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Nick Hundley
San Diego Padres [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 1"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Padres Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Nick Hundley 25 57 .220 6 1 6 0 .298 .370 0.5
1   2009 Total 25 57 .220 6 1 6 0 .298 .370 0.5

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 FTW A 248 29 19 0 8 44 25 45 1 1 -0.5 .274 .355 .474 -.293 .204 .269 .347 .215 -12.5 57-C 1 0.1
2006 LEL A+ 200 18 13 0 3 23 20 44 1 1 -0.8 .278 .357 .403 -.276 .220 .285 .330 .214 -8.8 41-C -4 -0.6
2007 SAN AA 422 55 23 1 20 72 42 74 0 2 0.8 .247 .324 .475 -.148 .223 .290 .420 .242 -3.7 93-C 1 1.3
2008 POR AAA 243 33 13 0 12 39 17 44 0 0 0.1 .232 .285 .451 -.258 .207 .255 .392 .220 -9.4 57-C 1 0.2
2008 SDN MLB 216 21 7 1 5 24 11 52 0 0 0.4 .237 .278 .359 -.180 .249 .287 .386 .236 -1.4 54-C 1 0.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:05 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 417 49 20 1 16 54 38 91 1 1 -0.6 .249 .321 .441 .029 .260 .330 .481 .274 19.9 99-C 2 3.6
75o 388 40 18 1 13 47 33 88 1 1 -0.5 .233 .303 .404 -.070 .243 .311 .441 .256 9.4 93-C 1 2.5
60o 367 34 16 1 11 42 30 85 0 1 -0.5 .222 .290 .380 -.135 .232 .298 .414 .243 3.3 88-C 0 1.8
50o 356 31 15 1 11 40 29 83 0 1 -0.4 .217 .284 .367 -.168 .226 .292 .401 .236 0.4 86-C 0 1.4
40o 344 28 14 1 10 38 27 81 0 1 -0.4 .211 .277 .354 -.204 .220 .285 .386 .229 -2.5 83-C 0 1.1
25o 321 23 13 1 8 33 24 77 0 1 -0.4 .200 .264 .330 -.269 .209 .272 .360 .215 -7.3 78-C 0 0.5
10o 280 16 10 0 5 25 19 70 0 0 -0.3 .183 .243 .291 -.373 .191 .250 .317 .190 -13.3 69-C -1 -0.3
Weighted Mean 352 31 15 1 11 41 29 81 0 1 -0.4 .219 .287 .373 -.201 .229 .295 .408 .239 4.0 85-C 0 1.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

35%

59%

19%

24%

0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 352 31 15 1 11 41 29 81 0 1 -0.4 .219 .287 .373 -.201 .229 .295 .408 .239 4.0 85-C 0 1.6
2010 (age 26) 335 28 14 1 10 37 26 78 0 0 -0.3 .215 .281 .365 -.194 .221 .285 .393 .234 -0.2 81-C 1 1.4
2011 (age 27) 363 32 16 1 11 42 31 85 0 0 -0.3 .212 .284 .364 -.191 .218 .288 .392 .235 0.0 87-C -1 1.4
2012 (age 28) 287 23 12 1 9 31 23 66 0 0 -0.2 .211 .280 .364 -.201 .217 .283 .392 .233 -0.6 70-C -1 1.1
2013 (age 29) 287 23 12 1 9 32 23 67 0 0 -0.2 .211 .280 .360 -.204 .217 .284 .388 .232 -0.8 70-C 1 1.1
2014 (age 30) 353 29 14 1 10 39 28 77 0 0 -0.1 .209 .277 .350 -.227 .215 .281 .377 .228 -2.0 85-C -1 0.9
2015 (age 31) 302 24 13 0 9 33 24 63 0 0 -0.1 .218 .283 .363 -.190 .224 .287 .391 .235 0.1 73-C 0 0.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .233 .302 .393
vs RHP .216 .281 .362
Split +.017 +.021 +.031
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 1.7 0.0 1.6 $1,800,000 2.3 6.4
2010 -0.2 1.0 1.4 $1,675,000 -0.2 6.1
2011 0.3 -1.0 1.4 $1,725,000 -0.5 4.9
2012 -0.5 -1.0 1.1 $1,600,000 -1.0 6.2
2013 -0.7 1.0 1.1 $1,750,000 -0.4 4.3
2014 -2.4 -1.0 0.9 $1,500,000 -2.2 3.1
2015 0.1 0.0 0.8 $1,700,000 0.6 4.5
Peak 7.5 $6,175,000 0.0 31.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .256 .236 .215 .239
2010 .263 .239 .201 .234
2011 .258 .236 .208 .235
2012 .253 .232 .201 .233
2013 .260 .237 .177 .232
2014 .257 .221 .195 .228
2015 .263 .226 .209 .235


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 24% 0% 35%
2010 39% 7% 39%
2011 37% 15% 35%
2012 50% 20% 32%
2013 53% 23% 32%
2014 49% 33% 26%
2015 69% 45% 27%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

66

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jeff Hearron 1987 61 11 Bob Schmidt 1959 54
2 Giuseppe Chiaramonte 2001 60 12 Tim Laudner 1984 52
3 Joe Oliver 1991 59 13 Marty Castillo 1982 51
4 Chris Widger 1997 59 14 Ozzie Virgil 1982 51
5 Bill Nahorodny 1979 58 15 Kelly Shoppach 2006 51
6 George Mitterwald 1971 57 16 Joe Depastino 1999 50
7 John Buck 2006 56 17 Marc Hill 1977 50
8 Jason LaRue 2000 55 18 Creighton Gubanich 1998 49
9 Tim McIntosh 1991 55 19 Tim Spehr 1992 49
10 Barry Foote 1977 54 20 John Bateman 1966 49

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

No relation to the other catching Hundleys, Nick is making steady progress towards being a low-average, high-power backup catcher in the make of Mark Parent, Tim Laudner, and Sal Fasano. His good throwing arm-he nailed 36 percent of thieves last season-and solid catcher's body complete the package.

2007

The organization`s Catcher of the Future, because dealing George Kottaras erased the only other aspirant. Hundley is a big, strapping guy with power, a long swing, and a good arm. He`s not perfect--his throws need to be sped up, and, as a former college player at the University of Arizona, hitting in the Cal League in his full-season debut should be a matter of course, not an achievement. If he makes the jump to Double-A in 2007, the Padres have got something.


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