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Kenji Johjima
Seattle Mariners [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6'
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Mariners Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Kenji Johjima 45 100 .256 9 3 10 1 .285 .371 0.0
1   2009 Total 45 100 .256 9 3 10 1 .285 .371 0.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 SEA MLB 542 61 25 1 18 76 20 46 3 1 -3.1 .291 .332 .451 .022 .289 .332 .455 .269 24.6 131-C 1 3.3
2007 SEA MLB 513 52 29 0 14 61 15 41 0 2 -4.1 .287 .322 .433 -.001 .288 .322 .451 .262 21.1 125-C 13 4.0
2008 SEA MLB 409 29 19 0 7 39 19 33 2 0 -1.2 .227 .277 .332 -.254 .232 .282 .346 .219 -8.1 94-C 1 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:14 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 353 41 17 1 8 41 16 34 1 1 -1.8 .285 .327 .416 -.002 .288 .330 .440 .265 13.8 85-C -3 2.3
75o 335 35 16 0 7 38 16 33 1 1 -1.6 .271 .313 .390 -.075 .274 .316 .413 .252 7.4 81-C -2 1.7
60o 320 30 14 0 6 35 15 32 1 1 -1.5 .260 .303 .370 -.130 .263 .306 .391 .241 3.0 78-C -2 1.3
50o 314 29 14 0 6 34 14 31 1 1 -1.5 .256 .298 .362 -.152 .259 .301 .383 .237 1.3 76-C -2 1.1
40o 302 26 13 0 5 32 14 30 1 1 -1.4 .247 .290 .346 -.196 .250 .293 .366 .228 -1.9 74-C -1 0.8
25o 281 21 11 0 4 28 13 28 1 1 -1.2 .233 .276 .320 -.268 .236 .279 .338 .213 -6.4 69-C -1 0.3
10o 237 13 8 0 2 21 11 24 0 0 -1.0 .208 .250 .272 -.400 .210 .252 .287 .180 -12.7 59-C 0 -0.4
Weighted Mean 290 25 13 0 5 32 13 29 1 1 -1.4 .255 .297 .360 -.166 .258 .300 .381 .235 1.4 71-C 0 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

10%

30%

38%

35%

0.84

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 33) 290 25 13 0 5 32 13 29 1 1 -1.4 .255 .297 .360 -.166 .258 .300 .381 .235 1.4 71-C 0 1.1
2010 (age 34) 264 22 12 0 4 28 12 27 1 0 -1.1 .255 .299 .362 -.137 .262 .306 .387 .237 1.2 65-C -1 0.9
2011 (age 35) 244 18 11 0 4 26 11 25 1 0 -0.8 .248 .289 .352 -.174 .254 .296 .377 .230 -0.7 60-C 0 0.6
2012 (age 36) 163 10 7 0 2 16 7 17 0 0 -0.5 .243 .285 .336 -.207 .249 .292 .359 .222 -1.3 42-C 0 0.2
2013 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .269 .314 .385
vs RHP .250 .290 .347
Split +.019 +.023 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -0.4 0.0 1.1 $1,400,000 1.9 4.0
2010 0.2 -1.0 0.9 $1,225,000 0.9 3.8
2011 -1.6 0.0 0.6 $975,000 -0.6 2.5
2012 -2.2 0.0 0.2 $675,000 -1.5 1.1
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.0 $2,575,000 0.0 12.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .252 .237 .213 .235
2010 .254 .236 .207 .237
2011 .248 .219 .192 .230
2012 .245 .223 .198 .222
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 35% 0% 10%
2010 49% 14% 11%
2011 62% 28% 8%
2012 84% 44% 9%
2013 90% 72% 8%
2014 91% 79% 7%
2015 97% 83% 7%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

58

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Danny Sheaffer 1994 73 11 Steve Lake 1990 47
2 Sandy Alomar 1999 60 12 Paul Lo Duca 2005 47
3 Bengie Molina 2007 59 13 Dan Wilson 2002 47
4 Tony Pena 1990 58 14 Jerry Grote 1975 45
5 Tom Pagnozzi 1995 57 15 John Boccabella 1974 45
6 John Flaherty 2000 56 16 Joe Astroth 1955 44
7 Del Crandall 1963 55 17 Terry Steinbach 1995 43
8 Matt Batts 1954 55 18 Sammy White 1961 43
9 Scott Servais 2000 53 19 Jerry McNertney 1969 42
10 Manny Sanguillen 1977 47 20 Bo Diaz 1986 40

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Scouts don't consider Johjima to be one of the better-throwing catchers in the majors, but last year he led the American League in runners caught stealing with 40 and was second behind Joe Mauer in percentage of thieves caught (46.5). Some credit manager John McLaren, then the team's bench coach, for working on Johjima's throwing mechanics in spring training, but Johjima's improved record behind the plate, with decreased numbers of errors and passed balls, seems to indicate that better communication with his pitchers played a part as well (or a better relationship with official scorers). Along with Ichiro Suzuki and Jose Vidro, Johjima is part of an ongoing experiment with low strikeout hitters in whiff-enhancing Safeco Field. Those three, along with Jose Lopez and Betancourt, are among the fifteen most difficult American Leaguers to strike out.

2007

PECOTA had this Japanese import pegged, predicting a .292 average and a .789 OPS. The catcher was one of the hardest batters to strike out in the AL, leading all batting-title qualifiers by striking out in only 8.49 percent of his plate appearances. That`s free swinging by Johjima`s standards; in 2003 he struck out in just 15 of 604 plate appearances (2.48 percent) with Fukuoka. With Johjima signed for two more years (a bargain at just over $5 million per) and Clement and Rob Johnson in the queue, the M`s should have the catching position covered for the forseeable future.

2006

One of the best signings of the offseason. Major league teams have generally been reluctant to make huge offers for Japanese players, largely because they have a tough time projecting their stats against North American competition. Clay`s eponymous Davenport Translations tell us that Johjima`s huge numbers the last three years in Japan have as much to do with his talent as his environment. He`s not going to hit like vintage Piazza in Seattle, but given the sorry offense too many big league catchers put up, the M`s snagged a backstop whose power and pitch recognition skills should immediately propel him to the head of the AL`s catching class. Even the length of the contract was spot-on: Johjima turns 30 in June, so staying away from a huge four- or five-year deal and getting his services as he plateaus or falls off just a bit was smart.


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