<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Gary Majewski
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 29
6' 1"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 LOU AAA 0 0 0 4 1 3.1 4 1 3 0 58% .333 -1 1.61 0.00 -1 7.36 9.8 2.5 4.9 0.0 -0.7 0.0 0.0
2006 WAS MLB 3 2 0 46 0 55.3 49 25 34 4 56% .262 -5 1.34 3.58 2 4.04 7.6 3.6 5.0 0.6 12.6 0.1 1.5
2006 CIN MLB 1 2 0 19 0 15.0 30 4 9 1 56% .492 17 2.27 8.40 -9 1.23 17.8 1.8 4.9 0.6 -3.7 -1.7 1.3
2007 LOU AAA 1 1 4 38 0 38.7 33 15 30 2 55% .292 -12 1.24 3.95 3 5.97 9.3 3.9 4.9 0.8 -1.4 0.0 0.3
2007 CIN MLB 0 4 0 32 0 23.0 43 3 10 3 54% .421 -1 2.00 8.22 -5 5.09 15.7 1.2 3.9 1.2 -6.4 -1.4 0.5
2008 LOU AAA 2 1 3 22 0 26.3 27 7 22 2 55% .329 -1 1.29 3.76 0 4.63 11.2 2.7 5.4 1.2 2.5 0.0 0.7
2008 CIN MLB 1 0 0 37 0 40.0 61 15 27 6 51% .407 11 1.90 6.53 -10 4.08 12.9 2.9 5.4 1.4 -5.3 0.0 0.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/10/09 3:33 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 3 2 3 53 0 56.0 52 19 40 4 51% .280 5 1.27 2.96 0 3.09 8.3 2.7 5.5 0.7 16.5 1.4 2.1
75o 3 2 2 47 0 50.0 53 18 35 5 51% .303 2 1.42 3.98 0 4.16 9.4 2.9 5.4 0.8 8.5 0.7 1.3
60o 2 2 1 44 0 47.0 53 18 32 5 51% .314 0 1.49 4.48 0 4.69 10.0 3.0 5.3 0.9 5.1 0.4 0.9
50o 2 2 1 43 0 46.0 52 17 31 5 51% .319 -1 1.52 4.70 0 4.92 10.2 3.0 5.3 1.0 3.8 0.3 0.8
40o 2 2 1 39 0 42.3 52 17 29 5 50% .332 -3 1.60 5.33 0 5.58 10.9 3.1 5.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.4
25o 2 2 1 34 0 37.7 50 15 25 5 50% .350 -6 1.73 6.27 0 6.56 11.8 3.2 5.2 1.2 -4.0 -0.4 -0.1
10o 1 2 0 21 0 24.0 38 11 16 4 49% .387 -13 2.02 9.22 0 9.74 14.2 3.6 5.0 1.6 -11.5 -0.9 -0.9
Weighted Mean 2 2 1 38 0 41.0 45 15 28 4 51% .309 1 1.45 4.27 0 4.47 9.7 2.9 5.4 0.9 5.7 0.4 0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

26%

56%

25%

39%

1.01

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2009 (age 29) 2 2 1 38 0 41.0 45 15 28 4 51% .309 1 1.45 4.27 0 4.47 9.7 2.9 5.4 0.9 5.7 0.4 0.9
2010 (age 30) 2 2 1 37 0 40.3 43 14 29 4 49% .305 1 1.40 4.13 0 4.33 9.5 2.7 5.5 0.9 5.3 0.5 0.8
2011 (age 31) 2 2 1 39 0 41.3 45 15 29 4 49% .310 0 1.45 4.27 0 4.46 9.8 2.8 5.4 0.9 4.0 0.5 0.6
2012 (age 32) 3 2 2 49 0 51.7 55 19 36 5 50% .305 1 1.41 4.04 0 4.23 9.5 2.8 5.4 0.9 4.4 0.7 0.6
2013 (age 33) 2 2 1 36 0 39.3 44 14 27 4 50% .313 -1 1.47 4.61 0 4.82 9.9 2.9 5.4 0.9 1.8 0.3 0.3
2014 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .276 .371 .440
vs RHB .274 .342 .403
Split +.002 +.028 +.037
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2009 0.9 $1,475,000 5.2 4.2
2010 0.8 $1,500,000 4.9 4.0
2011 0.6 $1,300,000 3.7 2.8
2012 0.6 $1,475,000 4.1 2.6
2013 0.3 $975,000 1.6 0.7
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.4 $4,150,000 19.5 15.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 4.16 4.92 6.56 4.47
2010 3.64 4.39 6.36 4.33
2011 3.58 4.66 6.73 4.46
2012 3.56 4.19 5.84 4.23
2013 4.18 5.24 6.39 4.82
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 39% 0% 26%
2010 49% 30% 33%
2011 58% 38% 29%
2012 62% 56% 27%
2013 70% 59% 16%
2014 80% 69% 14%
2015 89% 79% 11%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

