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Jason Kendall
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 34
6'
205 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Brewers Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 8 Jason Kendall 60 382 .255 38 1 28 5 .324 .321 0.7
1   2008 Total 60 382 .255 38 1 28 5 .324 .321 0.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 OAK MJ 676 70 28 1 0 53 50 39 8 3 3.4 .271 .345 .321 -.108 .282 .361 .339 .255 9.9 144-C -5 4.0
2006 OAK MJ 626 76 23 0 1 50 53 54 11 5 1.8 .295 .367 .342 -.058 .302 .379 .353 .266 13.2 140-C 5 5.4
2007 OAK MJ 312 24 10 0 2 22 12 27 3 1 -0.7 .226 .261 .281 -.363 .238 .277 .303 .205 -13.2 80-C -7 0.1
2007 CHN MJ 202 21 10 1 1 19 19 15 0 3 1.0 .270 .362 .356 -.053 .263 .355 .349 .248 3.3 48-C -7 0.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:37 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 359 51 18 1 2 30 30 29 6 2 -0.3 .292 .363 .380 -.026 .292 .360 .382 .262 12.5 86-C -6 2.6
75o 345 45 17 1 2 28 28 28 6 2 -0.3 .280 .350 .360 -.084 .280 .348 .363 .251 7.5 83-C -6 2.2
60o 322 36 14 1 1 25 25 27 5 2 -0.3 .260 .330 .329 -.176 .260 .327 .331 .233 0.0 78-C -4 1.6
50o 311 32 12 1 1 23 23 27 5 1 -0.2 .250 .319 .314 -.221 .250 .317 .316 .223 -3.2 75-C -4 1.3
40o 306 30 12 1 1 23 23 27 4 1 -0.2 .247 .316 .308 -.237 .247 .313 .310 .220 -4.3 74-C -4 1.2
25o 289 26 10 1 1 20 21 26 4 1 -0.2 .233 .301 .287 -.300 .233 .299 .289 .206 -8.3 70-C -3 0.8
10o 250 17 7 0 0 16 17 23 3 1 -0.2 .206 .273 .245 -.422 .206 .271 .246 .175 -14.3 62-C -1 0.2
Weighted Mean 293 30 12 1 1 22 22 25 4 1 -0.2 .255 .324 .321 -.199 .255 .322 .323 .227 0.5 72-C -4 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

7%

31%

51%

42%

0.87

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 34) 293 30 12 1 1 22 22 25 4 1 -0.2 .255 .324 .321 -.199 .255 .322 .323 .227 0.5 72-C -4 1.7
2009 (age 35) 218 18 9 1 1 17 16 20 3 1 -0.2 .249 .316 .316 -.224 .245 .309 .312 .222 -2.4 55-C -3 0.9
2010 (age 36) 182 14 7 0 1 14 15 16 2 1 -0.1 .249 .321 .308 -.226 .245 .313 .304 .221 -1.6 47-C -2 0.7
2011 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .267 .342 .349
vs RHP .251 .316 .308
Split +.016 +.025 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 1.7 1.7 $1,850,000 -4.0 1.5
2009 0.0 1.0 0.9 $1,050,000 -5.4 1.1
2010 0.0 0.7 0.7 $825,000 -3.4 0.4
2011 0.0 0.3 0.4 $600,000 -1.9 0.3
2012 0.0 0.3 0.2 $500,000 -2.9 0.1
2013 0.0 0.1 0.0 $425,000 -2.4 0.0
2014 0.0 0.1 0.0 $450,000 -1.2 0.0
Peak 3.9 $2,625,000 0.0 3.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .251 .223 .206 .227
2009 .244 .226 .193 .222
2010 .253 .234 .197 .221
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 42% 0% 7%
2009 66% 16% 9%
2010 79% 37% 5%
2011 85% 69% 6%
2012 85% 72% 5%
2013 98% 83% 4%
2014 99% 94% 2%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Let`s first dispense with the obvious: Kendall wasn`t worth his $11.5-million salary in 2006, and he really won`t be worth his $13-million salary in 2007, the last season covered by his six-year, $60-million contract. On the plus side, the Pirates are on the hook for a good chunk ($5 million) of Kendall`s `07 income, his .367 on-base percentage last season ranked fourth among the nine MLB catchers who played enough to qualify for the batting title, and the A`s rave about Kendall`s work behind the plate. That isn`t to say Kendall is worth even the $8 million the A`s will spend on him this season. His OPS ranked ninth among those nine regular catchers, he threw out only 24 percent of larcenous baserunners, and he`s totaled exactly one home run in the last two seasons. The day his contract expires should be one of relief in the Oakland front office.

