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Joey Devine
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 24
6' 1"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Athletics Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
Pos Name IP GS ERA WHIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP
Long Joey Devine 40 0 3.90 1.46 35 22 3 37 2 2 2 7.4

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 MYR 1C 0 0 1 4 0 5.0 0 3 7 0 43% .000 6 0.60 0.00 2.15 1.93 0.0 7.7 7.7 0.0 1.9 0.2
2005 MIS 2A 1 1 5 18 0 20.0 19 12 28 2 46% .370 -11 1.55 2.70 8.85 8.50 11.0 6.5 8.5 1.5 -5.8 -0.5
2005 ATL MJ 0 1 0 5 0 5.0 6 5 3 2 39% .250 -54 2.20 12.60 12.81 13.50 10.1 6.8 5.1 3.4 -4.0 -0.3 -0.5
2006 MYR 1C 1 3 0 13 2 18.1 13 11 28 1 31% .343 2 1.33 5.97 5.90 8.27 8.8 7.2 9.9 1.1 -4.8 -0.4
2006 MIS 2A 2 0 0 6 0 11.1 2 4 20 1 31% .100 24 0.54 0.81 2.77 1.80 2.7 3.6 9.9 1.8 4.2 0.8
2006 ATL MJ 0 0 0 10 0 6.3 8 9 10 1 13% .467 -10 2.68 10.00 12.71 11.37 12.8 11.4 12.8 1.4 -2.7 -0.4 -0.2
2007 MIS 2A 2 4 16 33 0 35.0 26 13 51 1 51% .352 19 1.11 2.06 4.32 3.38 8.4 3.9 9.3 0.6 7.9 2.5
2007 RIC 3A 3 0 4 17 0 22.0 15 6 27 1 55% .269 15 0.95 1.64 3.10 2.86 6.5 2.9 7.8 0.8 6.7 1.3
2007 ATL MJ 1 0 0 10 0 8.3 7 8 7 0 58% .318 3 1.80 1.08 4.12 1.08 7.6 7.6 7.6 0.0 4.4 0.2 0.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 8:27 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 3 5 56 5 70.3 51 36 70 4 46% .257 19 1.23 2.33 2.87 2.39 6.3 4.1 8.4 0.5 26.4 2.7 3.5
75o 4 3 4 55 4 65.7 51 35 65 4 46% .271 15 1.31 2.91 3.34 2.99 6.9 4.3 8.3 0.6 19.8 2.0 2.8
60o 3 3 3 52 4 59.0 52 34 56 5 46% .290 10 1.45 3.81 4.08 3.92 7.8 4.6 8.0 0.8 11.0 1.1 1.8
50o 3 3 3 52 3 57.7 52 33 54 5 46% .295 8 1.48 4.03 4.26 4.14 7.9 4.6 7.9 0.8 9.1 1.0 1.6
40o 3 3 3 51 3 55.7 52 33 52 5 46% .301 6 1.52 4.32 4.49 4.44 8.2 4.7 7.9 0.8 6.8 0.7 1.3
25o 2 3 2 48 3 50.7 51 31 46 5 47% .314 2 1.62 5.02 5.07 5.15 8.9 4.9 7.7 0.9 1.7 0.2 0.7
10o 2 3 1 45 2 44.0 50 29 39 5 47% .333 -4 1.77 6.06 5.94 6.22 9.9 5.3 7.4 1.1 -4.3 -0.3 0.1
Weighted Mean 3 3 3 49 3 54.3 48 31 51 5 46% .292 9 1.46 3.90 4.14 4.01 7.8 4.6 8.0 0.8 10.1 1.0 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