45

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Jon Adkins 2007 52 11 Chris Reitsma 2007 33
2 Joe Niekro 1974 45 12 Nate Bump 2005 33
3 Steve Comer 1983 42 13 Orval Grove 1949 31
4 Tom Morgan 1959 40 14 Elmer Dessens 2000 31
5 Willie Eyre 2007 39 15 Mike DeJean 2000 30
6 Jack Lamabe 1966 39 16 Felipe Lira 2001 30
7 Billy Muffett 1960 38 17 Don Wengert 1999 29
8 Clyde King 1953 35 18 Dale Murray 1979 29
9 Ed Vande Berg 1988 34 19 Ron Taylor 1967 29
10 Duane Pillette 1951 33 20 Cal Koonce 1970 29

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

The front office would much rather Reds fans remember their getting Brandon Phillips for table scraps or grabbing Jeff Keppinger off the waiver wire, but the swap that brought Majewski to the Queen City might be the deal most emblematic of recent Reds history. Majewski may or may not have been injured when he came over from Jim Bowden's Nationals, but the mere thought of being snookered by Ol' Leatherpants had the Cincy media in a lather. More than a year after his shoulder injury came to light, there's no sign of when or if Majewski will ever get his effectiveness back.

2007

The wheels of justice are a few sprockets shy of a full gear in Pax Seliga, but even so, the Reds` grievance seems dicey. The Nats are insisting all relevant medical reports were turned over, and doctors described Majewski`s injury as nothing more than tendonitis, even if it did force him to the DL. Whether or not Jim Bowden committed an error of ommission by not directly mentioning that Majewski had a cortisone shot in July, the Reds ought to have to prove that information would have encouraged Krivsky not to make the deal. Since Krivsky overlooked both Majewski`s workload (he ranked second in the majors in relief innings pitched at the time of the deal) and the medical reports, that`s not going to be an easy case to make. As for Majewski himself, he`s a decent enough sinker-slider guy. The real problem wasn`t that he was hurting, it was that he isn`t the second coming of Goose Gossage--getting Gary Majewski was not going to put the Reds in the playoffs, though Krivksy acted like it would. Whining about it after the fact is just so much face-saving nonsense.

2006

We live in an age of mayhem, which makes Majewski a pitcher with the most modern sensibilities. His career rate for plunking people, majors and minors together, is one victim every 49.3 batters faced. Translated to a full big league career, that would rank fifth among pitchers since 1960. Who`s ahead of him? Surprisingly, mostly contemporary hurlers: Brian Fuentes (one HBP per 38.7 hitters), Byung-Hyun Kim (43.5), Rolando Arrojo (45.4), and Willis Roberts (46.6). There`s not a Drysdale to be found among that lot. As Ayala started to break down, Majewski wound up taking on more of the setup role. He should be the better bet going forward, however violent his tendencies.

2005

Courtesy of his power assortment, Majewski had to bounce around a little, getting picked as a Rule 5er, returned to his team, then traded almost exactly a year later to Montreal in the Everett deal. He's one of the better mid-20s relief prospects in the system, which isn't a huge honor, but it should be good enough to earn him a regular job in the 2005 pen.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.