Wilkin Castillo

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Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	LNC	A+	218	25	10	1	3	19	13	24	9	2	-1.5	.285	.329	.390	-.423	.200	.235	.298	.185	-18.6	33-C 0	-1.2
2006	TEN	AA	88	7	3	0	0	5	6	10	1	0	-1.2	.250	.314	.289	-.409	.218	.267	.256	.191	-7.3	21-C 1	-0.2
2006	TUC	AAA	22	3	1	0	1	4	0	8	1	0	0.2	.238	.273	.429	-.155	.238	.273	.429	.246	-0.2	5-C 1	0.2
2007	MOB	AA	449	50	31	3	6	46	17	62	18	14	-4.4	.302	.333	.437	-.163	.262	.287	.392	.233	-5.8	68-C 4 19-2B -2	0.9
2008	TUC	AAA	425	40	18	2	6	47	24	54	4	1	3.5	.254	.305	.358	-.378	.211	.258	.295	.193	-30.0	47-C 2 37-3B -5	-2.6
2008	LOU	AAA	43	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	1	2	-0.3	.190	.209	.190	-.705	.167	.186	.167	.000	-7.3	6-3B -2	-0.9
2008	CIN	MLB	34	6	1	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0.5	.281	.303	.313	-.232	.281	.303	.312	.216	-0.8	4-LF 0	0.0

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:26 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	512	56	29	2	8	48	26	74	9	5	1.0	.267	.308	.388	-.132	.266	.306	.388	.240	2.2	121-C -4	1.4
75^o	492	49	26	2	7	44	24	72	8	4	0.9	.255	.295	.366	-.192	.254	.293	.367	.228	-4.7	116-C -5	0.7
60^o	473	43	24	2	6	41	23	71	8	4	0.8	.245	.285	.348	-.243	.244	.282	.348	.218	-10.1	112-C -5	0.0
50^o	452	38	21	1	5	38	21	69	7	4	0.8	.234	.273	.328	-.297	.233	.271	.329	.206	-15.4	107-C -6	-0.6
40^o	433	33	19	1	4	35	19	67	7	4	0.7	.224	.262	.311	-.345	.223	.261	.311	.195	-19.5	103-C -6	-1.1
25^o	403	27	17	1	3	31	17	64	6	3	0.6	.210	.248	.286	-.413	.210	.246	.287	.178	-24.5	96-C -7	-1.7
10^o	373	22	14	1	2	28	15	60	6	3	0.6	.198	.235	.265	-.471	.198	.233	.265	.161	-27.8	90-C -7	-2.2
Weighted Mean	474	41	23	2	5	40	22	72	8	4	0.8	.234	.273	.329	-.274	.234	.271	.330	.206	-12.2	112-C -5	-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
44%	57%	27%	13%	0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 25)	474	41	23	2	5	40	22	72	8	4	0.8	.234	.273	.329	-.274	.234	.271	.330	.206	-12.2	112-C -5	-0.3
2010 (age 26)	447	37	20	2	5	37	21	67	6	4	0.7	.232	.274	.327	-.313	.228	.268	.323	.205	-12.3	106-C -5	-0.3
2011 (age 27)	396	29	18	1	4	32	19	60	6	3	0.6	.225	.267	.313	-.349	.221	.261	.309	.196	-12.4	95-C -4	-0.3
2012 (age 28)	398	31	18	1	4	33	19	62	6	3	0.5	.231	.274	.321	-.321	.227	.268	.318	.203	-8.6	95-C -5	0.0
2013 (age 29)	409	33	17	2	6	35	20	62	6	3	0.5	.231	.274	.330	-.310	.227	.268	.326	.205	-7.2	97-C -7	-0.2
2014 (age 30)	392	31	16	1	5	34	21	55	6	3	0.4	.228	.277	.319	-.321	.224	.271	.315	.204	-5.5	94-C -8	0.0
2015 (age 31)	352	28	15	1	4	31	19	47	4	2	0.4	.241	.289	.328	-.280	.237	.282	.324	.212	-3.4	85-C -6	0.1

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.225	.264	.311
vs RHP	.237	.277	.339
Split	-.012	-.013	-.027
LgAvg	+.004	-.004	+.007

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-19.8	-5.0	-0.3	$400,000	-13.7	0.1
2010	-19.3	-5.0	-0.3	$400,000	-13.7	0.4
2011	-20.1	-4.0	-0.3	$400,000	-11.9	0.8
2012	-17.5	-5.0	0.0	$400,000	-8.0	1.4
2013	-17.5	-7.0	-0.2	$400,000	-8.1	0.3
2014	-17.1	-8.0	0.0	$400,000	-5.4	0.2
2015	-12.7	-6.0	0.1	$550,000	-2.8	1.2
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	3.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.228	.206	.178	.206
2010	.230	.205	.183	.205
2011	.224	.199	.163	.196
2012	.233	.208	.175	.203
2013	.240	.208	.183	.205
2014	.238	.209	.164	.204
2015	.233	.211	.202	.212

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	13%	0%	44%
2010	25%	11%	37%
2011	41%	24%	30%
2012	48%	35%	29%
2013	56%	46%	26%
2014	69%	56%	22%
2015	70%	59%	21%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

59

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Javier Guzman	2007	53		11	Luis Ordaz	2000	41
2	Cris Colon	1994	48		12	Fred Manrique	1986	41
3	Jose Uribe	1984	46		13	Neifi Perez	1998	41
4	Felix Molina	2008	46		14	Jose Vizcaino	1993	41
5	Cheo Garcia	1993	45		15	Pedro Chavez	1987	40
6	Rene Reyes	2003	44		16	Barbaro Garbey	1982	40
7	Hector Roa	1994	44		17	Juan Munoz	1999	40
8	Angel Chavez	2006	43		18	Alfredo Griffin	1982	40
9	Juan Melo	2001	42		19	Jesus Mendez	1989	39
10	Tomas Perez	1999	42		20	Simon Rosario	1982	39

Player Comments

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2008

The Snakes are grooming Wilkin Castillo to be something like the newer, better version of Eli Marrero or Robby Hammock; he catches most of the time, but can also play second, third, and short.