<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Ryan Freel
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats R
Age 32
5' 10"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Reds Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
CF 1 Ryan Freel 30 228 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4
RF 3 Ryan Freel 10 72 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4
LF 5 Ryan Freel 5 34 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4
3B 6 Ryan Freel 5 33 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4
PH 9 Ryan Freel 10 61 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4
5   2008 Total 60 428 .260 57 5 35 18 .334 .370 4.4

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CHT 2A 21 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 0 1 -0.5 .176 .286 .176 -.431 .167 .273 .167 .155 -2.5 0.0
2005 CIN MJ 431 69 19 3 4 21 51 59 36 10 5.0 .271 .371 .371 .020 .273 .373 .381 .275 15.4 44-2B 3 4.8
2006 CIN MJ 523 67 30 2 8 27 57 98 37 11 -1.6 .271 .363 .399 .007 .268 .362 .398 .272 16.4 45-CF 1 4.6
2007 LOU 3A 36 6 2 0 0 3 3 2 2 0 -0.3 .333 .389 .394 .154 .303 .361 .364 .269 0.8 0.1
2007 CIN MJ 304 44 13 3 3 16 18 47 15 8 1.4 .245 .308 .347 -.171 .253 .317 .365 .236 -4.7 50-CF -4 1.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 10:17 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 386 66 20 3 7 36 36 57 18 5 1.5 .291 .366 .425 .039 .287 .362 .419 .274 14.4 92-CF 1 3.5
75o 360 54 17 2 6 32 33 54 16 5 1.3 .274 .348 .395 -.045 .271 .344 .389 .259 6.5 86-CF 0 2.7
60o 347 49 16 2 5 29 31 53 15 4 1.2 .266 .339 .380 -.086 .262 .336 .374 .252 3.0 84-CF 0 2.3
50o 337 45 15 2 5 28 30 52 15 4 1.2 .260 .333 .370 -.115 .257 .330 .364 .246 0.7 81-CF 0 2.1
40o 319 39 13 2 4 25 28 50 13 4 1.1 .249 .322 .350 -.168 .246 .318 .345 .236 -3.3 77-CF 0 1.6
25o 292 31 11 2 3 21 24 47 12 4 0.9 .234 .305 .322 -.246 .230 .302 .317 .220 -8.2 71-CF -1 1.0
10o 248 21 8 1 2 16 20 42 9 3 0.7 .210 .280 .281 -.359 .208 .277 .276 .195 -13.4 61-CF -1 0.3
Weighted Mean 334 45 15 2 5 28 30 51 15 4 1.1 .260 .334 .370 -.113 .257 .330 .364 .246 3.4 81-CF 0 2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

8%

26%

40%

30%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 32) 334 45 15 2 5 28 30 51 15 4 1.1 .260 .334 .370 -.113 .257 .330 .364 .246 3.4 81-CF 0 2.4
2009 (age 33) 267 34 12 2 4 22 25 40 12 3 0.8 .267 .343 .388 -.069 .259 .334 .375 .256 3.1 66-CF -1 1.6
2010 (age 34) 242 29 11 2 4 21 24 38 9 3 0.6 .264 .345 .383 -.073 .256 .336 .370 .253 1.9 60-CF -2 1.0
2011 (age 35) 273 33 12 2 4 24 24 44 10 3 0.4 .264 .338 .376 -.095 .257 .329 .363 .249 0.8 67-CF -2 0.7
2012 (age 36) 206 22 9 1 3 19 20 35 8 2 0.2 .251 .331 .373 -.121 .244 .322 .360 .246 0.1 52-CF -3 0.4
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .273 .349 .394
vs RHP .256 .326 .357
Split +.016 +.023 +.037
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.5 1.8 2.4 $3,425,000 4.4 3.8
2009 0.6 0.9 1.6 $2,225,000 2.6 5.2
2010 0.4 0.6 1.0 $1,325,000 0.6 1.9
2011 0.2 0.4 0.7 $850,000 0.0 0.9
2012 0.1 0.2 0.4 $625,000 -1.2 0.4
2013 0.1 0.2 0.3 $600,000 0.0 0.4
2014 0.0 0.1 0.2 $525,000 -0.7 0.1
Peak 6.3 $6,125,000 6.1 12.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .259 .246 .220 .246
2009 .277 .247 .226 .256
2010 .273 .253 .226 .253
2011 .272 .248 .220 .249
2012 .270 .247 .226 .246
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 30% 0% 8%
2009 51% 19% 15%
2010 67% 33% 12%
2011 73% 53% 8%
2012 85% 66% 3%
2013 89% 74% 5%
2014 98% 84% 3%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Freel`s a good example of the difference between an athletic player who can actually handle a variety of positions and your more standard-issue ex-second baseman who plays elsewhere to survive. Unlike a lot of minor league journeymen who wind up in a major league utility role, Freel`s a good outfielder as well as a decent enough second or third baseman, he gets on base regularly, and runs well when he does. Floating between four or five spots around the lineup, his real position is utility leadoff man.

2006

After hustling his way into regular status in 2004, Freel was jobbed twice in the offseason. First, the Reds inexplicably traded for Tony Womack, then they re-signed the obstreperous Rich Aurilia. With good range and hands in the outfield and the ability to play center as well as second and third, Freel will likely be the Reds supersub until they come to their senses. A good runner who makes the most of his speed, Freel is too aggressive on the basepaths. In stealing bases, he`d be better off picking his spots a little less frequently.

2005

You'd expect a light-hitting backup who'd never started more than a few games at a time to get exposed when thrust into prolonged regular duty. Not so for Freel, who nearly doubled his walk rate while showing a decent glove and good speed in soaking up playing lost by Brandon Larson, Ken Griffey Jr. and Austin Kearns. With Joe Randa in the fold, Freel will go back to utility duty; this team will have better depth than it's had in a while.

2001

Ryan Freel is an ex-prospect who has made himself into a good utility player. He can hit for average, take walks, and he runs very well. Freel handled five positions in the minors last season, and a guy who can play anywhere gives a team advantages both in-game and in-season. He deserves a clean shot at a job.

2000

Freel was on his way to a September call-up when he injured his rotator cuff in May. He doesn’t do any one thing very well; what he does is play both the infield and the outfield, get on base and run a little. Assuming he’s healthy in March, he’s the player with whom the Jays should fill Jacob Brumfield’s roster spot.

1999

Working towards becoming a super-sub, Freel is already known for his diving, athletic play in the field. Between his ability to get on base and his roving from position to position, he's looking like the new Lance Blankenship. Like Blankenship, he's best suited to play second base or the outfield. Like Blankenship, he can be a very handy guy to have around.

1998

Freel was fantastic in his second year at Dunedin, scorching the league with a terrific walk rate and OBP. Bumped to Knoxville at midseason, he didn’t hit at all. As with Evans, Freel is a player whose plate discipline may make him a better bet than a comparable player without that skill. His defense is suspect. At the least, he could be a very good bench player.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.