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Raul Casanova
Tampa Bay Rays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 35
6'
235 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Mets Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Raul Casanova 5 31 .252 2 0 4 0 .313 .404 0.9
1   2008 Total 5 31 .252 2 0 4 0 .313 .404 0.9

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CHR 3A 255 25 13 0 13 42 20 29 0 0 -0.7 .266 .325 .489 .067 .256 .316 .453 .261 9.4 59-C -1 2.2
2005 CHA MJ 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.0 .200 .200 .200 -.589 .200 .200 .200 .074 -0.5 0.0
2006 STO 1C 8 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 -0.1 .429 .500 .429 .455 .286 .375 .286 .246 0.0 0.1
2006 MID 2A 11 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 .182 .182 .273 -.545 .182 .182 .364 .173 -1.0 0.0
2006 SAC 3A 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 .250 .250 .250 -.370 .250 .250 .250 .157 -1.4 0.1
2007 DUR 3A 153 14 9 0 5 21 12 32 0 0 -1.4 .291 .346 .461 .105 .268 .325 .444 .261 6.4 37-C -4 0.9
2007 TBA MJ 89 12 1 1 6 11 7 17 0 0 -0.3 .253 .315 .519 .082 .256 .326 .577 .295 5.2 19-C -2 0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:52 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 248 28 11 1 9 35 20 49 0 0 -1.0 .272 .332 .449 .022 .275 .337 .472 .279 12.1 61-C -6 2.0
75o 232 23 10 0 7 31 17 48 0 0 -0.9 .256 .314 .411 -.070 .259 .319 .432 .262 6.0 58-C -5 1.4
60o 223 20 9 0 6 28 16 47 0 0 -0.9 .247 .304 .389 -.123 .250 .308 .409 .251 2.9 56-C -5 1.1
50o 216 18 9 0 6 27 15 46 0 0 -0.8 .240 .297 .374 -.158 .244 .301 .393 .243 0.9 54-C -5 1.0
40o 207 16 8 0 5 24 14 45 0 0 -0.8 .232 .287 .355 -.207 .235 .291 .372 .233 -1.6 52-C -5 0.7
25o 192 12 7 0 4 21 12 43 0 0 -0.7 .219 .272 .324 -.280 .222 .276 .341 .216 -5.0 49-C -4 0.4
10o 156 7 5 0 2 14 9 37 0 0 -0.5 .193 .241 .262 -.430 .196 .245 .276 .174 -9.8 41-C -4 -0.2
Weighted Mean 213 18 8 0 6 26 15 45 0 0 -0.8 .242 .298 .378 -.151 .245 .303 .397 .244 1.3 54-C -5 1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

9%

25%

49%

45%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 35) 213 18 8 0 6 26 15 45 0 0 -0.8 .242 .298 .378 -.151 .245 .303 .397 .244 1.3 54-C -5 1.4
2009 (age 36) 138 10 6 0 4 17 10 27 0 0 -0.4 .242 .301 .381 -.141 .249 .311 .408 .246 0.9 37-C -3 0.7
2010 (age 37) 141 8 5 0 3 15 11 29 0 0 -0.3 .219 .283 .323 -.263 .225 .292 .346 .220 -1.4 37-C -5 0.2
2011 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .240 .294 .360
vs RHP .242 .300 .388
Split -.003 -.005 -.028
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 1.0 1.4 $1,500,000 -1.4 2.2
2009 0.2 0.5 0.7 $825,000 -0.2 1.6
2010 0.0 0.2 0.2 $475,000 -2.6 0.0
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -0.6 0.0
2012 0.0 0.0 0.1 $475,000 0.2 0.3
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 0.0 0.0
Peak 2.4 $1,550,000 0.2 4.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .262 .243 .216 .244
2009 .256 .232 .176 .246
2010 .237 .220 .185 .220
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 45% 0% 9%
2009 70% 36% 8%
2010 85% 60% 0%
2011 99% 83% 0%
2012 99% 96% 2%
2013 99% 97% 2%
2014 100% 97% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

33

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Mandy Romero 1992 40 11 Sal Fasano 2003 33
2 Alan Ashby 1979 36 12 Harry Bright 1971 33
3 Jerry McNertney 1981 36 13 Greg Myers 1982 33
4 Walt Dropo 1970 36 14 Mike Heath 1960 33
5 Randy Knorr 1973 35 15 Lance Parrish 2007 32
6 Joe Oliver 1992 35 16 Terry Steinbach 1975 32
7 Mark Parent 1975 34 17 Ron Hassey 1969 32
8 Greg Colbrunn 1975 34 18 Dave Hollins 2000 31
9 Ernie Whitt 1957 34 19 Phil Roof 1979 30
10 Bill Haselman 1998 33 20 Jeff Reed 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2003

Once upon a time, Casanova was a touted prospect for his bat. As is distressingly common with catchers, it never happened. The Orioles claimed him off of waivers last September to give them catching depth down the stretch. “Having depth” doesn’t automatically mean using it, though, as he just sat at the end of the bench every day. He’ll be a waiver-wire pickup again in 2003.

2002

Just when it began to look like Davey Lopes was getting a clue, in that Lopes recognized that his lineup was better off with Casanova than with Henry Blanco, a knee injury ended Casanova’s season in mid-August. Casanova had some good times in Miller Park that might heighten people’s expectations, but he is better off as a solid caddy.

2001

It gives little comfort to know that if and when Henry Blanco slumps his way back to the bench, his at-bats will go to Raul Casanova. What Casanova did last year is about all that can be expected from him. He hits a lot of ground balls and isn’t a very good defensive catcher; he switch-hits, so he’ll likely stick around.

2000

Essentially finished as a prospect, Casanova best serves as a reminder of how pointless Randy Smith’s obsession with his former team’s players was. Free to go as a minor-league free agent, Casanova has to hope somebody remembers his big 1994 and gives him a shot.

1999

He’s got one season on his resume that suggests he can hit, and that was in A-ball four years ago. Fair defense, and one of the few switch-hitting catchers in the game today, but the Tigers have lost patience with him. He isn’t out of chances yet, but they’re punching “Hell’s Bells” into the sound system as we speak.

1998

A stocky catcher entering his make-or-break year. Casanova has the potential to hit for a lot more power than he’s demonstrated in the majors thus far. No huge platoon split. A team could certainly do a lot worse at catcher. Raul may not develop, but he definitely could break out and become a star, combining good defense with above average hitting. He’s got the next 1000 plate appearances to do it.

1997

Casanova achieved prospect status with a monster 1994 season, but his numbers were inflated some by playing in the hitter-happy California League. Still, switch-hitting catchers with power are roughly as common as family fare on Fox, and the Tigers did well to get him in the Nieves deal. Threw out only 22% of basestealers last year. His Vlad is probably a bit optimistic, but the Tigers would be fools not to give him 400 at bats to find out.

1996

We've got six years of data. Five say he's not a real prospect, one says he's at least a minor one. That 1994 was good, but when a 21-year-old four-year pro has a big year in A ball, some skepticism is called for. Good defensive reputation. Traded to Detroit, where he'll have a clearer shot at a major league job.


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