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Greg Dobbs
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats L
Age 30
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Phillies Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
1B 4 Greg Dobbs 10 23 .262 10 2 11 1 .318 .422 0.1
3B 7 Greg Dobbs 10 22 .262 10 2 11 1 .318 .422 0.1
PH 9 Greg Dobbs 15 31 .262 10 2 11 1 .318 .422 0.1
3   2009 Total 35 76 .262 10 2 11 1 .318 .422 0.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 TAC AAA 421 60 19 3 9 55 37 58 14 5 -0.4 .314 .375 .451 -.119 .264 .318 .383 .247 0.0 42-3B 1 30-1B 1 0.5
2006 SEA MLB 28 4 3 1 0 3 0 4 0 1 -0.3 .370 .393 .556 .345 .370 .393 .556 .303 2.9 0.2
2007 PHI MLB 358 45 20 4 10 55 29 67 3 0 1.1 .272 .330 .451 -.006 .267 .330 .450 .269 10.8 46-3B -6 11-1B 1 0.2
2008 PHI MLB 240 30 14 1 9 40 11 40 3 1 -3.2 .301 .333 .491 .097 .301 .333 .500 .281 13.3 37-3B -7 0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:18 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 290 55 19 1 12 45 28 46 4 2 -0.3 .317 .385 .542 .264 .318 .385 .550 .313 25.9 71-3B -4 2.5
75o 264 41 15 1 9 37 23 44 4 1 -0.2 .294 .357 .489 .126 .294 .358 .497 .290 15.1 65-3B -4 1.5
60o 245 34 13 1 8 32 20 42 4 1 -0.2 .278 .339 .455 .035 .278 .339 .462 .274 8.9 61-3B -4 0.9
50o 236 31 12 1 7 30 19 41 3 1 -0.2 .271 .330 .439 -.009 .271 .330 .445 .267 6.1 59-3B -4 0.6
40o 228 28 11 1 7 28 17 40 3 1 -0.2 .264 .321 .423 -.051 .264 .322 .429 .259 3.7 57-3B -4 0.4
25o 215 24 10 1 6 25 15 39 3 1 -0.2 .254 .309 .401 -.109 .254 .310 .407 .248 0.6 54-3B -4 0.0
10o 161 12 6 1 3 14 9 32 2 1 -0.1 .216 .263 .317 -.331 .216 .263 .322 .201 -7.8 42-3B -3 -0.9
Weighted Mean 219 28 12 1 7 29 18 37 3 1 -0.2 .277 .337 .452 .031 .277 .338 .459 .272 10.2 55-3B -4 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

48%

24%

28%

0.95

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 30) 219 28 12 1 7 29 18 37 3 1 -0.2 .277 .337 .452 .031 .277 .338 .459 .272 10.2 55-3B -4 0.8
2010 (age 31) 189 23 10 1 6 25 15 32 2 0 -0.1 .273 .334 .451 -.002 .270 .330 .452 .271 5.7 48-3B -4 0.6
2011 (age 32) 195 23 11 1 6 26 16 33 2 0 -0.1 .269 .332 .444 -.020 .266 .327 .444 .268 3.5 49-3B -4 0.4
2012 (age 33) 152 16 8 1 5 22 12 26 1 0 0.0 .272 .328 .452 -.011 .269 .324 .453 .268 2.8 40-3B -3 0.2
2013 (age 34) 147 15 8 0 5 22 11 25 2 0 0.0 .272 .328 .440 -.029 .268 .324 .440 .266 1.8 39-3B -2 0.2
2014 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .254 .313 .414
vs RHP .286 .351 .489
Split -.033 -.038 -.075
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 2.1 -4.0 0.8 $1,575,000 6.3 8.4
2010 1.6 -4.0 0.6 $1,075,000 2.6 4.3
2011 0.9 -4.0 0.4 $850,000 1.3 2.0
2012 0.7 -3.0 0.2 $800,000 1.1 1.1
2013 0.4 -2.0 0.2 $800,000 0.9 2.1
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 2.3 $2,625,000 12.5 18.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .290 .267 .248 .272
2010 .296 .270 .231 .271
2011 .289 .263 .245 .268
2012 .286 .261 .229 .268
2013 .287 .258 .233 .266
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 28% 0% 29%
2010 53% 17% 23%
2011 65% 37% 17%
2012 79% 56% 13%
2013 84% 65% 11%
2014 91% 75% 9%
2015 94% 88% 6%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

53

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jerry Lynch 1961 47 11 Scott Livingstone 1996 35
2 Rich Reese 1972 43 12 Lou Klimchock 1970 34
3 Mike Lamb 2006 41 13 Mike Cubbage 1981 34
4 Wayne Krenchicki 1985 40 14 Marvell Wynne 1990 33
5 Pat Putnam 1984 38 15 Denny Walling 1985 33
6 Steve Lyons 1991 37 16 Fred Whitfield 1969 33
7 Wes Covington 1963 37 17 Tom Foley 1990 33
8 Ramon Martinez 2003 36 18 Rick Leach 1988 32
9 Rico Brogna 2001 36 19 Dane Iorg 1981 32
10 Ben Broussard 2007 35 20 Todd Hollandsworth 2004 32

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Dobbs has some legitimate value as a pinch-hitter, having hit .292/.350/.528 in 100 career pinch-hit plate appearances. He did fairly well pinch-hitting and spot starting in the first half of last year, but when Wes Helms proved once again that he's best suited to a bench role, Dobbs began to slip into the lineup more and more often. By season's end, Dobbs had started more games at third base (57) than either Helms (53) or Abraham Nu?ez (51), but he too was exposed as a starter, both offensively and defensively, and hit just .253/.339/.364 in the second half. Given the alternatives, the Phillies picked the right man. That was resourcefulness; going into the 2008 season with the same options is negligence.

2007

Cornerman Greg Dobbs`s qualifications for a major league job all come down to one thing: `Bats left-handed,` and not well enough at that.

2005

His promotion was a reward for the good year they thought he had in Tacoma. No, really, that's what they said. Dobbs is a defensively limited Bloomquist. Until they can look at these guys without cartoon hearts throbbing in their eyes, the organization's in trouble.


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