Koyie Hill

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Cubs Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 7 Koyie Hill 25 57 .210 5 1 5 0 .282 .333 -1.2

1 2009 Total 25 57 .210 5 1 5 0 .282 .333 -1.2

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:20 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	403	45	25	1	12	50	32	94	2	2	-1.0	.252	.315	.429	-.078	.249	.312	.429	.253	8.1	96-C 1	2.5
75^o	385	39	23	1	10	46	30	92	2	2	-0.9	.240	.302	.401	-.149	.237	.299	.401	.240	1.5	92-C 0	1.7
60^o	370	34	21	1	9	42	28	90	2	2	-0.8	.229	.290	.378	-.206	.226	.287	.377	.228	-3.5	89-C -1	1.1
50^o	354	29	19	1	8	38	26	88	2	1	-0.8	.219	.279	.355	-.262	.216	.276	.355	.216	-7.9	85-C -1	0.5
40^o	343	27	18	1	7	35	24	86	2	1	-0.7	.212	.272	.341	-.297	.210	.269	.341	.208	-10.5	83-C -2	0.2
25^o	323	22	16	1	5	31	22	83	2	1	-0.7	.200	.259	.315	-.361	.198	.257	.315	.193	-14.6	78-C -2	-0.4
10^o	273	14	12	1	3	21	17	74	1	1	-0.5	.176	.232	.261	-.493	.174	.230	.261	.155	-20.7	67-C -4	-1.4
Weighted Mean	376	32	21	1	8	41	27	93	2	2	-0.8	.219	.280	.357	-.235	.217	.277	.357	.216	-5.3	90-C -2	0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
52%	68%	20%	29%	1.03

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 30)	376	32	21	1	8	41	27	93	2	2	-0.8	.219	.280	.357	-.235	.217	.277	.357	.216	-5.3	90-C -2	0.6
2010 (age 31)	335	27	17	1	7	36	25	83	2	1	-0.5	.214	.277	.347	-.294	.208	.270	.342	.212	-6.4	81-C -2	0.3
2011 (age 32)	306	25	17	0	7	33	24	76	1	1	-0.3	.219	.283	.362	-.260	.214	.277	.357	.220	-2.5	74-C -2	0.3
2012 (age 33)	263	20	14	0	6	29	21	66	1	1	-0.2	.214	.282	.358	-.271	.209	.275	.353	.218	-2.0	65-C -3	0.2
2013 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.233	.280	.364
vs RHP	.216	.280	.353
Split	+.018	+.000	+.011
LgAvg	+.004	-.004	+.007

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-8.0	-2.0	0.6	$400,000	-7.0	1.0
2010	-8.4	-2.0	0.3	$400,000	-7.7	1.5
2011	-5.5	-2.0	0.3	$575,000	-3.0	0.1
2012	-5.2	-3.0	0.2	$475,000	-2.7	0.4
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			1.7	$1,375,000	0.0	4.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.240	.216	.193	.216
2010	.239	.215	.188	.212
2011	.237	.222	.196	.220
2012	.247	.213	.190	.218
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	29%	0%	52%
2010	44%	23%	40%
2011	70%	47%	39%
2012	76%	64%	26%
2013	85%	74%	28%
2014	84%	80%	19%
2015	89%	89%	11%

56

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Mandy Romero	1998	54		11	Brian Guinn	1991	39
2	A.J. Hinch	2004	42		12	Juan Espino	1986	37
3	Stan Cliburn	1987	41		13	Mark Bailey	1992	37
4	Larry Owen	1985	40		14	Gene Schall	2000	37
5	Brad Gulden	1986	40		15	John Boccabella	1971	37
6	Brian Simmons	2003	40		16	Razor Shines	1986	36
7	Mike Robertson	2001	39		17	Randy Knorr	1999	36
8	Bob Barton	1971	39		18	Jon DeBus	1988	36
9	Glenn Williams	2007	39		19	Damon Hollins	2004	35
10	Tim Laker	2000	39		20	Michael Ryan	2007	35

Player Comments

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2008

Koyie Hill took advantage of the Cubs' revolving door at catcher last year to record his longest stint as a big-leaguer, but didn't do himself any favors by posting a .174 EqA. As a backup catcher, he's neither any better nor any worse than most of the scrubs in the league.

2006

He has yet to translate his acceptable minor league walk rate into something more like a career, and it doesn`t look like he will. He put up okay numbers by admittedly pathetic D-Back catcher standards while regrouping in Triple-A after an abysmal start. If he was unable to push Chris Snyder`s .202/.297/.301 line out of the everyday lineup, he`s no longer a prospect.

2005

Did he just pull it all together? Solid defensive catcher, shows occasional flashes of all the tools in previous years; average one year, power the next, plate discipline, then has a pretty good consolidation season at Las Vegas, and gets a taste of the bigs. With Hammock's knee a concern, he'll compete with the more talented but less proven Chris Snyder for the #1 job.

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
C	7	Koyie Hill	25	57	.210	5	1	5	0	.282	.333	-1.2
1		2009 Total	25	57	.210	5	1	5	0	.282	.333	-1.2

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	COH	AAA	76	4	2	0	1	5	5	17	0	0	-0.2	.143	.197	.214	-.686	.127	.182	.197	.091	-12.6	14-C -3	-1.2
2007	IOW	AAA	162	22	16	0	2	24	11	23	1	1	1.9	.322	.364	.470	-.185	.252	.290	.377	.231	-3.0	28-C 1	0.1
2007	CHN	MLB	105	7	4	0	2	12	8	18	0	0	-0.6	.161	.231	.269	-.486	.161	.238	.258	.174	-7.6	26-C 2	-0.3
2008	IOW	AAA	412	56	24	2	17	64	40	77	3	2	-2.4	.275	.350	.492	-.270	.206	.271	.361	.218	-18.0	89-C 0	-0.3
2008	CHN	MLB	22	0	1	0	0	1	0	12	0	0	-0.1	.095	.095	.143	-.795	.136	.136	.182	.000	-3.7	5-C -1	-0.4

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats