2002	38
10	John Marzano	1990	43		20	Wil Nieves	2005	38

Player Comments

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Catch-and-throw backup catching prospect Edwin Bellorin strained a hamstring in his MLB debut last year and immediately went on the DL.

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