2006

Kendall triggered a host of PECOTA`s red flags entering last season. With his batting average-heavy offensive profile, declining speed, and his position, the system figured that there was about a 25% chance he`d have a year this bad or worse. Unsurprisingly, there isn`t much optimism about his rebound chances. Kendall is durable at least, but one wonders if that isn`t part of the problem. He`d surely be among the career leaders in Catcher Abuse Points.

2005

So a big sigh of relief, he's no longer the big contract Littlefield inherited, and Kendall can get on with playing somewhere consequential in the standings. With Oakland, it won't matter if he bats first or second; neither he nor Kotsay run enough to create distractions for the other, so Ken Macha can play platoon percentages or fuss about having Kotsay having the 'hole' to take advantage of with Kendall on base. He should profit from seeing his catching workload decrease to 120 games behind the plate while soaking up some DH at-bats, which might prolong his career to the point where he'll be a serious Hall of Fame candidate.

2003

Kendall’s offensive drop-off is alarming. He’s stopped taking walks, he no longer hits for power, and he doesn’t run as well as he did before his ankle injury despite being a top-of-the-order hitter. Obviously, his career is in crisis in tandem with the Pirates’ budget: it’s not Kendall’s defense that has kept him in the majors, and the Bucs would love to unload his $10 million/ year contract. That’ll be tough, with both his ironclad no-trade clause and struggles to get on base and hit the ball with authority clouding the picture. Lloyd McClendon is planning on using Kendall as a leadoff hitter in 2003; maybe that will force him to start taking some pitches again.

2002

Kendall played the whole year with a bum thumb (not the same as having your thumb up your bum) and easily had his worst year in the majors. He had surgery to correct the problem in October and should be fine for spring training. This was his age 27 year, so don’t be surprised if he rebounds and has a performance spike all at once. The left-field experiment is over.

2001

He’s doomed to second-string All-Star status as long as Mike Piazza is behind the plate, but Jason Kendall has firmly landed himself on the list of the best players in baseball and is just entering his power peak. Signing him for $60 million over six years was an excellent decision. Considering where the market went after he signed, Kendall might be a bargain at $10 million per year.

2000

Kendall was on pace for a career year in all categories when his foot fell off in a freak play in early July. He took the brace off in mid-September and is expected to be at full strength by the start of spring training, but his days as a prolific and high-percentage basestealer may be over.

1999

The best story on the Pirates. Kendall took huge steps forward at the plate, on the bases, in the field, and in the clubhouse, becoming the team's unquestioned leader and occasional mouthpiece. He's a player you lock up long-term and build around, and the Pirates are trying to do just that.

1998

More power, more walks and a much better year behind the plate. The Pirates have only signed one young player to a long-term contract so far, and they picked a great one.

1997

He managed a rare feat for the Pirates: retaining the offensive performance he showed in the minors. His 1996 was a carbon copy of 1995. He showed steady improvement through the minors, and I’d expect him to resume an upward climb towards .300. His defense was puzzling: he was among the best at stopping baserunners at Carolina in ’95, but surrendered more stolen bases than any catcher but Piazza while committing 18 errors. He’s tough to strike out and easy to hit, with a 76-to-44 strikeout to HBP ratio over the last three years.

1996

Probably the best prospect in the organization. Catcher, still young, doing all the right things, and getting a bit better at everything each year. Probably needs a little over a year in AAA, or perhaps a September callup. Will be a very good one, I think. Probably will not retain all of the gains he made with the bat in 1995, but won't slip very much, and that's still a darn good trend. Probably the only Pirate hitting prospect with any star potential, really.


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