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J.J. Furmaniak
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats R
Age 28
5' 11"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 POR 3A 428 54 16 4 14 47 28 86 9 5 1.5 .266 .324 .437 -.029 .230 .280 .375 .225 -6.0 55-3B 0 0.9
2005 IND 3A 147 12 5 3 2 21 4 32 5 3 1.1 .288 .315 .410 -.028 .257 .286 .364 .224 -0.6 29-SS 1 0.5
2005 PIT MJ 30 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 0 0 -0.5 .192 .300 .308 -.230 .192 .300 .308 .217 -0.8 0.0
2006 IND 3A 403 43 12 3 6 27 25 85 15 5 -0.6 .213 .266 .310 -.195 .204 .257 .316 .201 -19.5 104-SS 8 2.1
2007 SAC 3A 490 70 18 2 15 51 49 105 21 8 -4.0 .292 .373 .450 .162 .265 .343 .416 .267 21.0 41-SS 2 4.3
2007 OAK MJ 22 5 1 0 0 1 3 8 0 0 0.1 .176 .364 .235 -.239 .176 .364 .235 .234 -0.6 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 10:22 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 535 64 26 3 13 56 42 125 13 5 0.3 .252 .316 .398 -.087 .256 .321 .425 .263 12.6 126-SS -5 3.8
75o 506 55 23 3 11 51 38 120 12 5 0.3 .240 .303 .374 -.149 .243 .308 .399 .251 4.1 119-SS -5 3.0
60o 482 48 21 2 10 47 35 116 11 4 0.3 .230 .293 .355 -.197 .234 .298 .378 .241 -2.0 114-SS -4 2.5
50o 466 43 19 2 9 44 34 113 10 4 0.2 .224 .286 .342 -.229 .228 .291 .365 .234 -5.6 110-SS -4 2.1
40o 456 41 18 2 8 42 32 111 10 4 0.2 .220 .282 .334 -.249 .224 .287 .357 .230 -7.8 108-SS -3 1.9
25o 417 32 15 2 6 36 28 103 9 4 0.2 .207 .267 .307 -.318 .210 .272 .327 .214 -14.3 99-SS -3 1.2
10o 350 21 10 1 4 27 22 90 7 3 0.2 .186 .244 .264 -.426 .189 .248 .281 .186 -21.5 84-SS -1 0.3
Weighted Mean 480 46 20 2 9 46 35 116 11 4 0.2 .226 .288 .346 -.220 .230 .293 .369 .236 -4.8 113-SS -4 2.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

14%

40%

28%

17%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 28) 480 46 20 2 9 46 35 116 11 4 0.2 .226 .288 .346 -.220 .230 .293 .369 .236 -4.8 113-SS -4 2.7
2009 (age 29) 469 46 20 2 9 44 34 113 12 5 0.2 .228 .292 .352 -.203 .236 .302 .383 .240 -1.7 111-SS -2 2.0
2010 (age 30) 483 48 20 2 10 49 36 116 13 4 0.1 .230 .293 .355 -.196 .237 .303 .386 .242 -0.8 114-SS -6 1.6
2011 (age 31) 509 51 23 2 11 52 34 120 8 4 0.1 .234 .292 .361 -.188 .242 .301 .393 .241 -0.3 120-SS -6 1.0
2012 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .240 .305 .373
vs RHP .222 .281 .333
Split +.018 +.023 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 2.4 2.7 $3,375,000 -1.3 1.1
2009 0.4 1.6 2.0 $2,725,000 1.6 3.3
2010 0.4 1.2 1.6 $1,950,000 0.3 2.5
2011 0.2 0.8 1.0 $1,275,000 0.0 3.1
2012 0.1 0.4 0.6 $825,000 0.1 1.4
2013 0.2 0.3 0.6 $875,000 0.2 1.8
2014 0.0 0.3 0.3 $625,000 -1.5 0.0
Peak 8.5 $7,750,000 2.1 13.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .251 .234 .214 .236
2009 .250 .232 .211 .240
2010 .258 .243 .205 .242
2011 .254 .232 .214 .241
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 17% 0% 14%
2009 40% 22% 15%
2010 59% 38% 21%
2011 67% 57% 14%
2012 83% 73% 9%
2013 86% 77% 7%
2014 91% 88% 3%

Player Comments

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2006

No, his last name is not a vanity plate of a fur fetishist. Acquired from the Padres in exchange for David Ross, Furmaniak hasn`t shown adequate pop outside the hitter-friendly California and Pacific Coast Leagues. On the plus side, he`s a capable defender at second, third and short, and the Pirates believe he has the speed and tracking instincts to handle all three outfield spots. His bat won`t play every day, but positional flexibility and `scrappy` cachet have gotten plenty of guys long careers.

2005

The last man added to the 40-man roster this off-season, Furmaniak shows good power for a player who won't embarrass himself on either side of second base, or over at third. Ramon Vazquez had been entrenched as the primary utility guy, but with his departure and Aurilia's, Furmaniak can hope to nail down one of their roster spots. Petco favors right-handed pull hitters, so he could prove useful if the Pads give him a chance in '05.


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