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Morgan Ensberg
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats R
Age 32
6' 2"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Yankees Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
1B 8 Morgan Ensberg 20 130 .246 16 5 18 0 .353 .443 5.2
1   2008 Total 20 130 .246 16 5 18 0 .353 .443 5.2

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 HOU MJ 624 86 30 3 36 101 85 119 6 7 -0.9 .283 .388 .557 .302 .280 .385 .560 .309 53.7 145-3B 9 8.4
2006 ROU 3A 15 2 2 0 2 7 3 1 0 0 -0.1 .500 .600 1.167 1.763 .500 .600 .999 .523 6.4 0.5
2006 HOU MJ 495 67 17 1 23 58 101 96 1 4 -1.4 .235 .396 .463 .125 .234 .397 .462 .296 19.0 108-3B 2 5.2
2007 HOU MJ 259 36 10 0 8 31 31 48 0 1 -0.6 .232 .323 .384 -.103 .238 .333 .390 .254 -1.6 55-3B -2 1.4
2007 SDN MJ 65 11 3 0 4 8 7 19 0 0 -0.5 .224 .308 .483 .021 .241 .323 .534 .283 1.8 10-3B 2 0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:42 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 339 55 16 1 17 44 49 68 2 1 -0.7 .273 .383 .509 .181 .273 .387 .531 .315 25.8 82-3B -3 3.7
75o 321 47 14 1 14 42 45 66 2 1 -0.6 .260 .368 .477 .107 .260 .373 .497 .302 18.6 78-3B -3 3.1
60o 303 41 13 1 12 41 42 64 2 1 -0.6 .247 .355 .446 .037 .248 .359 .466 .289 12.4 74-3B -3 2.5
50o 297 38 12 1 12 40 40 63 2 1 -0.5 .243 .350 .435 .011 .243 .354 .454 .284 10.3 72-3B -3 2.3
40o 285 34 11 1 10 39 38 62 2 1 -0.5 .235 .341 .416 -.033 .235 .345 .434 .276 6.8 70-3B -3 1.9
25o 258 26 9 0 8 37 33 58 2 1 -0.4 .217 .321 .373 -.133 .218 .324 .389 .256 0.0 64-3B -3 1.2
10o 146 7 4 0 2 24 16 37 1 1 -0.2 .160 .252 .231 -.462 .160 .255 .241 .176 -11.8 38-3B -2 -0.3
Weighted Mean 279 36 12 1 11 40 38 59 2 1 -0.5 .246 .353 .443 .029 .246 .357 .462 .287 11.4 68-3B -3 2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

