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Henry Blanco
San Diego Padres [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 37
5' 11"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Padres Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Henry Blanco 55 125 .211 12 3 10 0 .281 .326 -1.5
1   2009 Total 55 125 .211 12 3 10 0 .281 .326 -1.5

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 CHN MLB 261 23 15 2 6 37 14 38 0 0 -1.5 .266 .304 .419 -.117 .260 .301 .409 .245 1.4 59-C 8 5-1B 1 1.7
2007 PEO A 24 3 1 0 1 5 3 3 0 0 0.1 .316 .417 .526 -.577 .143 .208 .238 .131 -3.1 5-C -1 -0.3
2007 IOW AAA 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0.0 .200 .200 .200 -.623 .200 .200 .200 .079 -1.4 -0.2
2007 CHN MLB 58 3 3 0 0 4 2 12 0 0 0.0 .167 .193 .222 -.619 .167 .193 .222 .123 -6.2 12-C 1 -0.5
2008 CHN MLB 128 15 3 0 3 12 6 22 0 0 -0.1 .292 .325 .392 -.096 .289 .323 .380 .244 3.2 29-C 4 0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:59 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 119 12 5 0 3 11 8 21 0 0 -0.5 .268 .320 .390 -.030 .280 .329 .426 .258 3.9 32-C 1 0.9
75o 116 11 5 0 2 11 8 20 0 0 -0.5 .256 .307 .367 -.097 .267 .316 .401 .246 1.9 32-C 1 0.7
60o 112 9 4 0 2 10 7 20 0 0 -0.4 .241 .291 .338 -.180 .251 .299 .369 .230 -0.3 31-C 1 0.5
50o 110 8 4 0 2 10 7 20 0 0 -0.4 .234 .284 .326 -.216 .244 .292 .356 .223 -1.2 30-C 1 0.4
40o 108 8 4 0 1 10 7 20 0 0 -0.4 .226 .275 .310 -.260 .236 .283 .339 .214 -2.3 30-C 1 0.3
25o 103 6 3 0 1 9 6 19 0 0 -0.4 .210 .258 .281 -.345 .220 .265 .306 .195 -4.2 29-C 2 0.2
10o 79 2 1 0 0 5 4 16 1 0 -0.2 .155 .197 .175 -.642 .162 .202 .191 .094 -8.7 23-C 2 -0.3
Weighted Mean 109 8 4 0 2 10 7 20 0 0 -0.4 .231 .281 .321 -.274 .242 .289 .350 .218 -0.6 30-C 1 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

33%

48%

25%

34%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 37) 109 8 4 0 2 10 7 20 0 0 -0.4 .231 .281 .321 -.274 .242 .289 .350 .218 -0.6 30-C 1 0.4
2010 (age 38) 52 3 2 0 1 5 3 10 0 0 -0.1 .217 .270 .307 -.294 .224 .274 .330 .210 -0.9 17-C 1 0.1
2011 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .247 .302 .350
vs RHP .227 .273 .308
Split +.020 +.029 +.042
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -1.8 1.0 0.4 $750,000 0.0 1.1
2010 -1.3 1.0 0.1 $500,000 -0.8 0.8
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.7 $625,000 0.9 3.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .246 .223 .195 .218
2010 .246 .223 .170 .210
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 34% 0% 33%
2010 85% 42% 16%
2011 97% 78% 11%
2012 94% 88% 6%
2013 94% 93% 6%
2014 100% 97% 3%
2015 100% 100% 1%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

23

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Sandy Alomar 2004 45 11 John Flaherty 2005 35
2 Charlie O'Brien 1999 44 12 Bob Boone 1985 33
3 Clyde McCullough 1955 42 13 Jamie Quirk 1992 29
4 Pat Borders 2001 40 14 Brian Jordan 2005 28
5 Steve Yeager 1986 37 15 Hubie Brooks 1994 28
6 Bob Scheffing 1951 37 16 Damian Miller 2007 28
7 Kelly Stinnett 2007 36 17 Ron Hassey 1990 27
8 Ray Mueller 1950 36 18 Joel Youngblood 1989 26
9 Joe Girardi 2002 35 19 Tom Lampkin 2002 26
10 Tom Prince 2002 35 20 Jim Hegan 1958 26

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

One of the prouder representatives of backuptis catcherus, Blanco missed most of last season due to a herniated disc. In an odd way, not having the security blanket of Blanco's arm off the bench might have forced the Cubs to look at Michael Barrett's defense in a harsher light, thus leading to Barrett's being run out of town. Blanco is under contract for $2.8 million this season, but now that the equally strong-armed Soto is the regular the Cubs might be better off finding a backup catcher with a little more life in his bat.

2007

It used to be that Blanco was an outstanding defensive catcher who couldn`t hit, in part because he never singled. He can still do the outstanding catcher thing, but a few more base hits last year made him into something of gray hole offensively, rather than a black one. Keep in mind his age and track record--when backup catchers get this old, they start falling and can`t get back up.

2006

Blanco makes a nice catch-and-throw backup for a more offensive-minded starting catcher. While the Cubs overpaid for the privilege (he`ll make $1.5 million in `06), he did play about as well as advertised, throwing out almost half of attempted base thieves. Offensively, he fits right in as a member of one of the most punchless benches in baseball.

2005

The Twins like to congratulate themselves on a lot of things, but taking pride in having signed Blanco a year ago should not have been one of the things to boast about. Offensively, he's a zero, below even the Matheny Line of usefulness. He's a great defensive replacement, and if your starting catcher was a Piazza or a LeCroy, someone you don't want to catch every inning, he'd be handy. In Chicago, Cubs fans can hope he gets dusty on the bench.

2003

If this doesn’t prove that Greg Maddux is beyond help in controlling the running game, nothing does. Blanco is one of the two or three best-throwing catchers in the game (which is kind of obvious from his offensive numbers). The Braves acquired Blanco and made him Maddux’s personal catcher, but Maddux still allowed 24 stolen bases in 28 attempts; only two National League pitchers allowed more steals. The Braves traded Kevin Millwood for (gulp) Johnny Estrada, another catcher, so Blanco’s days may be numbered.

2002

A respectable backup catcher employed beyond his ability. Now, there’s nothing wrong with respectability; after all, Shannon Tweed has had an acting career that employed the full range of her talents. The difference between Tweed and Blanco is that nobody put Tweed in a role she wasn’t capable of filling, while the Brewers keep trying to talk themselves into believing that Blanco is the new Jim Sundberg.

2001

It took the Sal Bando regime four years to realize that the similarly-skilled Mike Matheny simply wasn’t worth it. Taylor’s crew is completely enamored of Henry Blanco; how long do you think it will take them to learn? The answer, if the Brewers improve at all, could be never, because Blanco’s ability to shut down the running game will be cited as a major factor in the club’s improvement. Just look at what happened to Matheny in St. Louis: during the playoffs, his teammates told anyone who would listen that Matheny was their MVP. Edgar Renteria, Darryl Kile, and Jim Edmonds must have brutal intangibles.

2000

Blanco is your basic defensive substitute. He doesn’t do anything with the bat, but he’s a reliable backstop without any defensive weaknesses. Of course, if you have this guy and Manwaring as your catchers, you have a situation that’s easy to improve. He’s been traded to Milwaukee, where he’ll fight Bobby Hughes for playing time.

1996

He must be responsible for half of the season ticket sales in San Antonio, because he's a hack. Keep in mind that he's held the third base job in AA for three straight years despite being awful, and the Dodgers haven't been able to come up with anything better than Henry Blanco to play in San Antonio for three years. That's a problem, because the Dodgers have needed and will need a third baseman.


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