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Ramon Hernandez
Baltimore Orioles [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 32
6'
235 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Orioles Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Ramon Hernandez 70 443 .262 47 10 50 3 .326 .398 9.1
1   2008 Total 70 443 .262 47 10 50 3 .326 .398 9.1

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SDN MJ 392 36 19 2 12 58 18 40 1 0 -3.2 .290 .322 .450 .076 .300 .334 .474 .276 20.7 90-C -2 3.9
2006 BAL MJ 560 66 29 2 23 91 43 79 1 0 -1.1 .275 .343 .479 .074 .276 .350 .490 .286 28.8 125-C 3 5.9
2007 ABE 1A 8 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 -0.3 .500 .750 .750 1.112 .400 .625 .800 .478 4.8 0.2
2007 FRD 1C 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0.0 .333 .429 .500 .334 .143 .143 .286 .106 -1.0 0.0
2007 BAL MJ 409 40 18 0 9 62 36 59 1 3 -1.6 .258 .333 .382 -.070 .266 .345 .410 .261 8.4 96-C -6 2.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:34 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 390 52 21 1 12 49 32 54 3 2 -1.1 .301 .365 .471 .130 .299 .366 .485 .296 27.4 93-C -5 4.1
75o 371 44 19 1 10 44 30 52 3 2 -1.0 .282 .346 .436 .036 .280 .347 .449 .279 17.7 89-C -5 3.3
60o 356 38 17 1 9 40 28 51 3 2 -0.9 .267 .331 .408 -.036 .265 .332 .420 .266 10.8 86-C -4 2.7
50o 350 36 16 1 8 39 27 51 3 2 -0.9 .262 .326 .398 -.063 .259 .327 .410 .261 8.3 84-C -4 2.4
40o 347 35 16 1 8 38 27 50 3 2 -0.9 .258 .322 .392 -.079 .256 .323 .404 .258 6.9 84-C -4 2.3
25o 328 29 14 1 6 34 25 49 3 1 -0.8 .241 .305 .360 -.163 .239 .306 .371 .241 0.0 79-C -4 1.7
10o 278 17 10 1 3 24 20 44 2 1 -0.6 .200 .263 .285 -.358 .198 .263 .293 .195 -13.2 68-C -3 0.4
Weighted Mean 378 40 18 1 9 43 30 55 3 2 -0.9 .262 .326 .398 -.062 .260 .327 .410 .260 7.8 91-C -3 3.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

12%

30%

33%

27%

1.00

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 32) 378 40 18 1 9 43 30 55 3 2 -0.9 .262 .326 .398 -.062 .260 .327 .410 .260 7.8 91-C -3 3.1
2009 (age 33) 359 37 16 1 9 42 28 52 4 1 -0.8 .261 .323 .398 -.068 .263 .329 .418 .259 6.7 86-C -3 2.3
2010 (age 34) 328 33 15 1 8 38 25 48 3 1 -0.6 .265 .328 .403 -.050 .267 .334 .424 .263 6.4 79-C -3 1.9
2011 (age 35) 303 28 13 1 7 35 23 46 3 1 -0.5 .257 .321 .389 -.086 .259 .327 .409 .255 3.5 74-C -3 1.4
2012 (age 36) 255 21 11 1 5 26 19 38 3 1 -0.4 .249 .310 .373 -.132 .251 .315 .391 .247 1.1 63-C -5 0.8
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .274 .344 .425
vs RHP .258 .318 .381
Split +.016 +.026 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.1 2.0 3.1 $4,825,000 6.2 10.1
2009 0.9 1.4 2.3 $3,700,000 5.3 9.3
2010 0.8 1.1 1.9 $3,400,000 5.2 9.3
2011 0.5 0.9 1.4 $2,300,000 2.5 5.5
2012 0.3 0.6 0.8 $1,100,000 -0.7 1.0
2013 0.3 0.4 0.7 $1,275,000 1.3 1.9
2014 0.0 0.4 0.4 $750,000 -1.2 0.6
Peak 10.2 $12,675,000 19.8 37.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .279 .261 .241 .260
2009 .269 .257 .228 .259
2010 .283 .243 .223 .263
2011 .270 .245 .218 .255
2012 .261 .240 .222 .247
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 27% 0% 12%
2009 39% 12% 8%
2010 56% 26% 14%
2011 66% 39% 4%
2012 75% 51% 1%
2013 85% 69% 1%
2014 90% 73% 1%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

There was considerable moaning about Hernandez`s contract last year, but he made Year One of his four-year deal look awfully good, setting or matching career highs in at-bats, hits, doubles, homers, RBIs, and stolen bases (this was one of the years in which he stole one). That said, setting a career high in at-bats is not a good indicator of future value when you`re talking about a 30-year-old catcher. He`s been a very steady player for the last four years, so he gets the benefit of the doubt for now.

2005

Keeps getting better. Hernandez hiked his walk rate and power numbers slightly from an already solid 2003; throw in the adjustment from a good pitcher's park in Oakland to a great one in San Diego and the gains look even more impressive. The dramatic spike in his contact rate points to further gains in his future. He's still an above-average defensive catcher, and at $4.1 million, the Padres have themselves a relative bargain. Here comes a career year.

2003

.241/.315/.387 in Oakland at age 24 is promising. So what happened? Hernandez just flat out hasn’t developed, and really didn’t look good at the plate all year. He looks his best when he’s hitting balls hard to RF and RCF, usually pitches up and away. Anything else, he looks unbelievably slow with the bat. His batting eye got marginally better, but not by enough to be anything more than noise in the data. Other than that, he’s been pretty much treading water for two years. With Beane’s theft of Mark Johnson from the White Sox, he’s going to have to do something with the bat in order to keep the lion’s share of the playing time, despite his solid defense.

2002

This is a very underrated ballplayer. Hernandez is a good defensive catcher who handles the pitching staff well and is undervalued as a hitter, thanks in large part to the cavernous outfield in Oakland. Hernandez is a very similar player to former A's backstop Terry Steinbach, a league-average hitter with some durability and strong defense. He got beat up throughout the season, as catchers are prone to do, and still finished strong: .291/.339/.522 after the All-Star break.

2001

The organization’s Venezuelan scouting effort doesn’t get as much attention as its commitment to the Dominican Republic, but this year it cranked out the team’s starting catcher. Spending most of the season in the ninth slot, Hernandez had a solid campaign, consistent with his career and age. Don’t be surprised if he outhits that projection. His defense is rough, but so was Terry Steinbach's in his early years.

2000

Everything came together in 1999 for Hernandez. He came to camp in shape for the first time, impressing the organization. Although he wasn't having his best year at the plate, he'd worked hard while Hinch had flopped. After his call-up, he gave the A's some desperately needed right-handed power. His defense still needs work; he has problems sitting still and making a good target for his pitchers. He's always been injury-prone, so while he should win the job outright, the A's will need to carry a good caddy.

1998

A marvelous catching prospect with a good arm, an astronomical batting average and a gigantic A.J. Hinch in front of him in the mind of the A’s front office. He will be a very good major league player, but the opportunity for him to become a star was damaged by his failure to adapt to Double-A last year.

1997

One of the reasons the A’s probably aren’t too worried about how their numerous young catchers in the upper levels of the system turn out is Hernandez. He won the batting title in his rookie league in ’95, and was rated the A’s sixth-best prospect entering the ’96 season. He’s shown a lot of patience at the plate for a young player. He’s potentially a very good catcher, but needs work; for that reason, the A’s will be bringing him along slowly as the upper level prospects sort themselves out.


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