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Robinzon Diaz
Pittsburgh Pirates [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
5' 11"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Pirates Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 6 Robinzon Diaz 5 11 .254 1 0 1 0 .282 .333 -0.2
1   2009 Total 5 11 .254 1 0 1 0 .282 .333 -0.2

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 DUN A+ 447 59 21 1 3 44 20 37 8 1 -2.7 .306 .341 .383 -.273 .252 .283 .322 .211 -20.4 88-C -3 9-3B -2 -1.1
2007 NHP AA 319 33 17 1 3 30 11 16 5 0 0.0 .316 .344 .409 -.188 .272 .296 .357 .229 -6.3 49-C -5 8-3B -1 -0.6
2007 SYR AAA 69 4 3 0 1 10 1 6 0 0 0.1 .338 .358 .431 -.085 .303 .324 .379 .244 0.6 16-C 0 0.2
2008 BLJ Rk 50 9 3 0 2 10 2 4 0 0 0.4 .386 .420 .591 -.409 .213 .224 .319 .174 -10.0 5-C -1 -0.8
2008 DUN A+ 25 3 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0.4 .320 .320 .480 .067 .320 .320 .480 .269 1.4 5-C 0 0.1
2008 SYR AAA 141 7 7 1 1 13 5 10 0 1 -0.5 .244 .266 .336 -.380 .220 .243 .311 .189 -10.6 21-C 4 -0.2
2008 IND AAA 14 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 2 0.0 .357 .357 .500 .498 .429 .429 .571 .282 2.6 0.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:30 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 421 48 20 2 6 42 17 36 3 2 -1.0 .286 .318 .387 -.081 .285 .317 .400 .248 7.4 100-C -3 2.0
75o 393 38 18 1 4 37 15 36 2 1 -0.9 .266 .298 .354 -.178 .265 .297 .366 .228 -1.9 94-C -3 1.0
60o 373 32 16 1 3 33 14 35 2 1 -0.8 .253 .283 .330 -.246 .252 .283 .342 .214 -7.8 89-C -3 0.3
50o 358 28 15 1 3 30 13 35 2 1 -0.8 .244 .274 .315 -.290 .243 .274 .326 .204 -11.1 86-C -3 0.0
40o 344 24 14 1 2 28 12 35 2 1 -0.7 .235 .265 .300 -.333 .234 .264 .311 .193 -14.2 83-C -3 -0.4
25o 316 19 12 1 1 23 11 34 2 1 -0.6 .220 .249 .275 -.406 .219 .249 .284 .174 -18.4 77-C -4 -1.0
10o 281 14 10 0 0 18 9 32 1 1 -0.5 .204 .231 .247 -.487 .203 .231 .255 .149 -21.6 69-C -4 -1.5
Weighted Mean 347 27 14 1 3 30 13 34 2 1 -0.8 .246 .276 .318 -.278 .244 .275 .329 .204 -8.0 84-C -3 0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

22%

36%

43%

13%

1.17

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 347 27 14 1 3 30 13 34 2 1 -0.8 .246 .276 .318 -.278 .244 .275 .329 .204 -8.0 84-C -3 0.1
2010 (age 26) 369 31 17 1 2 31 14 37 3 1 -0.6 .252 .283 .328 -.268 .247 .278 .335 .211 -6.5 88-C -3 0.4
2011 (age 27) 368 31 17 1 2 31 14 36 2 1 -0.5 .252 .284 .327 -.265 .247 .280 .334 .210 -5.5 88-C -2 0.4
2012 (age 28) 333 27 15 1 3 30 13 33 2 1 -0.4 .255 .288 .334 -.247 .250 .284 .341 .215 -3.5 80-C -1 0.5
2013 (age 29) 356 28 14 1 3 29 14 35 2 1 -0.3 .245 .279 .312 -.299 .241 .275 .319 .203 -5.2 86-C -3 0.1
2014 (age 30) 324 24 14 1 2 27 12 34 1 1 -0.2 .244 .276 .315 -.301 .240 .272 .322 .203 -4.3 79-C -2 0.1
2015 (age 31) 286 21 10 1 2 25 11 27 2 1 -0.2 .258 .290 .322 -.259 .253 .285 .328 .212 -2.1 70-C -2 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .261 .294 .344
vs RHP .241 .269 .307
Split +.020 +.025 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -14.4 -3.0 0.1 $400,000 -7.4 0.5
2010 -12.9 -3.0 0.4 $400,000 -5.6 0.9
2011 -13.2 -2.0 0.4 $525,000 -4.2 2.4
2012 -10.4 -1.0 0.5 $950,000 -1.6 2.8
2013 -15.2 -3.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.7 0.6
2014 -13.8 -2.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.0 0.3
2015 -9.7 -2.0 0.1 $625,000 -2.2 0.9
Peak 1.6 $1,350,000 0.0 7.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .228 .204 .174 .204
2010 .239 .210 .189 .211
2011 .238 .212 .188 .210
2012 .246 .213 .179 .215
2013 .248 .199 .172 .203
2014 .231 .197 .172 .203
2015 .255 .210 .197 .212


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 13% 0% 22%
2010 29% 13% 25%
2011 41% 29% 23%
2012 50% 34% 26%
2013 57% 46% 22%
2014 64% 52% 13%
2015 77% 61% 16%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Einar Diaz 1998 47 11 Gabby Torres 2004 28
2 Humberto Quintero 2005 45 12 Bengie Molina 2000 28
3 Alex Delgado 1996 41 13 Brad Dandridge 1997 27
4 Wil Nieves 2003 38 14 John Pachot 2000 26
5 Raul Chavez 1998 37 15 Ray Smith 1981 26
6 Cesar Devarez 1995 34 16 Edwards Guzman 2002 25
7 Brayan Pena 2007 32 17 Ken Huckaby 1996 24
8 Luis Figueroa 2002 32 18 Orlando Sanchez 1982 24
9 Danny Sheaffer 1987 30 19 Guillermo Rodriguez 2004 23
10 Carlos Mendez 2000 29 20 Brook Fordyce 1996 23

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Six years into his pro career, the Dominican Diaz finally escaped A-ball and continued slapping singles all over the diamond. There's nothing here beyond an average, but Diaz's high contact rate gives him a shot at sustaining an empty .300 in the majors. That and his good defense would make him an average catcher. September surgery to repair a fractured hamate bone in his left hand would be worrisome if he had power to lose.

2007

Diaz is a little bit of an anomaly: A catcher who hits like a middle infielder, with good contact-hitting ability, a very low strikeout rate, and above-average speed. His defense is quite good, and repeating the level can`t be held against him because the organization gave priority to Curtis Thigpen. Still, the toll of the catching position is going to make it hard for him to keep legging out base hits, so there may not be much development in his bat.


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