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Alvin Colina
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 27
6' 3"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TUL AA 354 45 14 1 12 46 23 77 3 2 -1.5 .254 .314 .415 -.358 .199 .246 .332 .197 -24.6 84-C 2 -0.6
2007 CSP AAA 296 22 19 0 5 35 17 69 0 0 -2.6 .195 .243 .320 -.562 .153 .203 .255 .147 -36.9 71-C 0 -2.1
2008 LOU AAA 254 25 8 2 8 54 17 68 2 1 -1.7 .256 .315 .414 -.239 .222 .280 .365 .225 -8.4 52-C -5 -0.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:40 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 304 27 14 1 9 35 22 80 1 1 -1.3 .231 .295 .379 -.173 .231 .294 .391 .236 -0.3 74-C 0 1.2
75o 297 24 12 1 8 32 21 80 1 1 -1.2 .218 .280 .353 -.244 .218 .279 .365 .221 -5.2 72-C -1 0.7
60o 291 21 11 1 7 31 20 80 1 1 -1.2 .207 .268 .333 -.301 .207 .266 .343 .208 -9.0 71-C -1 0.2
50o 284 19 10 1 6 29 18 80 1 1 -1.1 .195 .254 .310 -.362 .195 .253 .320 .194 -12.8 70-C -1 -0.2
40o 279 17 10 1 5 27 17 80 1 1 -1.1 .187 .244 .294 -.408 .187 .243 .303 .182 -15.5 68-C -1 -0.5
25o 274 15 9 1 5 26 17 79 1 0 -1.0 .179 .235 .279 -.447 .179 .234 .288 .171 -17.8 67-C -1 -0.8
10o 255 11 7 1 4 21 14 78 1 0 -0.9 .157 .209 .236 -.565 .157 .208 .244 .131 -23.6 63-C -2 -1.5
Weighted Mean 287 19 10 1 6 29 18 81 1 1 -1.1 .194 .253 .309 -.360 .194 .252 .318 .191 -11.6 70-C -1 0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

37%

48%

37%

22%

1.22

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 27) 287 19 10 1 6 29 18 81 1 1 -1.1 .194 .253 .309 -.360 .194 .252 .318 .191 -11.6 70-C -1 0.0
2010 (age 28) 253 15 10 0 6 25 15 71 1 0 -0.7 .188 .244 .305 -.405 .186 .240 .311 .185 -10.7 63-C -1 0.0
2011 (age 29) 253 18 9 1 6 28 17 69 1 1 -0.6 .205 .265 .332 -.324 .202 .260 .338 .205 -5.3 63-C 0 0.2
2012 (age 30) 245 16 8 0 7 26 15 68 1 0 -0.4 .190 .249 .321 -.375 .188 .244 .327 .192 -5.3 61-C 0 0.2
2013 (age 31) 206 13 7 0 5 23 14 53 1 0 -0.3 .194 .257 .318 -.362 .192 .252 .323 .197 -3.1 52-C -1 0.0
2014 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .209 .271 .336
vs RHP .191 .247 .297
Split +.018 +.024 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -12.5 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -12.9 0.1
2010 -12.4 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -11.5 0.6
2011 -8.1 0.0 0.2 $400,000 -5.4 1.0
2012 -10.6 0.0 0.2 $400,000 -4.9 0.7
2013 -8.1 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -3.6 0.2
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.5 $400,000 0.0 2.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .221 .194 .171 .191
2010 .215 .193 .148 .185
2011 .225 .213 .182 .205
2012 .228 .196 .154 .192
2013 .231 .194 .168 .197
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 22% 0% 37%
2010 45% 22% 22%
2011 55% 34% 33%
2012 70% 49% 24%
2013 82% 64% 17%
2014 83% 69% 19%
2015 91% 79% 16%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Bruce Bochy 1982 70 11 Luis Pujols 1983 50
2 Gilberto Reyes 1991 66 12 Dane Sardinha 2006 49
3 Adan Amezcua 2001 65 13 Omir Santos 2008 49
4 Yamid Haad 2005 58 14 Tony Kounas 1995 48
5 Henry Mercedes 1997 55 15 Alan Probst 1998 48
6 Jonathan Aceves 2005 55 16 Eli Whiteside 2007 48
7 Robert Machado 2000 54 17 Brad Cresse 2006 47
8 Juan Espino 1983 53 18 Jim Horner 2001 47
9 Guillermo Rodriguez 2005 53 19 Sandy Martinez 2000 47
10 Vic Valencia 2004 52 20 Jorge Pedre 1994 46

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