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Justin Knoedler
St. Louis Cardinals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 28
6' 2"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 NRW AA 76 7 6 0 1 8 4 24 1 1 0.1 .211 .263 .338 -.430 .194 .237 .292 .181 -7.3 21-C -3 -0.6
2006 FRE AAA 261 32 13 4 4 27 22 58 4 0 1.8 .253 .319 .395 -.266 .218 .278 .349 .221 -10.8 63-C -1 0.0
2007 FRE AAA 336 44 30 2 7 42 26 78 7 1 -1.6 .288 .346 .470 -.181 .235 .290 .389 .238 -5.7 78-C 2 0.9
2008 SAC AAA 241 34 12 1 10 34 15 58 2 0 0.9 .175 .238 .378 -.546 .140 .192 .288 .157 -27.8 54-C 1 -1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:35 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 300 34 17 1 8 30 23 74 3 1 0.1 .229 .297 .395 -.133 .231 .299 .415 .245 2.7 73-C 0 1.5
75o 288 29 16 1 7 27 21 74 3 1 0.1 .212 .278 .361 -.226 .214 .279 .379 .227 -3.7 70-C 0 0.9
60o 276 24 14 1 6 25 19 74 3 1 0.1 .198 .261 .332 -.305 .200 .262 .349 .210 -8.7 68-C 0 0.4
50o 268 21 13 1 5 23 17 73 3 1 0.1 .189 .249 .312 -.360 .190 .251 .328 .197 -11.8 66-C 0 0.0
40o 260 19 12 1 4 21 16 73 3 1 0.1 .181 .239 .296 -.404 .182 .241 .311 .186 -14.2 64-C 0 -0.3
25o 248 16 11 1 3 19 15 72 3 1 0.1 .170 .225 .272 -.468 .171 .227 .286 .168 -17.2 61-C 0 -0.6
10o 208 9 8 1 2 11 10 67 2 1 0.1 .142 .190 .215 -.626 .143 .191 .226 .106 -22.1 52-C 0 -1.4
Weighted Mean 256 20 12 1 5 22 17 70 3 1 0.1 .187 .248 .309 -.373 .189 .249 .325 .195 -10.6 63-C 0 0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

31%

43%

41%

32%

1.22

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 28) 256 20 12 1 5 22 17 70 3 1 0.1 .187 .248 .309 -.373 .189 .249 .325 .195 -10.6 63-C 0 0.2
2010 (age 29) 286 25 14 1 6 27 19 81 3 1 0.1 .193 .254 .324 -.347 .192 .252 .336 .203 -7.4 70-C 1 0.3
2011 (age 30) 244 21 13 1 6 23 17 67 3 1 0.1 .199 .263 .341 -.303 .198 .261 .354 .213 -4.2 60-C 1 0.5
2012 (age 31) 207 17 10 1 4 20 15 57 2 1 0.1 .199 .264 .332 -.313 .198 .262 .345 .211 -2.6 52-C -1 0.2
2013 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .204 .268 .337
vs RHP .184 .241 .298
Split +.020 +.026 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -10.1 0.0 0.2 $400,000 -10.0 0.5
2010 -9.3 1.0 0.3 $400,000 -6.7 0.6
2011 -5.6 1.0 0.5 $650,000 -3.4 1.9
2012 -5.2 -1.0 0.2 $600,000 -2.1 0.8
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 1.4 $1,150,000 0.0 4.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .227 .197 .168 .195
2010 .227 .206 .177 .203
2011 .252 .215 .182 .213
2012 .236 .213 .179 .211
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 32% 0% 31%
2010 52% 29% 28%
2011 66% 41% 25%
2012 79% 59% 18%
2013 85% 71% 16%
2014 94% 80% 12%
2015 95% 85% 9%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

58

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Paul Hoover 2005 51 11 Gary Tremblay 1991 41
2 Mike Berger 1991 49 12 Ryan Jorgensen 2008 41
3 Darrell Miller 1987 48 13 Greg Keatley 1982 40
4 Brian Peterson 2007 48 14 Carl Nichols 1991 40
5 Ron Tingley 1988 46 15 Mike Rivera 2005 39
6 Eli Whiteside 2008 45 16 Tim Laker 1998 38
7 Blake Barthol 2002 44 17 Yamid Haad 2006 38
8 Jim Horner 2002 43 18 Mark Strucher 1987 38
9 Tim Unroe 1999 42 19 Craig Cooper 1992 38
10 Danny Ardoin 2003 41 20 Kevin Cash 2006 38

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Justin Catch-and-throw guy Guillermo Rodriguez got the call to back up Bengie Molina when Eliezer Alfonzo went down with a knee injury last year. It was a curious choice given that Knoedler had been up for brief stretches in both 2005 and 2006, and was having a good year at Triple-A Fresno. Knoedler is just a backup, but seeing as he has a little more bat than glove, he would seem to pair well with a Randomly Generated Molina. He'll go to camp with the A's, who may better appreciate his skills.

2007

Knoedler and Alfonzo shared the catching duties at Fresno last year, and, while Knoedler hit better there, it was Alfonzo who was called up to replace Matheny. Knoedler gets high marks for his arm and game-calling skills--he was actually drafted as a pitcher, so he has some firsthand knowledge of what goes on out there on the mound--but hasn`t shown any kind of batting aptitude. Signing Bengie Molina led to Knoedler`s being DFAed in January.

2006

Knoedler is fantastic behind the plate and has a cannon for an arm, but it doesn`t look like he will hit enough to be a starter in the majors. At press time it looked like the Giants would leave Knoedler in Triple-A to get at-bats, but he could easily enough be flipped with Haad and become Matheny`s backup.

2005

Not a bad season, as Knoedler dealt with his first full season at Double-A. It was also year three of the switch-back experiment, with Knoedler having gone from college catcher to dominant rookie-ball reliever in 2001, and then back to catcher. He's shown emerging power, so it's unlikely he'll switch back. If everything breaks right, in a couple years he'll be a candidate for a big league backup job, probably just before the Giants give Einar Diaz a four-year deal.


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