13%

40%

30%

33%

1.38

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 32) 279 36 12 1 11 40 38 59 2 1 -0.5 .246 .353 .443 .029 .246 .357 .462 .287 11.4 68-3B -3 2.6
2009 (age 33) 256 30 10 1 9 34 33 54 2 1 -0.4 .241 .344 .417 -.023 .245 .353 .443 .276 4.9 63-3B -4 1.4
2010 (age 34) 227 26 9 0 8 31 31 45 1 1 -0.2 .247 .354 .425 .007 .251 .363 .452 .282 4.0 57-3B -3 0.9
2011 (age 35) 222 23 8 0 8 29 28 45 1 1 -0.2 .230 .331 .395 -.081 .234 .340 .420 .265 1.1 55-3B -6 0.5
2012 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .261 .375 .468
vs RHP .241 .342 .424
Split +.020 +.034 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.6 1.0 2.6 $5,050,000 12.2 11.2
2009 0.9 0.5 1.4 $2,325,000 4.7 3.4
2010 0.7 0.3 0.9 $1,725,000 3.6 3.1
2011 0.3 0.1 0.5 $700,000 0.1 0.8
2012 0.2 0.1 0.4 $700,000 0.4 0.6
2013 0.1 0.1 0.2 $500,000 0.0 0.5
2014 0.1 0.1 0.2 $575,000 0.2 0.1
Peak 6.0 $8,050,000 20.9 19.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .302 .284 .256 .287
2009 .291 .270 .244 .276
2010 .297 .277 .246 .282
2011 .276 .248 .226 .265
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 33% 0% 13%
2009 54% 26% 4%
2010 70% 46% 9%
2011 79% 60% 5%
2012 85% 74% 3%
2013 93% 82% 3%
2014 94% 92% 3%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Ensberg started 2006 like a hyperactive three year old on triple-espresso shots and double-stuff epinephrine Oreos, hitting .329/.467/.765 with 9 home runs in 85 April at-bats. He hit another 8 bombs in May and had taken 40 walks by June 1, though his batting average was dropping rapidly. He was batting .241/.397/.511 on June 10 when he dove for a foul pop off the bat of Ryan Langerhans and damaged his shoulder. Ensberg played for another month before going on the DL, but his bat had gone deader than Joe Piscopo`s career (.158/.422/.263 with one home run in 57 at-bats). Twenty days of healing and rehab didn`t seem to help much, as Ensberg hit just one more home run during the month of August, but he finished strong, batting .273/.421/.477 with 3 homers in sporadic September playing time, leaving a ray of hope for the future. When healthy, Ensberg has used the Crawford Boxes--Minute Maid`s short right-field porch--better than any other player, slugging 100 points better at home than on the road. He`s neither a great defender nor a favorite of Phil Garner`s, so he`ll remain under threat of trade for the foreseeable future, but the team can`t afford to part with the power production that a fully functional Ensberg provides.

2006

A hand injury cost Ensberg some playing time down the stretch, as well as a bit of power. But despite severe pain and changing his grip on the bat, Ensberg still managed a .400 OBP with significant power in August and September. He finished fourth in the MVP voting and goes into the 2006 season with a healthy paw. If he can hang onto his dramatic increase in walks, there`s no reason that he can`t cement his place among the NL`s best players. Ensberg is an underrated defender as well; he may not look as graceful as Eric Chavez or Scott Rolen, but he`s not far out of their class.

2005

One of the most disappointing players in baseball last year, Ensberg wasn't helped by Jimy Williams' eagerness to get Mike Lamb into the lineup, or Lamb's hot start. He's not young, so you can't realistically expect another 2003 from him. The .299/.349/.477 line he put up after Williams was fired seems like a more reasonable expectation. His defense should fall in between his '03 and '04 performances.

2003

A preseason darkhorse for Rookie of the Year, Ensberg instead fell victim to Williams’s short leash and long memory. He got off to a so-so start, but was still outhitting the Astros’ other third base candidates before being scapegoated for the team’s hitting woes and demoted in late-May. A grand total of five September at-bats clearly indicates Ensberg is no longer in Houston’s plans. He could be had cheap by a ball club looking for a low-cost, effective solution at the hot corner.

2002

Ensberg broke his left wrist at the end of June, which cost him six weeks and might have saved him from being dangled as trade bait. He bounced back to have a great August and a huge winter season. Although he’s not toolsy, his defense has gotten generally good marks. While the Astros are almost falling over themselves denying that they’re considering Ensberg their third baseman, don’t be surprised if he’s starting by May 1. You could make a glib comparison to Sean Berry, because like Berry, Ensberg was relatively old before breaking in. The difference is that Ensberg does everything just a wee bit better than Berry did.

2001

Along with Keith Ginter, Morgan Ensberg was the first Astros hitter to be promoted directly from Double-A to the majors under Gerry Hunsicker’s watch. That’s a hell of an accomplishment for a guy who hit .230 and .239 in his first two pro seasons. Ensberg is just another example of how it’s easier for a prospect with secondary skills to learn how to hit for average than the other way around. He’s not young, and he’s going to have to fight Ginter for a starting job, because the utility spot already belongs to Bill Spiers. Still, Ensberg deserves a future.


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