54%

22%

10%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 24) 3 3 3 49 3 54.3 48 31 51 5 46% .292 9 1.46 3.90 4.14 4.01 7.8 4.6 8.0 0.8 10.1 1.0 1.7
2009 (age 25) 3 3 4 49 3 54.3 47 28 54 4 47% .289 12 1.37 3.63 3.71 3.76 7.5 4.2 8.4 0.7 10.8 1.2 1.8
2010 (age 26) 3 4 5 53 3 64.7 29 23 68 0 45% .189 27 0.80 3.37 0.55 3.87 3.9 2.9 8.9 0.0 10.6 1.3 1.8
2011 (age 27) 3 3 3 47 3 51.7 46 25 46 4 47% .291 8 1.38 3.71 3.88 3.83 7.9 3.9 7.5 0.7 9.6 1.0 1.6
2012 (age 28) 3 3 3 44 3 48.7 42 25 43 4 46% .279 6 1.37 3.62 3.76 3.74 7.6 4.1 7.4 0.7 9.0 1.0 1.4
2013 (age 29) 2 2 3 42 2 42.3 40 22 37 4 46% .297 4 1.46 3.88 4.28 3.97 8.3 4.2 7.3 0.8 6.2 0.7 1.0
2014 (age 30) 2 2 3 42 1 41.3 39 19 35 4 46% .294 4 1.41 3.99 4.14 4.10 8.4 3.8 7.2 0.8 6.0 0.7 1.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .247 .382 .370
vs RHB .215 .319 .313
Split +.031 +.063 +.057
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 1.7 $3,475,000 10.7 10.2
2009 1.8 $3,875,000 11.3 10.8
2010 1.8 $4,250,000 11.2 9.0
2011 1.6 $3,925,000 10.1 9.4
2012 1.4 $3,850,000 9.4 8.3
2013 1.0 $2,825,000 6.5 4.7
2014 1.0 $3,025,000 6.4 3.5
Peak 9.4 $16,650,000 52.8 52.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 2.99 4.14 5.15 4.01
2009 3.13 3.86 5.01 3.76
2010 3.16 4.04 4.92 3.87
2011 3.17 4.33 5.46 3.83
2012 3.01 4.02 4.97 3.74
2013 3.25 4.42 5.56 3.97
2014 3.40 4.07 5.09 4.10


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 30%
2009 23% 9% 33%
2010 27% 11% 26%
2011 36% 17% 27%
2012 36% 21% 29%
2013 49% 31% 23%
2014 49% 38% 16%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

44

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Chris Ray 2006 46 11 Rich Gossage 1976 36
2 Taylor Tankersley 2007 43 12 Chuck McElroy 1992 32
3 Lance McCullers 1988 43 13 Mac Scarce 1974 31
4 Logan Kensing 2007 42 14 Duane Ward 1989 31
5 Scott Garrelts 1986 41 15 Mark Wohlers 1994 29
6 Marc Kroon 1998 39 16 Lee Smith 1982 29
7 Francisco Cordero 2000 39 17 Gregg Olson 1991 29
8 Neil Allen 1982 39 18 Danys Baez 2002 28
9 Chad Harville 2001 39 19 Paul Estrada 2007 28
10 Turk Farrell 1959 37 20 Stan Belinda 1991 28

Player Comments

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2007

The top relief prospect in the organization, Devine nearly made the Braves out of spring training last year. Recalled soon after the season started, he struggled mightily, and it was soon revealed that he was suffering from a degenerative disc in his back. Extensive rest and rehab followed as the Braves changed his pitching motion to cause less strain on his back. A rehab stint at Double-A Mississippi went quite well, and when Devine finally rejoined the big club in September he pitched 5.1 scoreless innings over eight outings, allowing three hits, walking four, and striking out eight. A subsequent AFL stint was less inspiring. He still has the plus fastball and slider that made him a first-round pick, but, still just 22 years old, he`d benefit from some time in Richmond before the Braves use him to rescue the inevitable Bob Wickman meltdown.

2006

The selection of Devine, a reliever from North Carolina State, marked the first time the Braves tapped a college pitcher in the 1st round since 1987. With a thin bullpen, the Braves fast-tracked him to Atlanta, promoting him after just 25 innings. Devine quickly made history by allowing grand slams in his first two major league appearances. After an injury to Boyer cleared a spot on the postseason roster, he nearly surrendered another in the Division Series opener, and then allowed the fateful Chris Burke homer that sent the Braves to their long winter`s rest. Such half-baked desperation by the front office did Devine no favors; the intent may have been Huston Street, but the execution was more David Clyde. He`ll get a shot at making the Braves this spring, but a bit of seasoning in Triple-A wouldn`t hurt.


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