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Corey Hart
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Right Field
Bats R
Age 26
6' 6"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Brewers Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
RF 5 Corey Hart 75 519 .288 88 24 79 21 .358 .527 34.2
CF 6 Corey Hart 5 33 .288 88 24 79 21 .358 .527 34.2
2   2008 Total 80 552 .288 88 24 79 21 .358 .527 34.2

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 NAS 3A 489 85 29 9 17 69 48 88 31 7 2.3 .308 .377 .536 .265 .267 .330 .461 .273 9.7 71-RF 6 3.4
2005 MIL MJ 63 9 2 1 2 7 6 11 2 0 0.7 .193 .270 .368 -.224 .193 .270 .368 .228 -1.5 11-CF -1 0.1
2006 NAS 3A 115 19 10 1 4 21 12 25 11 2 0.1 .320 .391 .560 .368 .275 .345 .490 .291 4.3 17-LF -3 0.9
2006 MIL MJ 256 32 13 2 9 33 17 58 5 8 -0.1 .283 .328 .468 .060 .284 .332 .479 .264 4.2 30-RF 1 1.6
2007 MIL MJ 566 86 33 9 24 81 36 99 23 7 2.0 .295 .353 .539 .212 .299 .357 .558 .301 39.2 97-RF 17 7.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:21 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 607 117 39 6 33 94 56 100 25 6 2.1 .319 .388 .597 .332 .319 .385 .601 .322 60.1 142-RF 10 8.5
75o 584 104 36 6 30 88 53 100 24 6 1.9 .307 .376 .571 .266 .307 .374 .575 .312 48.8 137-RF 9 7.5
60o 551 88 33 5 25 79 50 99 22 6 1.8 .290 .360 .533 .174 .290 .358 .537 .298 34.1 129-RF 8 6.2
50o 535 81 31 5 23 75 48 98 21 6 1.7 .283 .353 .516 .131 .283 .350 .519 .291 27.7 126-RF 7 5.6
40o 524 77 30 5 22 73 46 97 20 6 1.6 .277 .348 .504 .102 .277 .345 .508 .287 23.6 123-RF 7 5.2
25o 503 69 28 4 20 68 44 96 19 5 1.5 .267 .338 .482 .047 .267 .335 .485 .278 16.3 119-RF 6 4.5
10o 479 60 26 4 17 62 41 94 18 5 1.4 .256 .327 .456 -.015 .256 .324 .459 .267 8.5 113-RF 5 3.7
Weighted Mean 571 92 33 5 26 82 51 103 22 6 1.7 .288 .358 .527 .159 .288 .355 .531 .295 35.5 134-RF 8 5.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

32%

61%

8%

8%

0.96

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 26) 571 92 33 5 26 82 51 103 22 6 1.7 .288 .358 .527 .159 .288 .355 .531 .295 35.5 134-RF 8 5.9
2009 (age 27) 602 99 35 5 28 89 52 110 23 6 1.6 .289 .357 .529 .162 .285 .349 .523 .295 31.7 141-RF 6 5.7
2010 (age 28) 596 96 36 5 26 85 53 110 21 6 1.5 .286 .355 .522 .144 .281 .346 .516 .292 28.5 140-RF 5 5.2
2011 (age 29) 541 85 31 4 26 79 51 98 17 5 1.4 .289 .360 .531 .169 .284 .352 .525 .296 28.5 127-RF 4 4.9
2012 (age 30) 548 83 32 4 25 80 49 101 16 4 1.3 .282 .352 .519 .134 .278 .344 .513 .290 23.8 129-RF 2 4.4
2013 (age 31) 516 76 30 3 23 74 49 93 15 4 1.1 .281 .352 .515 .127 .277 .344 .509 .289 20.8 121-RF 3 4.0
2014 (age 32) 520 76 29 4 24 76 49 96 14 4 1.0 .280 .350 .513 .120 .275 .342 .507 .287 17.5 122-RF 1 3.6

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .302 .378 .546
vs RHP .282 .347 .508
Split +.020 +.031 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 3.6 2.3 5.9 $15,825,000 40.3 44.0
2009 3.7 2.0 5.7 $15,575,000 34.7 41.8
2010 3.4 1.8 5.2 $14,875,000 30.4 34.7
2011 3.3 1.6 4.9 $15,050,000 29.7 35.6
2012 2.9 1.4 4.4 $13,400,000 23.6 27.9
2013 2.6 1.3 4.0 $12,675,000 21.0 27.0
2014 2.2 1.3 3.6 $11,575,000 17.2 20.5
Peak 30.0 $71,425,000 179.8 211.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .312 .291 .278 .295
2009 .312 .296 .281 .295
2010 .310 .295 .274 .292
2011 .318 .294 .275 .296
2012 .313 .289 .269 .290
2013 .314 .289 .254 .289
2014 .311 .290 .276 .287


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 32%
2009 9% 3% 26%
2010 13% 3% 22%
2011 20% 3% 32%
2012 22% 6% 27%
2013 31% 12% 25%
2014 42% 24% 18%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

The big feller did all right, and now that he`s beyond the experimenting with making him a corner infielder, he seems prepped to become the club`s top outfield bopper. PECOTA gave a weighted-mean projection of .276/.338/.487, and Hart delivered a .283/.328/.468 performance, albeit in less than half the at-bats that PECOTA suggested he`d get. Both Geoff Jenkins and Kevin Mench are being dangled in various deals, and Hart`s the best choice for the regular job in right. There`s still plenty of a upside here if the Brewers will give him a chance.

2006

Hart`s career has been something of a mess. Even with his offensive output, the organization doesn`t seem quite sure what to do with the speedy colossus. Drafted as a first baseman, they`ve tried him at third for three years, then moved him to the outfield, and now they might return him to third or use him as a four corners utilityman, sort of like a younger, more athletic edition of Branyan. The key thing to keep in mind is that he`s young, can hit and hit well, and he`s major-league ready right now. The Brewers pondered putting him between Lee and Jenkins in center instead of pushing them; this makes all sorts of sense if he can cover the ground. Random note: Hart could join Darryl Strawberry and Dave Winfield as the third player 6`6` or taller to steal 20 bases in the modern era. If that tidbit shows up on SportsCenter, you heard it here first.

2005

If scouts could create an athlete from scratch, Specimen A might look strikingly similar to Hart. A lean 6'6, he runs extremely well for his size and has tools to spare. Light-tower power? Check. Cannon Arm? Check. Speed on the bases? Check. Knowledge of the strike zone? Hrm, not so much. Hart's aggressive approach at the plate makes him a relatively easy out, and his long swing leaves him susceptible to pitches on the inner half of the plate. After experiments at first and third base, he's settled into right field. The acquisition of Carlos Lee makes it likely he'll be patrolling the grass in Nashville for most of 2004.


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